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March 26

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Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook March 26 – April 01, 2020

A seasonal rainfall has been registered over Central America for the past 7 days

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Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

Light to moderate rainfall was observed along the Caribbean coasts

During first half of March, two consecutive weeks of enhanced rainfall led to the development of moisture surpluses throughout many parts of eastern Guatemala, southern Belize, the northern part of Honduras and a portion of northeastern Nicaragua. Some slight below-average rainfall performance has been observed throughout parts along the Gulf of Fonseca including the rest of the northwestern part of Nicaragua. The vegetation health index shows some growing vegetation over northern Nicaragua and Guatemala while Honduras is struggling over the area affected by flood a couple of weeks ago.

For the next outlook period, the GEFS week 1 reveals some showers expected over the eastern and central areas of Guatemala, Belize, the western part of El Salvador. Light to moderate rainfall is expected over the eastern part of Honduras and the Atlantic coast areas of Nicaragua. The GFS week1 minimum temperature predict a near- normal to seasonal temperature expected.

Week 1 Rainfall Total Forecast and CPC Unified Gauge climatology (mm) March 25 – April 01 2020

Figure 1: Source NOAA / CPC

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