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The effect of firm size and firm

experience on the success of an app

development firm

Master Thesis – MSc BA Small Business & Entrepreneurship

University of Groningen

Faculty of Economics and Business

By: Patrick Keizer - s1771027 Supervisor: Dr. F. Noseleit Co-assessor: Dr. Ir. H. Zhou Date:  16  June  2016  

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This   study   examines   whether   there   is   a   relationship   between   firm   characteristics   and   the  success  of  an  app  development  firm  in  app  store  markets.  This  research  is  a  first  step   in  identifying  firm  characteristics  that  influence  the  success  of  app  development  firms  in   app  store  markets.  An  analysis  is  provided  that  shows  the  relationship  between  firm  size   and   app   development   firm   success.   Also   an   analysis   is   provided   that   shows   the   relationship  between  firm  experience  and  the  success  of  an  app  development  firm.  The   analyses  were  based  on  a  hand-­‐collected  dataset  of  top  100  grossing  ranking  charts  of   34  days  in  four  countries.  The  grossing  top  100  ranking  charts  show  the  most  profitable   apps.   Not   much   research   could   be   found   about   the   influence   of   firm   size   and   firm   experience   on   the   successful   deployment   of   software   in   the   current   literature   base.   What  could  be  found  though  in  the  literature  is  that  firm  size  has  a  significant  negative   relationship   on   the   innovativeness   of   a   software   development   firms.   Furthermore   it   might  be  expected  that  firm  size  is  also  of  relevance  for  the  success  of  apps,  as  general   research   on   small   firms   shows   small   firms   are   more   successful   in   new   markets.   Literature  also  shows  that  firm  experience  is  not  or  less  helpful  for  software  firms  than   for   manufacturing   firms   for   the   success   of   new   products   developed   by   the   same   firm.   Researchers  identified  that  this  is  caused  by  the  fact  that  software  firms  do  not  enhance   their   work   processes   based   on   past   experience.   Previous   research   did   not   identify   whether  there  can  be  a  difference  identified  between  the  level  firm  experience  enhances   work   processes   in   software   firms   located   in   different   countries.   Interestingly   this   research  finds   that  countries  showing  a  significant  relationship  between  firm  size  and   the  success  of  an  app  development  firm  do  not  show  a  significant  relationship  between   firm   experience   and   the   success   of   an   app   development   firm   and   vice   versa.   Further   research  is  needed  to  analyse  why  the  differences  between  countries  appear.  Also  more   research   is   needed   to   identify   a   more   clear   view   about   the   relationship   between   firm   size  and  firm  experience  for  software  development  firms.

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Acknowledgements  

Since  the  age  of  thirteen  I  am  running  a  business  in  the  information  technology  industry.   Therefore  during  my  university  studies  I  was  always  trying  to  perform  research  about   subjects   that   combine   business   developments   and   information   technology   developments.  I  feel  that  new  trends  in  information  technology  change  the  way  of  doing   business.   I   also   believe   that   without   running   a   business   into   the   right   direction   new   information  technologies  will  not  be  deployed  on  the  market.    

New   technologies   could   make   new   business   opportunities   possible.   This   is   one   of   the   reasons   why   I   support   the   view   that   the   research   fields   business   management   and   IT   need   to   combine   their   knowledge   and   skills.   With   this   master   thesis   I   provide   new   insights  that  enhance  (new)  business  opportunities  and  adds  knowledge  to  the  current   business  &  economics  literature  base.  

 

One  of  the  current  trends  is  that  people  use  more  and  more  mobile  devices.  This  makes   business   investors   realize   that   they   have   to   invest   in   new   mobile   technologies.   Beside   devices   (hardware)   that   are   deployed   in   the   market   people   run   software   on   those   devices.  Business  people  say  most  often  that  time  is  money.  As  it  takes  a  lot  of  time  to   develop   successful   mobile   applications,   research   could   help   businesses   to   get   a   better   understanding   of   app   markets   by   providing   more   insights   about   what   kind   of   (new)   mobile   projects/firms   are   worth   to   invest   in.   By   enhancing   the   knowledge   base   of   stakeholders   that   act   in   app   markets   the   business   and   economic   developments   could   also  be  enhanced.  

 

This  research  provides  a  start  in  collecting  insights  about  (new)  mobile  app  market(s).   The   outcomes   could   help   investors   and   stakeholders   of   firms   to   make   better   business   and   investment   decisions   so   that   (new)   opportunities   can   be   utilized   as   efficient   as   possible.  

 

I  would  like  to  thank  my  supervisor  Dr.  Florian  Noseleit  for  his  patience  and  the  way  he   was  able  to  direct  me  into  new  directions.  He  gave  me  the  inspiration  to  discover  new   insights.  

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listen   to   my   stories   about   new   developments   concerning   my   thesis.   Especially   my   brother  Maarten  and  my  sister  Michèle  reflected  on  my  thoughts.  This  was  very  helpful.    

 

 

 

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Table  of  contents  

ABSTRACT  ...  2   ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS  ...  3   1.  INTRODUCTION  ...  7   2.  THEORETICAL  FRAMEWORK  ...  9   2.1.  THEORETICAL  BACKGROUND  ...  9   2.1.1.  Firm  size  ...  9  

2.1.1.1.  Firm  size  and  software  development  firms  ...  10  

2.1.2.  Experience  ...  10  

2.1.2.1.  Internal  knowledge  stock  ...  10  

2.1.2.2.  External  knowledge  stock  ...  11  

2.1.2.3.  Mutually  exclusive  ...  11  

2.1.2.4.  Firm  experience  and  software  development  firms  ...  11  

2.1.3.  Success  ...  12  

2.1.4.  App  store  ...  12  

2.2.  HYPOTHESIS  DEVELOPMENT  ...  14  

2.2.1.  The  relation  between  firm  size  and  app  success  ...  14  

2.2.2.  The  relation  between  firm  experience  and  app  success  ...  14  

2.3.  DEVELOPED  HYPOTHESIS  ...  15  

3.  METHODOLOGY  ...  16  

3.1.  DATA  COLLECTION  METHODS  ...  16  

3.2.  VARIABLES  AND  MEASURES  ...  18  

DEPENDENT  VARIABLE  ...  18  

3.3.  ANALYSIS  PLAN  ...  19  

3.4.  CONTROLLABILITY,  VALIDITY  AND  RELIABILITY  ...  20  

3.5.  DATASET  STATISTICS  ...  20  

4.  RESULTS  ...  22  

4.1.  HYPOTHESIS  1  ...  22  

4.2.  HYPOTHESIS  2  ...  23  

4.3.  HYPOTHESIS  3  ...  24  

5.  DISCUSSION  AND  CONCLUSIONS  ...  26  

5.1.  THEORETICAL  AND  MANAGERIAL  IMPLICATIONS  ...  28  

5.2.  LIMITATIONS  AND  FURTHER  RESEARCH  ...  28  

REFERENCES  ...  30  

APPENDIX  A:  APP  STORE  CATEGORIES  ...  33  

APPENDIX  B:  TOP  CHART  MEASUREMENT  DATES  ...  34  

APPENDIX  C:  SAMPLE  SIZE  ...  35  

APPENDIX  D:  NORMALITY  TESTS  ...  39  

APPENDIX  E:  COUNT  DATA  DISTRIBUTIONS  ...  41  

APPENDIX  F:  DESCRIPTION  DEPENDENT  VARIABLE  ...  42  

APPENDIX  G:  POISSON  REGRESSION  TEST  COMPSIZELEVEL  ...  43  

APPENDIX  H:  NEGATIVE  BINOMIAL  DISTRIBUTION  TEST  COMPSIZELEVEL  ...  45  

APPENDIX  I:  POISSON  REGRESSION  TEST  TOTALAPPSDEVELOPED  ...  49  

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APPENDIX  L:  NEGATIVE  BINOMIAL  DISTRIBUTION  TEST  LN_TOTALAPPSDEVELOPED  ...  57   APPENDIX  M:  POISSON  REGRESSION  TEST  TOTALAPPSDEV_MINUS_CURRENT  ...  61   APPENDIX  N:  NEGATIVE  BINOMINAL  REGRESSION  TEST  

TOTALAPPSDEV_MINUS_CURRENT  ...  63   APPENDIX  O:  NEGATIVE  BINOMINAL  REGRESSION  TEST  

LN_TOTALAPPSDEV_MINUS_CURRENT  ...  67    

Table  of  tables  

 

TABLE  1:  European  Commission  firm  size  classification     TABLE  2:  Firm  success  measures  

TABLE  3:  Types  of  top-­‐ranking  lists   TABLE  4:  Firm  sizes  LinkedIN   TABLE  5:  Data  sources  

TABLE  6:  Significance  compsizelevel   TABLE  7:  Significance  totalappsdeveloped   TABLE  8:  Significance  ln_totalappsdeveloped  

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1.  Introduction  

 

Nowadays   apps   have   taken   the   world   of   most   smartphone   and   tablet   users   (Peabody,   2012).  Google  followed  soon  after  the  launch  of  the  Apple  App  Store  in  Mid-­‐2008  with   their  own  app  store.  Currently  there  are  more  than  2  million  apps  available  in  the  Apple   App  Store  (‘Number  of  apps  available  in  leading  app  stores  as  of  June  2016’,  2016).  Also   in  the  Google  Play  store  more  than  2  million  apps  are  available  nowadays.    

The   global   app   economy   is   growing   at   a   compound   annual   growth   rate   of   28%   (2012  to  2016),  and  it  is  forecast  to  be  worth  $143bn  in  2016  (Hubbard,  2015).  In  2014   Gartner   published   a   report   that   states   that   it   is   important   for   development   firm   stakeholders  to  recognize  that  most  applications  are  not  generating  any  profits  and  that   many  mobile  apps  are  not  designed  to  generate  revenue.  Gartner’s  results  show  that  of   the  paid  applications  about  90%  are  downloaded  less  than  500  times  per  day  and  make   less  than  $1,250  a  day  (‘Less  than  1%  of  apps  to  be  financial  successes:  Gartner’,  2014).   Therefore   he   concluded   that   most   apps   are   developed   to   build   brand   recognition   and   product   awareness   or   are   just   for   fun.   With   increasing   competition   in   the   app   market   this  is  going  to  get  even  worse,  especially  in  successful  markets.    

Lee   and   Raghu   (2014)   analysed   which   attributes   are   influencing   the   success   of   apps.   The   authors   found   that   free   apps   offer,   high   initial   ranks.   Continuous   quality   updates  as  well  as  high-­‐volume  and  high-­‐user  review  scores  are  attributes  that  influence   the  success  of  apps.  Jung,  Baek  and  Lee  (2012)  found  that  customer  ratings,  content  size   and   early   entrants   affect   the   success   of   apps.   Many   vendors   are   deploying   apps   nowadays   which   makes   the   risks   of   deploying   an   app   high,   also   when   the   previously   mentioned  attributes  are  taken  into  consideration.  There  is  much  competition  so  most   likely  more  marketing,  financial  and  other  resources  are  needed  to  make  a  single  app  a   success.    

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provide   stakeholders   and   investors   a   better   understanding   of   the   type   of   firms   it   is   worth  to  invest  in.  The  identification  of  these  characteristics  could  also  provide  an  inside   in  what  kind  of  firms  to  research  when  trying  to  find  an  answer  on  the  question  which   kind  of  strategies  of  app  development  firms  are  more  successful  than  other  strategies.  

Tsvetkova,   Thill   and   Strumsky   (2014)   state   that   firm   size   is   the   most   studied   determinant  of  business  survival.  According  to  Tarus  and  Sitienei  (2015)  no  relationship   can   be   identified   between   firm   size   and   the   successful   development   of   software   products.   It   can   be   questioned   whether   this   is   also   the   case   for   software   firms   that   develop  apps  for  new  online  markets.    

Firm  experience  is  also  a  firm  characteristic  that  is  researched  a  lot  in  the  current   literature  base.  The  authors  Lyytinen  and  Robey  (1999)  show  that  no  relationship  can   be   found   between   past   firm   experience   in   software   development   and   the   successful   deployment  of  (new)  software  projects.  As  stated  by  the  authors  the  reason  for  this  is   that  software  development  firms  are  not  able  to  learn  from  experience.    

The  aim  of  this  research  is  to  provide  some  first  insights  concerning  the  influence   of  firm  characteristics  on  the  success  of  an  app  development  firm.  This  research  will  be   limited  to  the  relationship  between  the  success  of  an  app  development  firm  and  the  firm   characteristics   firm   size   and   firm   experience.   The   outcomes   will   provide   stakeholders   with   a   better   understanding   of   the   firm   characteristics   that   are   needed   to   become   successful  as  app  development  firm  on  app  markets.      

   

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2.  Theoretical  framework  

 

This  research  tries  to  find  evidence  for  the  influence  of  firm  size  and  firm  experience  on   the  success  of  an  app  development  firm.  The  central  question  to  be  discussed  is  “What  is   the  effect  of  firm  experience  and  firm  size  on  the  success  of  an  app  development  firm?”.   First   the   definitions   used   will   be   described   in   the   theoretical   background   section   in   paragraph   2.1.   Secondly   the   hypothesis   will   be   developed   based   on   the   literature   mentioned  in  paragraph  2.2.  And  in  paragraph  2.3.  the  hypothesis  will  be  summarized.     2.1.  Theoretical  background  

2.1.1.  Firm  size  

Tsvetkova   et   al.   (2014)   state   firm   size   as   the   most   studied   determinant   of   business   survival.  It  is  a  firm  specific  characteristic  frequently  used  to  analyse  issues  dealing  with   structure,  behaviour  and  strategies  of  corporate  enterprises  (de  Brentani,  1995).  Firm   size  is  measured  in  terms  of  various  metrics  such  as  number  of  employees,  assets  and   sales  volume  (Tsvetkova  et  al.,  2014).  The  current  number  of  employees  is  preferred  as   a  measure  of  firm  size  in  the  business  survival  literature  (Tsvetkova  et  al.,  2014).  The   European  Commission  uses  the  firm  size  classification  shown  in  table  one  which  is  also   based  on  the  number  of  employees.    

 

TABLE  1:  European  Commission  firm  size  classification    

Size   Description  

Micro   Fewer  than  10  employees  

Small   Fewer  than  50  employees  

Medium   Fewer  than  250  employees  

Large   More  than  250  employees  

Source:  Tarus  et  al.,  2015    

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products.  Both  small  and  large  firms  can  be  found  that  have  grown  as  the  result  of  being   successful  innovators  (Ettlie  and  Rubenstein,  1987).  Yin  and  Zuscovitch  (1996)  explain   that  small  firms  are  more  likely  to  be  successful  in  new  product  markets  than  large  firms   and  large  firms  are  the  ones  who  dominate  the  post-­‐innovation  market.  As  described  by   Mainiero  and  Tromley  (1968)  firm  size  influences  the  issues  a  firm  is  facing.  Firms  who   retain   the   same   number   of   employees   show   the   same   problems   over   lengthy   periods.   When   size   increases   firms   show   other   problems   such   as   coordination   and   communication  problems.    

2.1.1.1.  Firm  size  and  software  development  firms  

Up   to   my   best   knowledge   Tarus   et   al.   (2015)   are   the   only   authors   that   analysed   the   effect   of   firm   size   on   the   output   of   software   companies.   As   shown   by   the   authors   a   significant   negative   relationship   occurs   between   firm   size   and   innovativeness   of   software  firms.  According  to  Tarus  et  al.  (2015)  small  and  medium  sized  software  firms   are  better  innovators  than  larger  firms  because  of  their  informality  and  fewer  intra-­‐firm   hierarchy  levels.    

 

2.1.2.  Experience  

Firms  knowledge  stocks  are  created  by  past  experience  (Buelens  et  al,  2006).  Two  types   of   knowledge   stocks   are   available:   the   internal   knowledge   stock   (own   experience)   (paragraph  2.1.2.1.)  and  the  external  knowledge  stock  (other’s  experience)  (paragraph   2.1.2.1.2.).    

2.1.2.1.  Internal  knowledge  stock  

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learning   change   the   internal   knowledge   stock   and   the   level   of   experience   of   a   firm.   Measures   such   as   the   number   of   patents   (Antonelli   et   al.,   2015)   and   the   number   of   development  projects  performed  (Lyytinen  et  al.,  1999)  are  used  to  calculate  the  level  of   internal   knowledge   available   in   the   internal   knowledge   stock.   These   measures   can   be   used   as   measures   for   the   internal   knowledge   stock   because   working   skills   improvements  are  facilitated  by  past  production  experience  (Bhandari,  2010).  

2.1.2.2.  External  knowledge  stock  

External  experience  can  be  accessed  via  knowledge  interactions  and  transactions  with   external  sources  such  as  suppliers  and  customers  (Antonelli  et  al.,  2015).  When  internal   knowledge   is   unavailable,   external   knowledge   is   often   the   only   means   for   most   organizations  to  learn  (Lyytinen  et  al,  1999).  Business  cooperations  can  be  an  important   route  to  access  and  transmit  knowledge  and  experience  (Urbancová,  2013).  The  validity,   transferability   and   relevancy   of   external   knowledge   is   questionable.   According   to   Urbancová   (2013)   small   firms   have   a   reduced   innovative   autonomy   and   less   collaborations  with  technological  centers,  this  is  why  it  is  even  more  important  for  small   firms  to  collaborate  to  access  and  transmit  knowledge.    

2.1.2.3.  Mutually  exclusive  

As  explained  by  Antonelli  et  al.  (2015)  the  generation  of  knowledge  based  on  internal   and/or  external  experience  are  mutually  complementary.  This  means  that  no  firm  can   generate  knowledge  without  the  access  to  external  experience  and  no  firm  can  generate   knowledge  without  appropriate  internal  experience.    

2.1.2.4.  Firm  experience  and  software  development  firms  

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software  development  tasks  enhances  next  project  work-­‐processes.  However  according   to   Lyytinen   et   al.   (1999)   software   development   organizations   fail   to   learn   from   experience,  because  these  firms  show  limits  of  organizational  intelligence,  disincentives   for   learning,   organizational   designs   and   educational   barriers.   Lyytinen   et   al.   (1999)   explain  that  software  development  organizations  could  learn  from  experience  if  they  use   the   experience   developed   during   their   own   internal   projects   for   modifying   their   theories/practices  in  use.  But  the  authors  found  that  modification  of  theories/practices   based   on   experience   is   not   done   by   software   development   organizations   so   software   firms  do  not  learn  from  experience.    

2.1.3.  Success  

Wright,   Gardner   and   Moynihan   (2003)   describe   six   major   measures   for   performance   used  by  the  firm  headquarters.  According  to  Wright  et  al.  (2003)  these  measures  are  an   indicator   for   business   success.   The   metrics   shown   in   table   2   are   used   to   measure   business  performance.    

 

TABLE  2:  Firm  success  measures  

Metric   Description  

Workers  compensation  /  Sales   Worker’s  compensation  divided  by  sales.  

Quality   100,000  pieces  per  error.  

Shrinkage   %  inventory  loss.  

Productivity   Payroll  expenses  for  all  employees  divided  by  the   number  of  pieces.  

Operating  expenses   All  relevant  business  operating  expenses.  

Profitability   Pre-­‐tax  profit  of  the  business  unit  as  a  percentage   of  sales.  

Source:  Wright  et  al.,  2003    

Other   authors   such   as   Mithas   and   Rust   (2016)   use   profitability   as   only   firm   success   variable  measured  as  revenue  minus  costs.    

2.1.4.  App  store  

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data.   At   the   moment   multiple   app   stores   are   available   for   example   the   app   store   of   Apple,  Google  Play/Android  and  Windows.  The  app  markets  are  growing  which  is  a  good   reason   to   analyse   important   questions   about   topics   such   as   software   innovation,   firm   entry  and  exit  strategy  e.g.  (Garg  et  al.,  2013).  However  it  is  difficult  to  analyse  app  store   trends  because  Apple,  Google  and  Windows  do  not  provide  app  sales  information  (Lee  et   al.,  2014).  Most  app  stores  only  provide  the  three  ranking  list  types  that  are  shown  in   table  3.      

 

TABLE  3:  Types  of  top-­‐ranking  lists  

Ranking  list   Description  

Top-­‐free     Most  downloaded  applications  without  upfront   purchase  price.  

Top-­‐paid   Most-­‐downloaded  applications  that  have  a  non-­‐ zero  price.  

Top-­‐grossing   Most  revenue  generated  applications.  

Source:  Garg  et  al.,  2013    

The  top-­‐grossing  ranking  list  combines  the  most  revenue  generating  free  and  paid  apps   in   a   single   ranking   chart   (Lee   et   al.,   2014).   Revenue   includes   the   amount   paid   for   downloading  the  app  plus  the  revenue  generated  by  in-­‐app  purchases.  In-­‐app  purchases   create  additional  revenue  generated  by  purchases  of  content,  functionality,  services,  or   subscriptions  bought  via  free  or  paid  apps.  According  to  Garg  et  al.  (2013)  an  app  listed   in  the  top  200  of  the  iPad  rankings  would  generate  about  100  downloads  per  day.  Garg   et  al.  (2013)  calculated  that  an  app  ranked  at  position  1000  would  generate  only  about   25   downloads   per   day.   Mid-­‐2015   more   than   1.5   million   iPhone   apps   where   downloadable  for  apple  store  users.  This  is  why  Garg  et  al.  (2013)  conclude  that  most   apps  generate  little  to  no  demand.  For  most  app  stores  the  top  ranking  lists  are  available   per  country  in  multiple  categories.  Apple  provides  the  top  ranking  lists  in  24  different   categories  such  as  games,  books,  education  and  business  per  country.  An  overview  of  all   categories  is  provided  in  appendix  A.  Apple  also  provides  an  overall  top  100  ranking  list   which  includes  the  top  scoring  apps  covering  all  categories.  

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2.2.1.  The  relation  between  firm  size  and  app  success    

Firm   size   is   one   of   the   most   used   determinants   of   business   survival   (Tsvetkova   et   al.,   2014).  As  described  by  Ettlie  et  al.  (1987)  it  does  not  always  mean  that  larger  firms  have   more  change  to  be  innovative  or  successful.  In  literature  there  are  significant  differences   found  between  small  and  medium  firms  and  large  firms  (Mainiero  et  al.,  1969).  Tarus  et   al.   (2015)   are   one   of   the   first   researchers   providing   significant   results   between   the   relationship  of  firm  size  and  innovativeness  of  software  firms.  The  authors  found  that   small  firms  are  more  successful  innovators  than  their  larger  counterparts,  but  this  result   does   not   imply   that   relatively   large   software   development   firms   are   less   successful   in   deploying   apps.   App   development   firms   are   software   firms   that   produce   software   for   new   markets   named   app   markets.   As   shown   in   the   research   of   Yin   et   al.   (1998)   small   firms  are  more  successful  in  producing  products  for  new  product  markets.  This  is  why  it   can   be   expected   that   small   firms   deploy   more   successful   apps   for   app   markets.   This   leads  to  the  following  hypothesis:    

Hypothesis  1:  Large  sized  firms  do  not  deploy  more  successful  apps  than  their  smaller   counterparts.  

 

2.2.2.  The  relation  between  firm  experience  and  app  success    

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will  be  no  correlation  between  past  experience  of  a  firm  and  the  success  of  a  deployed   app.  This  leads  to  the  following  hypothesis:    

Hypothesis   2:   There   is   no   effect   between   firm   experience   and   the   success   of   an   app.    

Hypothesis  two  tests  for  the  effect  between  firm  experience  and  the  success  of  an  app.  If   a   development   firm   learns   from   experience   it   is   most   likely   the   case   that   not   all   developed  apps  will  perform  as  well.  In  order  to  get  a  better  understanding  of  how  firm   experience   affects   the   successful   deployment   of   apps   it   also   needs   to   be   tested   if   the   overall  success  of  all  deployed  apps  on  app  development  firm  level  is  higher  for  a  more   experienced   firm.   As   Lyytinen   et   al.   (1999)   describe   software   firms   do   not   learn   from   experience  so  it  is  expected  that  the  overall  success  of  app  development  firm’s  portfolio   is  also  not  affected  by  past  firm  experience.  This  leads  to  the  following  hypothesis:  

Hypothesis  3:  There  is  no  effect  between  firm  experience  and  the  success  of  developer’s  app   portfolio.  

 

2.3.  Developed  hypothesis  

Summarizing  the  hypotheses  that  will  be  analysed  in  paragraph  4  are  the  following:      

 

   

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Authors  of  empirical  articles  that  follow  the  hypothetic  deductive  model  use  theory  to   formulate  hypotheses  before  testing  those  hypotheses  with  observations  (Colquitt  and   Zapata-­‐phelan,  2007).  The  hypotheses  in  this  thesis  are  theory-­‐deduced  hypotheses  and   are   tested   during   the   research.   The   data   collection   methods   used   are   described   in   section  3.1.  In  section  3.2.  an  analysis  plan  is  provided.  The  controllability,  validity  and   reliability  of  the  data  used  is  described  in  section  3.3.    

 

3.1.  Data  collection  methods  

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automatic  PHP  script  is  created  that  automatically  reads  and  stores  the  amount  of  apps   developed  by  a  firm.  The  total  number  of  developed  apps  per  developer  is  added  to  the   database  one  day  after  finishing  the  collecting  process  of  the  top  100  ranking  charts.  The   RSS   feeds   of   Apple   do   not   include   the   developer   firm   sizes.   LinkedIN   provides   an   external  source  including  the  firm  sizes  of  most  firms  worldwide.  This  LinkedIN  source   is   accessible   via   an   API   for   LinkedIN   developers.   After   registration   of   a   LinkedIN   developer  account  it  was  possible  to  gather  firm  sizes  via  the  LinkedIN  API  using  a  self-­‐ written  PHP  script.  The  dataset  is  enhanced  with  the  firm  sizes  of  all  firms  provided  by   the   LinkedIN   API.   LinkedIN   uses   a   standard   classification   for   firm   sizes.   This   classification  is  shown  in  table  4.    

 

TABLE  4:  Firm  sizes  LinkedIN  

Type   URL   A   Self-­‐employed   B   1-­‐10  employees   C   11-­‐50  employees   D   51-­‐200  employees   E   201-­‐500  employees   F   501-­‐1000  employees   G   1001-­‐5000  employees   H   5001-­‐10,000  employees   I   10,001+  employees   Source:https://developer.linkedin.com/docs/reference/company-­‐size-­‐codes    

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TABLE  5:  Data  sources  

Source   URL   Free/Paid  

Apple’s  RSS   feed   http://www.apple.com/rss/   Free   Apple   Developer  page   https://itunes.apple.com/nl/developer/apple/id<developerID>   Example:  https://itunes.apple.com/nl/developer/apple/id284417353   Free  

LinkedIN  API   https://developer.linkedin.com/   Free  after  

registration   3.2.  Variables  and  measures  

In   this   research   as   many   as   possible   measures   are   based   on   existing   validated   scales   from  literature.  Below  the  measures  are  listed  per  variable  type.  

 

Independent  variables  

Firm  size.  Firm  size  is  measured  as  the  amount  of  employees  provided  by  LinkedIN  and   re-­‐grouped   in   the   categories   used   by   the   European   Commission   shown   in   table   1.   1   =   Micro,  2  =  Small,  3  =  Medium  and  4  =  Large.  The  variable  is  stored  in  the  dataset  using   the  name  compsizelevel.  

 

Firm  experience.  Firm  experience  is  measured  as  the  total  number  of  apps  deployed  by   an   app   development   firm   collected   one   day   after   collecting   the   last   top   100   ranking   chart  data.  The  variable  is  labelled  with  the  name  totalappsdeveloped  in  the  dataset.  The   variable   totalappsdeveloped   is   also   available   in   a   log-­‐transformed   version   called   ln_totalnumberofapps.     For   analyses   reasons   an   extra   variable   is   generated   called   totalappsdev_minus_current  that  shows  the  totalappsdeveloped  minus  the  total  apps  that   are  developed  by  a  firm  and  appeared  in  the  top  100  grossing  ranking  charts.    

   

Dependent  variable  

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top  100  ranking  charts  show  the  apps  that  generated  the  most  revenue.  The  grossing  top   100   ranking   chart   shows   indirectly   which   app   development   firms   are   the   most   profitable.  The  success  of  an  app  is  measured  as  the  number  of  days  an  app  survived  on   the   grossing   top   100   ranking   charts   in   the   category   “all”.   The   number   of   days   an   app   survived  is  used  because  Apple  does  not  release  actual  sales  figures  to  the  public  (Lee  et   al.,  2014).  As  noted  by  Garg  et  al.  (2012)  it  has  become  common  in  academic  research  to   use  data  top  ranks  as  measure  for  actual  sales  or  in  lieu  of  sales.  The  total  number  of   grossing  days  per  app  is  available  in  the  dataset  and  labelled  as  grossingdays.  

 

Success  of  an  app  development  firm.  Most  app  development  firms  develop  multiple  apps.   The  sum  of  all  grossing  days  of  all  apps  that  appeared  on  the  grossing  top  100  ranking   charts   per   firm   is   measured   and   stored   in   a   variable   called   sum_grossingdays.   This   variable  makes  it  possible  to  analyse  which  firms  have  the  most  profitable  app  portfolio.    

3.3.  Analysis  plan  

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3.4.  Controllability,  validity  and  reliability    

Van   Aken   et   al.   (2012)   describe   three   quality   criteria   namely:   controllability,   validity   and   reliability.   The   quality   criteria   of   Van   Aken,   Berends   and   Van   der   Bij   (2012)   are   applied  during  the  research.    

In  this  research  all  required  instruments  and  methods  are  described  in  detail  to   make   sure   that   other   researchers   can   repeat   this   research   ending   up   with   exactly   the   same   results.   Being   able   to   repeat   this   research   based   on   the   explanation   provided   makes  this  research  controllable  according  to  Van  Aken  et  al.  (2012).    

Validity   consists   of   three   constructs   namely   construct   validity,   internal   validity   and   external   validity   (Van   Aken   et   al.,   2012).   A   necessary   condition   for   theory   development  and  testing  is  the  validity  of  constructs  (Steenkamp  and  Van  Trijp,  1991).   Construct   validity   is   met   when   the   concept   is   covered   completely   and   when   measurement   is   performed   without   components   that   do   not   fit   the   concept.   The   supervisor   of   this   research   is   asked   as   an   expert   to   check   whether   the   applied   components  are  valid  and  complete.  Also  the  current  literature  base  is  used  to  check  for   construct  validity.  To  enhance  the  internal  validity  of  the  research  outcomes  the  top  100   ranking  chart  data  is  collected  and  added  to  the  dataset  for  as  many  days  as  possible.   This  research  is  limited  to  the  top  100  grossing  ranking  chart  datasets  of  four  countries   of  the  Apple  App  Store  and  34  days.  The  group  of  app  users  that  use  other  stores  such  as   the   Windows   and   Android   store   are   neglected   in   this   research.   This   could   affect   the   external  validity  of  the  research  outcomes.  

As  noted  by  Steenkamp  et  al.  (1991)  reliability  is  the  level  to  which  measures  are   free   from   random   errors.   If   random   errors   do   not   occur   the   same   outcomes   can   be   conduced  if  the  research  is  repeated  in  the  same  way.  The  methods  used  for  establishing   the   results   are   described   as   objective   as   possible   to   make   sure   that   it   is   possible   to   repeat  the  research  in  the  same  way  and  to  avoid  random  errors.    

 

3.5.  Dataset  statistics  

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ranking   charts   are   shown   in   table   6.   A   dataset   summary/description   per   country   is   provided  in  Appendix  C.  Please  note  that  the  complete  dataset  collected  contains  more   than   34.000   apps   and   20.000   developers   and   is   filtered   by   the   category   “general”   to   avoid  duplicates  that  could  affect  the  results.  After  filtering  the  data  the  dataset  consists   of  the  amount  of  observations  shown  in  table  6.  

 

TABLE  6:  Dataset  characteristics  

Top  Chart  100   Category   Observations  /  Apps   Days  measured  

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In   this   research   it   is   tested   whether   firm   size   and   experience   have   influence   on   the   success  of  an  app  development  company.  In  the  below  three  sub-­‐paragraphs  the  results   of  the  hypothesis  tests  are  provided.  

4.1.  Hypothesis  1  

Hypothesis  one  states  that  larger  firms  do  not  deploy  more  successful  apps  than  their   smaller   counterparts.   The   dependent   variable   grossingdays   and   the   independent   variable  compsizelevel  are  used  to  reject  the  hypothesis.  The  Poisson  distribution  seems   to   be   impropriate   to   use   for   analysis   because   the   dependent   variable   shows   signs   of   over-­‐dispersion.  However  the  Poisson  distribution  results  are  shown  in  Appendix  G.  The   Poisson  goodness-­‐of-­‐fit  results  (gof)  are  also  shown  in  Appendix  G.  The  gof  results  show   very  large  chi-­‐square  values,  which  is  also  not  a  good  indicator  to  proceed  the  analysis   using   the   Poisson   distribution.   To   proceed   the   analysis   the   negative   binomial   distribution  is  used  which  allows  the  variance  to  be  greater  than  the  mean.  The  results   of  the  negative  binominal  distribution  test  are  provided  in  Appendix  H  and  the  level  of   significance   is   shown   in   table   6.   The   negative   binominal   distribution   analysis   results   show  a  likelihood  ratio  higher  than  800  for  each  country.  This  confirms  that  the  Poisson   distribution  results  are  indeed  in-­‐appropriate.    

 

TABLE  6:  significance  compsizelevel  

Country   P>|z|   DE   0,039   NL   0,023   UK   0,065   US   0,096    

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successful   for   the   top   100   of   UK   and   US   apps.   This   means   that   the   hypothesis   can   be   partly   rejected.   For   the   top   100   ranking   charts   of   NL   and   DE   the   hypothesis   can   be   rejected.   For   the   top   100   ranking   charts   of   the   UK   and   the   US   the   hypothesis   can   be   confirmed.    

 

4.2.  Hypothesis  2  

Hypothesis   two   states   that   firms   that   have   more   experience   in   app   developing   do   not   deploy  more  successful  apps.  The  dependent  variable  grossingdays  and  the  independent   variable  totalappsdeveloped  are  used  to  reject  the  hypothesis.  The  Poisson  distribution   test  results  are  shown  in  Appendix  I.  The  gof  results  show  very  large  chi-­‐square  values,   which   is   an   indicator   that   the   Poisson   test   is   not   reliable   to   test   the   hypothesized   relationship.   As   alternative   test   for   the   Poisson   distribution   test   a   negative   binominal   distribution   test   is   performed.   The   results   of   the   negative   binomial   distribution   are   provided   in   Appendix   J.   If   the   results   are   significant   it   can   be   stated   that   firms   that   deployed   more   apps   are   more   successful   than   firms   that   are   less   experienced   in   app   developing.  The  measured  significance  levels  are  shown  in  table  7  per  country.  

 

TABLE  7:  significance  totalappsdeveloped  

Country   P>|z|   DE   0,728   NL   0,713   UK   0,517   US   0,975    

As   shown   in   table   7   no   significant   results   are   found   (all   P>|z|   <   0,05).   The   results   confirm  the  stated  hypothesis.  As  shown  in  Appendix  K  one  or  two  developers  created   more  than  600  apps.  In  order  to  avoid  that  outliers  affect  the  results  the  log-­‐transformed   variable  ln_  totalappsdeveloped   is  used  and  the  data  is  re-­‐analysed  using  the  negative   binominal  distribution  test.  The  results  are  shown  in  table  8  and  in  appendix  L.        

 

TABLE  8:  significance  ln_totalappsdeveloped  

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NL   0,390  

UK   0,947  

US   0,771  

   

The   outcomes   of   the   negative   binomial   distribution   test   using   the   log-­‐transfermed   variable   ln_totalappsdeveloped   do   not   show   significant   results   (all   P>|z|   >   0,05).   As   stated  in  the  hypothesis  it  cannot  be  confirmed  that  firms  with  more  experience  in  app   development  deploy  more  successful  apps.  The  hypothesis  is  confirmed.  

 

4.3.  Hypothesis  3  

Hypothesis  three  states  that  there  is  no  effect  between  firm  experience  and  the  overall   success   of   software   developer’s   app   portfolio.   In   order   to   test   this   hypothesis   a   new   variable  is  introduced  which  is  the  sum  of  the  total  number  of  grossingdays  of  all  apps   developed   by   an   app   developing   firm.   This   variable   is   called   sum_grossingdays   and   is   used  as  dependent  variable.  Some  firms  deployed  a  lot  of  apps  and  just  appear  with  one   app   in   the   top   100   grossing   days   ranking   charts.   However   other   development   firms   deployed  just  one  app  and  appear  for  a  very  long  period  in  the  top  100  grossing  days   ranking  charts  with  this  one  app.  In  order  to  rectify  for  this  a  new  variable  is  introduced   which   shows   the   total   apps   developed   minus   the   apps   that   appeared   in   the   top   100   grossing   days   ranking   charts   during   the   measurement.   The   variable   is   called   totalappsdev_minus_current   and   is   used   as   independent   variable.   The   Poisson   distribution  test  results  are  shown  in  Appendix  M  and  the  binominal  regression  tests  are   shown  in  Appendix  N.  The  measured  significance  levels  provided  by  applying  a  negative   binominal   distribution   test   are   shown   in   table   9   per   country.   The   outcomes   are   significant  for  all  countries.    

 

TABLE  9:  significance  sum_totalappsdev_minus_current  

Country   P>|z|  

DE   0,003  

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UK   0,006  

US   0,006  

 

Because  outliers  are  found  in  the  dependent  variable  sum_totalappsdev_minus_current   the   test   is   re-­‐done   using   a   new   log-­‐transformed   variable   ln_sum_totalappsdev_minus_current.   The   outcomes   of   the   negative   binominal   distribution   test   are   provided   in   Appendix   O   and   the   significance   levels   are   shown   in   table  10.  The  United  States  and  the  United  Kingdom  top  100  grossing  ranking  chart  data   show   significant   results   for   the   relationship   between   the   independent   variable   sum_totalappsdev_minus_current   and   the   dependent   variable   sum_grossingdays.   This   indicates   that   development   firms   are   found   that   are   able   to   learn   from   experience   of   previously   build   apps   in   the   UK   and   the   US   top   100   grossing   ranking   chart   dataset.   However  firms  in  the  German  and  Dutch  dataset  do  not  show  significant  results  for  this   relationship.    

 

TABLE  10:  significance  ln_sum_totalappsdev_minus_current  

Country   P>|z|   DE   0,118   NL   0,063   UK   0,007   US   0,009    

As  stated  in  the  hypothesis  there  is  no  effect  between  firm  experience  and  the  success  of   developers  app  portfolio,  but  this  result  is  only  found  in  the  Dutch  and  German  dataset.   The   hypothesis   can   be   confirmed   for   the   German   and   Dutch   dataset.   However   the  

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The  aim  of  this  research  is  to  answer  the  following  research  question:  What  is  the  effect   of  firm  experience  and  firm  size  on  the  success  of  an  app  development  firm?  

 

In   order   to   answer   this   question   it   is   measured   whether   firm   size   is   important   to   become   successful   as   an   app   development   firm   and   it   is   measured   whether   firm   experience  in  app  development  has  an  effect  on  the  success  of  app  development  firms.  In   this  research  the  most  successful  firms  are  identified  as  the  firms  that  earned  the  most   profits  via  the  Apple  app  store  by  selling  apps  and/or  in-­‐app  content  during  34  days  of   measurement.        

The  study  provides  two  main  outcomes  that  can  help  stakeholders  to  understand  what   kind  of  software  firms  are  more  successful  in  app  development.  

The  first  outcome  of  this  research  shows  that  firm  size  does  have  an  effect  on  the   success   of   deployed   apps.   However   this   relationship   is   only   found   in   the   German   and   Dutch  dataset.  No  significant  relationship  between  firm  size  and  the  success  of  deployed   apps  is  found  for  the  dataset  of  the  United  Kingdom  and  the  United  States.  Based  on  the   research  of  Yin  et  al.  (1998)  it  was  expected  that  small  size  firms  are  more  successful   than   their   larger   counterparts   in   the   deployment   of   new   products   for   relatively   new   markets  such  as  app  markets.  As  this  research  shows  the  relationship  between  firm  size   and  app  success  differs  between  countries.    

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software   development   firms   are   able   to   learn   from   experience,   but   show   a   lower   learning   rate   than   manufacturing   firms.   It   could   be   the   case   that   app   software   development  firms  in  countries  such  as  the  United  States  and  the  United  Kingdom  where   learning   seems   to   appear   found   ways   –   perhaps   based   on   constructing   intellectual   schemas  as  described  by  Sacks  et  al.  (1999)  –  to  enhance  their  work  processes  based  on   past  experience.    

At   the   time   of   writing   (June   2016)   not   much   is   known   in   the   current   literature   base   about   learning   behaviour   within   software   development   firms.   This   is   why   it   is   not   possible  to  provide  a  clear  reason  for  the  differences  in  results  between  the  measured   countries  in  this  report.  

 

TABLE  11:  Outcomes    

Country   H1:  significant   H2:  significant   H3:  significant  

DE   Yes   No   No  

NL   Yes   No   No  

UK   No   No   Yes  

US   No   No   Yes  

 

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etcetera.   These   sources   could   make   smaller   firms   with   fewer   resources   also   experienced.  In  this  research  the  relationship  between  firm  size  and  firm  experience  and   the   correlation   and   influence   of   both   variables   on   the   success   of   an   app   development   firm  is  not  analysed.  Further  analysis  needs  to  be  done  to  check  for  multicollinearity  and   the  correlations  between  the  previously  mentioned  variables.    

 

To  summarize  the  research  question  of  this  paper  is  “What  is  the  effect  of  firm  experience   and  firm  size  on  the  success  of  an  app  development  firm?”.  And  the  main  outcome  of  this   research   and   answer   of   the   research   question   is:   the   effect   of   firm   size   as   well   as   the   effect  of  firm  experience  on  the  success  of  an  app  development  firm  in  app  stores  differs   per  country.  Not  enough  literature  was  available  to  provide  a  proven  explanation  for  the   differences  shown  between  countries.        

 

5.1.  Theoretical  and  managerial  implications  

This   research   is   a   first   step   in   the   understanding   of   the   relationship   between   firm   characteristics  and  the  success  of  app  development  firms.  The  outcomes  of  this  research   show  that  for  some  countries  there  is  a  significant  influence  of  firm  size  on  the  success  of   a   development   firm   in   app   stores.   Other   countries   show   a   significant   effect   of   firm   experience   on   the   success   of   development   firms   in   app   stores.   This   means   that   it   is   proven   that   firm   characteristics   have   a   significant   influence   on   the   success   of   a   development  firm  in  app  stores.  For  stakeholders  it  is  important  to  know  what  kinds  of   firm   characteristics   do   influence   the   success   of   app   development   firms.   This   helps   stakeholders   to   make   better   (investment)   decisions.   The   author   asks   for   further   research  to  analyse  the  relationship  between  the  variables  firm  size,  firm  experience  and   the  success  of  app  development  firms  in  more  detail.    

 

5.2.  Limitations  and  further  research      

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References  

 

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Bhandari,  R.  (2010).  Role  of  Grids  for  Electricity  and  Water  Supply  with  Decreasing  Costs   for  Photovoltaics  (Vol.  15).  kassel  university  press  GmbH.  

 

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de  Brentani,  U.  (1995).  Firm  size:  implications  for  achieving  success  in  new  industrial   services.  Journal  of  Marketing  Management,  11(1-­‐3),  207-­‐225.  

 

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Garg,  R.,  &  Telang,  R.  (2012).  Inferring  app  demand  from  publicly  available  data.  MIS   Quarterly,  Forthcoming.  

 

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Websites    

Number  of  apps  available  in  leading  app  stores  as  of  June  2016  (2016,  June)  Retrieved   from  http://www.statista.com/statistics/276623/number-­‐of-­‐apps-­‐available-­‐in-­‐leading-­‐

app-­‐stores/  

 

Less  than  1%  of  apps  to  be  financial  successes:  Gartner  (2014,  January  13)  Retrieved  from  

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/tech/tech-­‐news/Less-­‐than-­‐1-­‐of-­‐apps-­‐to-­‐be-­‐

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Appendix  A:  App  Store  categories  

 

Category  ID   Category  title  

Leave  this  field  empty  during  the  request   All  categories  

6018   Books   6000   Business   6022   Catalogs   6017   Education   6016   Entertainment   6015   Finance   6023   Food&Drinks   6014   Games  

6013   Health  &  Fitness  

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Total  days  measured:       34  days    

 

Date   Status   Free  Cat  

P1   Free  Cat  P100   Paid  Cat  P1   Paid  Cat  P100   Grossing  Cat  P1   Grossing  Cat  P100  

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