Tilburg University
Market liquidity around earnings announcements
Pronk, M.
Publication date:
2002
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Citation for published version (APA):
Pronk, M. (2002). Market liquidity around earnings announcements. CentER, Center for Economic Research.
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UNIVERSITEIT * <0 VAN TILBURG
*
BIBLIOTHEEK TILBURG
Market Liquidity
around
Market Liquidity
around
Earnings
Announcements
Proefschrift
ter verkrijging van
de graad vandoctor aan de
Universiteit van
Tilburg
op gezag van de rectormagnificus, prof.dr. F.A. van der Duyn Schouten, in
het openbaar te verdedigen ten overstaan van een
door het college voor promoties aangewezen
commissie in de aula vandeUniversiteitopvrijdag 8
november 2002 om 14.15 uur door
Maarten
Pronk
Promotores: Prof.dr.D.V. DeJong
'Unless the LORD builds the house, they labor in vain who build it, unless the LORD
guards the city, the watchman stays awake in vain. ' (Psalm 127:1)
PREFACE
One
ofthe
things I learned as a Ph.D. student is that research isaninteractiveprocess.Feedback by
fellow
academics is necessary to makeprogress. I benefited from manyadvices, comments and suggestions. Therefore, I would liketo express my gratitude
to thosewhocontributed tomy dissertation.
First of all, I would like
to thank my supervisors Doug DeJong and GerardMertens. Doug explainedtheimportance ofPh.D. courses, stimulated metovisit the
University of
Iowa,stressedtheimportance ofaninternational academicnetwork andcommented
quickly
andthoroughly on all versions of mypapers.Inother words, he islargely responsible for myacademic education over the last
five
years. On top of that,I am grateful for allpleasant non-academic meetings andtalks wehad. Gerard's major
contribution lies in the
field
of
motivation. Heasked me to become a Ph.D. student,createdapleasantworkingatmosphereatTilburg Universityandstimulated me all the
way long. I
also enjoyed our participation in the researchproject of
the Limperg Institute intothequalityof
financial reporting intheNetherlands.Part ofthe research was undertaken at theUniversity of Iowa. Iamgrateful to
the accounting
faculty and
Ph.D. studentsthere for
the great time and enrichingexperience. Our neighbours and friends in Iowa
City
changed this challenging timeinto an exciting
period. I
gratefully acknowledge financialsupport from The
NetherlandsOrganization
for
ScientificResearchforthesevisits(NWO
R46-404 andR46-435).
My colleagues at Tilburg University contributed to my dissertation too, by theiradvice and bycreatingastimulatingresearchenvironment. I amalsoindebted to
Peter Easton, Terry Warfield and MortPincus
for
their comments on myresearch aswell as the participants ofthe seminars atErasmus University Rotterdam, Lancaster
University, London Business School, Nijenrode University, University
of
Antwerp, University of Iowa,and participants ofthe PWC2000Doctoral Colloquium.Finally, Iwould like
to thank the members of my committee, in addition to those alreadymentioned:
Willem
Buijink,
Theo NijmanandArthur
van Soest, forthe approval ofthis thesis.
This dissertation closes a
period of
five years as a Ph.D. student. However,downs. A clear up was mymarriage to
Karin in July
1999. Every day 1 enjoy herdecisionto share her life with me. A big loss was the sudden death of my father in
November 1999, as he was an important person in my life. He was companionable
and he wasalways interested in my activities. I have greatmemories of the time we
shared together. Asanexpression of mygratitude I dedicatethis thesis to him.
CONTENTS
1 Introduction 1
1.1 Introduction 1
1.2 Market
liquidity
around earningsannouncements 1
1.3 Theimpact
of
intradaytiming
of
earnings announcements on marketliquidity 5
1.4 Theimpact
ofthe
information environment on the drop inmarketliquidity
before earningsannouncements 61.5 Positioning
ofthe
essayswithin
financeandfinancialaccounting research 71.6 Outline
ofthe
thesis 8
2 The impact
of intraday timing of
earnings announcementsonmarket
liquidity 9
2.1 Introduction 9
2.2 Literatureoverviewand hypothesis development 11
2.2.1 Bid-askspread anddepth 11
2.2.2 Increasedprobability
of
informed tradingaround earnings announcements 142.2.3 Impact
of
intradaytiming
of
earnings announcements on increasedprobabilityof
informedtrading 152.3 Research
design 16
2.3.1 Earnings announcement
times 16
2.3.2 Calculation
of
marketliquidity
variables 172.4 Results 19
2.4.1
After
earnings announcements 192.4.2 Beforeearningsannouncements 21
2.4.3 Sensitivitytests 24
3 The impact of the
information environment on the drop
inmarket
liquidity
before earningsannouncements 31
3.1 Introduction 31
3.2 Literature overviewandhypothesisdevelopment 32
3.2.1 Bid-askspread, adverse selectioncomponent and
depth 32
3.2.2 Increasedprobability
of
informed tradingbefore earnings announcements 353.2.3 Theimpact
ofthe
information environment on the drop in marketliquidity 35
3.3 Research
design 37
3.3.1 Earnings announcementtimes 38
3.3.2 Variable
definitions 38
3.4 Results 45
3.4.1 Descriptive
statistics 45
3.4.2 Regression
results 47
3.5 Discussion 52
3.6 Summaryand
conclusions 53
Appendix 3.A Approach by LSBto detect the adverse selection
component 54
4 Summary
andconclusions 59
4.1 Introduction 59
4.2 Theimpact
of
intradaytiming
of
earnings announcements onmarketliquidity 59
4.3 Theimpact
ofthe
information environment on the drop inmarketliquidity
before earningsannouncements 61References 63
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Introduction
Market
liquidity
drops around earnings announcements. Lee,Mucklow
and Ready(1993) (hereafter
LMR)
present evidencethatbid-ask spreads are higherand depthsare lower during trading hours around earnings announcements than during
non-announcement periods. Investorsdislike this drop, becausemarket
liquidity is one of
the most important characteristics that
investors look for in
an organized financialmarket.Market
liquidity
relates to theability to buy or
sell significant quantities of asecurity quickly, anonymously, and with relatively
little
price impact.Low
marketliquidity has a negative impact on the demand
for
shares and the share price. Thisreducedsharepricerelates toahigher cost
of
equitycapital. Therefore, itisimportantto explore the dropinmarket
liquidity
around earnings announcements.This thesis investigates two important aspects of this drop in market
liquidity,
namely (a)the
ability
of
management to mitigate the drop in marketliquidity
aroundearnings announcements by using their discretion to announce the earnings news
during non-trading instead
of
trading hours and (b) the conjecture that the drop inmarket
liquidity
before earnings announcements relates to therichness of the
information environment. Before discussingthesetopics inmoredetail insection 1.3
and 1.4, I explain the notion
of
market liquidity and the behavior ofthe (adverseselection
component of
the) bid-ask spread and depth around earningsannouncements. Section 1.5 positions the thesis
within
finance and financialaccountingresearchandsection 1.6providestheoutline
ofthis
thesis.1.2 Market liquidity around
earnings announcementsTomaintain
liquidity,
manyorganizedexchangesusemarket makers,individuals whostand
ready to buy or
sell wheneverinvestors wish to sell or buy.
Inreturn for
providing
liquidity,
market makers are granted monopolyrights by the exchange to postdifferent prices forpurchases and sales: they buy at the bid price and sell at a higher ask price. As figure 1.1 shows, the quoted bid-ask spread is the differencebetween the quoted bid and ask
price. It
is possible that traders negotiate with thea price that ishigher than the quoted bidprice and sell ataprice thatislower than the
quotedaskprice. Theeffective bid-askspread takesthis possibility intoaccount and is
calculated as two times the absolute
value of
the difference between the quotemidpoint (average of the bid andaskprice) and the bid orask price forapurchase or
sale, respectively.
Figure
1.1Bid-ask
spreadsPrice
QA _
lA 7 Effective spread 2*2 for a saleQuoted I QM 3
spread 'i-*1 Efective spread
IB -) for a purchase
QB
Time
This figure demonstrates the quotedandeffectivebid-ask spread.QArepresents the quoted ask price,
IAtheinsideaskprice, QMthe quotemidpoint, IBtheinsidebidprice and QB the quoted bid price.
Extant market microstructure literature shows that thebid-ask spreadconsists
of
three components: order processing costs, inventory holding costs, and adverseselection costs. The order processing cost component represents a fee charged by
market makers
for
standing ready to match buy and sell orders(Tinic 1972). The
inventory holding cost component compensates dealers
for
managing the inventory (Stoll 1978, Hoand Stoll 1981).Finally,the adverse selection component represents areward to market makers
for taking on the risk
of
dealingwith
traders who maypossesssuperior information(Copeland andGalai 1983, Glosten and Milgrom 1985). When, for example, an investor knows before an earnings announcement that the
earnings are far lowerthan expected, (s)he willsell shares to themarketmaker.
After
the information arrival both the bid and ask price drop. As figure 1.2 indicates, the
a low
ask price (QA i). Therefore, the market makerearns only part of
the bid-askspread. Similarly, whenan investorknows before the announcement that the earnings are higherthanexpected (s)he will buyshares.
After
the information arrival the bidand ask price go up and the market maker misses the return on the shares because
(s)he already sold
the shares. In other words, when investors possess privateinformation, market makers are
missing part of
thespread or part of
the returnbecause they have theobligationto trade.To compensate themselves
for
thesemissedrevenues, market makers increase thebid-askspread. Asaresult,marketmakers earn
more when they trade
with
traders without private information. These additionalrevenues compensate for the missed spreads and missed returns
while
trading withinformed investors. The higherthe probability
of
informed trading is, the higher theadverseselection component and, thus, the bid-askspread.
Figure
1.2Adverse selection componentPrice QAO
QAl
QMo
-QM' QBO J US QB' TimeThis figure illustrates the unrealized spread due to informedtrading. QArepresents the quoted ask
price, QMthe quotemidpoint, QBthe quotedbidprice and US the unrealized spread due toinformed
trading.
LMR state thatthebid-ask spread is onlyonedimension
of
market liquidity.Theotherdimension isthe depth: the number
of
shares market makersarewilling to
trade at the quoted bid and ask prices, respectively.Market makers may declare the
maker quotes a large depth, an informed investorcantrade many shares at one time
againstthequoted bid oraskprice.However, whenthemarket maker declaresasmall
depth, theinformed investor canonlytradesmallportions at a time.
After
eachtrade,themarket maker has theopportunityto change the bid and ask prices. Therefore, the
market
maker may lose
less money before discovering theimplications of new
information forthefundamental shareprice. Thus, whentheprobability
of
informed trading increases, the spread and adverse selection component are expected toincrease andthe depthisexpected todecrease.
Days around earnings announcements constitute a period in which market
makers may experience an increasedprobability
of
informed trading.LMR
mentionthree reasons why the information asymmetry between market makers and informed
investors may
increase just bgore
an earnings release,namely: (a)
a higherprobability
of
leakageof
value relevant information when earningsare known to the company, (b) the possibility that theofficially
filed information reaches investorsearlierthan market makers, and (c)the expectation
of
imminent earnings news may stimulate some traders to search for information immediatelyprior to the
announcement. Kim and Verrecchia (1991, 1994) and McNichols and Trueman(1994) provide analytical evidence on this
issue. LMR show
that market makersindeed increasespreads and decreasedepths beforedaytimeearnings announcements.
Additionally,
Krinsky and Lee
(1996) (hereafterKL)
present evidence that theadverse selection component ofthe spread is significantly higher before daytime
earnings announcements thanduringthenon-announcement period. This suggests that
market makersarefacinganincreasedprobability
of
informed trading.Market makers may also face an increased probability
of
informed tradingafter earnings announcements. Kim and Verrecchia (1994) and Livne (2000) model
this situation. Their
basic idea is that
some investors gather private informationthrough their superiorcapacities to interpret earnings news. Another argument is that earnings news is revealed in pieces and informed trading takes place when this information reaches investors earlierthan market makers. For example, theearnings
number may hit the news wire first,
followed by
theincome statement and balancesheet, while detailed information is revealed later
during the day. LMR and KL
present empirical evidence on this
issue and show that
the spread and adverseselection component are higher during trading hours after daytime earnings
1.3 The
impact
of
intraday
timing
of
earnings announcements onmarket
liquidity
As discussed in
the previous sections, empirical literature indicates that marketliquidity
drops around earnings announcements. Investors dislike this drop, becausemarket liquidity is one of themostimportantcharacteristics thatinvestors look for in
an organized financial market. Even though the period around earnings
announcements is a short interval, the
impact of
the marketliquidity drop may be
severe, because this period is
known for its
high trading volume (Morse (1981),Bamber (1986)). Therefore, itisimportant formanagement
of
listedfirms tobeawareof actions
that might reduce the decline in marketliquidity
around earningsannouncements.
The
first
essayinvestigates intradaytimingof
earnings releases as a way of mitigating the dropinmarketliquidity
aroundtheseannouncements.Thereareseveralreasons to expect that intraday
timing
of
earnings announcements influences theprobability
of
informed trading and, therefore, the change in bid-ask spreads anddepths around these announcements. The probability
of
informed trading increasesbefore earnings announcements during trading hours ('daytime' announcements)
because investors are more motivated tosearch for private informationand because
thepublicannouncement mayreachinvestorsearlierthanmarket makers.Thissecond
threat, however, does not exist
for
announcements during non-trading hours('overnight'
announcements). In addition, Livne (2001) showsanalytically that
investors
with
private information trade less aggressively before overnight thandaytimeannouncements.Thissuggests that the increase in theprobability
of
informed tradingissmallerbeforeovernightreleases.The intraday
timing may
also influence the probabilityof
informed trading after earnings announcements. When the earnings are released overnight, investor donot needto reactimmediately on the news andcan research the databefore making a
trading decision. In addition, when the information is revealed in pieces before
opening of
the market, investors can also use this additional information in their decisionprocess. On the NYSE and AMEX
investors can submit orders beforeopening of
the market. When the submitted orders reflect the earnings news, theopeningprice
will
capture the releasedinformation and theprobabilityissmaller thatmarket makers
willloose
money to investorswith
private information after opening ofmakerscanstill settheopeningprice conditional ontherelease whentheycheck news wiresbefore theopening ofthe market.Basedon thesearguments, I hypothesize that
the percentage
deviation of
the spread from the median spreadduring the
non-announcement period is larger andthe percentage
deviation of
the depth is smallerbefore andafterdaytime announcements relative to overnight announcements.
The sample consists of 1000 daytime and 1802 overnight earnings
announcementsdeclared between 1993 and 1996 by 336firms traded at the NYSE or
AMEX.
The results show that percentagedeviationsof
quoted and effective spreadsare significantly larger and percentage deviations of depths are smaller after 'daytime'
announcements compared to 'overnight' announcements. This suggests that intraday
timing
ispossibly a way
tomitigate the drop
in marketliquidity
after earnings announcements.1.4 The
impact of
theinformation
environment on the drop
in market
liquidity
before earnings announcementsThe second essay investigates the drop in market
liquidity
before earningsannouncements. So far,no evidence existswhethermarketmakers adjust spreads and
depths forall firms to thesameextentorconditionthemarket
liquidity drop on
firm-specific factors. I investigatetheconjecture that this drop inmarket
liquidity
relates tothe richness ofthe information environment. A rich information environment means
thatmoreinformation is
publicly
availableand captured in theshareprice. Therefore,a smaller price reaction is expected at the earnings announcement and this reduces
investor's incentives to search
for
private information. Inaddition, even when
investorssearch for and find private information, the loss tothe marketmakermight
be smaller, becausethe expected pricereaction to new information is smaller. I use
three
proxies for
the information environment, namely disclosurequality, the
occurrence
of
management earnings forecasts and thenumberof
analysts forecastingthe earnings news.
The dataset contains 2802 earnings announcements made between 1993 and
1996 by 336firms thataretraded at the NYSE or AMEX.The analysis provides some
evidence on the
impact of
the information environment on the marketliquidity drop
before earnings announcements by showing that the occurrence
of
managementearnings forecasts affects the change in depths.
However, I do not find
a robustadverse selection component
of)
spreads. One explanation for this lackof
results isthat market makers do not believe that the information environment affects the probability
of
informed tradingbefore earnings announcements and,therefore, do not conditionon thesevariables.Another explanation is that the drop in marketliquidity
istoo small toshow cross-sectional differences.
1.5 Positioning oftheessays
within
finance andfinancial
accounting researchThe essays can be positioned in both finance and financial accounting research.
Within
finance, myresearchrelates to marketmicrostructure literature. This area ofresearch investigates trading systems and price formation processes on capital
markets.
My
thesis contributes to thisliterature in two
ways. First, I investigate theimpact
of
information releases during trading and non-trading hours and show that announcing news during a non-trading period improves market liquidity. Second, Iexplore theinformation setthatmarket makers use toinfertheprobability
of
informed tradingbefore earnings announcements.Alternatively, my
thesis can
beviewed from
a financial accountingperspective, because
it
contributes to disclosure-related capital market research. Thisresearch areausescapital markets toprovideevidence on the relevance
of
supplyinginformation toinvestors.Overall, two sets
of
capitalmarketvariablesareinvestigated,namely (a) sharepricesandreturns, and (b) bid-askspreads and depths. Anexample
of
thefirst
category isthe study byHealy, Huttonand Palepu (1999). They find that firms that expand disclosure experience significant contemporaneous increases instock prices thatareunrelatedto currentearningsperformance. Otherpapers focus on
bid-ask spreads and depths because, as discussed in section 1.2, these variables are
related to the information asymmetry on capital markets. While the
reduction of
information asymmetry is an aim
of
disclosure, this research design provides direct evidence on the impactof
information supply on uncertainty on capital markets.Welker (1995) documents,
for
example, a significant negative relation betweenanalysts' ratings
of
firms'
disclosures and bid-ask spreads, whileColler and Yohn
(1997) provide evidence on theimpact
of
management earnings forecasts on spreadsand depths.
My
thesiscontributes to this areabyinvestigating whetherdisclosure alsoaffects the changeinbid-ask spreadsand depths before earnings announcements and
by documenting that the
timing
of
announcements impacts uncertainty on capital1.6 Outline of
thethesisChapter 2 presents the
investigation of
the impactof
intradaytiming
of
earningsannouncements onmarket
liquidity,
while chapter3 contains the essay on theimpactof
the informationenvironment on the drop
in marketliquidity
before earningsannouncements. Chapter 4 summarizes the thesis and proposes some themes for
futureresearch. Note that theessays in chapter 2 and 3 areself-contained. Therefore,
CHAPTER 2
THE IMPACTOFINTRADAYTIMINGOFEARNINGSANNOUNCEMENTS ON
MARKET LIQUIDITY
2.1 Introduction
Market
liquidity
drops around earnings announcements. Lee, Mucklow and Ready(1993) (hereafter
LMR)
present evidence thatbid-ask spreads are higherand depthsare lower during trading hours around earnings announcements than during
non-announcement periods. Investorsdislike thisdrop, becausemarket
liquidity is one of
the most important characteristics that
investors look for in
an organized financialmarket. Market
liquidity
relates to theability to buy or
sell significant quantities of asecurity quickly, anonymously, and
with
relativelylittle
price impact. Low marketliquidity
impacts the demandfor
shares andthe shareprice negatively. Thisreducedshare price relates to ahigher cost
of
equitycapital. Even though the periodaroundearnings announcements is a short interval, the
impact of
the marketliquidity drop
maybe severe, becausethisperiod isknown for itshightrading volume (Morse 1981,
Bamber 1986). It is
of
great importancefor
managementof
listedfirmsto understandtherelevance
ofthe
marketliquidity drop and tobeawareof
actions thatmightreducethis decline.
This essay investigates the intraday
timing
of
earnings announcements as away
of
mitigating the drop
in marketliquidity
around earnings announcements.Several analytical papers show that market
liquidity
drops before andafter earningsannouncements because market makers are concerned about an
increase in the
probability
of
informedtrading (Kim
and Verrecchia 1991, 1994, Livne 2000 andMcNichols andTrueman 1994). There are severalreasons to expect that the intraday
timing
of
earnings announcements influencesthisprobabilityof
informedtrading and,therefore, the change in the bid-ask spread and depth. The probability
of
informedtrading increases before earnings announcements during trading hours ('daytime'
announcements) because investors are more motivated to search
for
privateinformation and because the public announcement may reach investors earlier than marketmakers.Thissecond threat, however, doesnotexistforannouncementsduring non-trading hours
('overnight'
announcements). In addition, Livne (2001) showsovernight than daytime announcements. This suggests that the
increase in the
probability
of
informed tradingissmallerbeforeovernightreleases.The intraday
timing may
also influence the probabilityof
informed tradingafterearnings announcements. When the earnings are released overnight, investors do
not need to reactimmediately on the news andcan research the databeforemaking a
trading decision. In addition, when the information is revealed in pieces before
opening of
the market, investors can also use this additional information in theirdecision process. On the New
York
Stock Exchange (NYSE) and American StockExchange
(AMEX)
investors can submit orders beforeopening ofthe market. Whenthe submitted orders reflect the earnings news, the opening price
will
capture thereleased information and the probability is smaller that market makers
will
loosemoneyto investorswith privateinformation after opening ofthe market. Even when
the order flow does
not reflect the earnings news, market makers canstill set the
opening price conditional on the release when they check news wires before the
opening of
the market. Based on these arguments I hypothesize thatthe percentagedeviation of
the spread from the median spreadduringthe non-announcementperiodis larger and the percentage deviation of the depth issmallerbefore andafter daytime
announcementsrelativetoovernightannouncements.
The sample consists of 1000 daytime and 1802 overnight earnings
announcements declaredbetween 1993 and 1996 by 336firms traded at the NYSE or
AMEX. Relative
to overnight releases,the results showthat daytimereleases relate,on average, to significantly larger percentage deviations ofthe quoted and effective
spread fromthe median during the non-announcement period and lower percentage
deviations of the depth after earnings announcements. This suggests that intraday
timing is possibly a way to mitigate the drop in market liquidity
after earningsannouncements.Sensitivity testsrevealthatthese findings arerobustto firm-specific
factorsand cross-listings, andthatthere is nodifference intheinformation content of daytimeandovernightannouncements in the sample. In fact, I find noevidence of a drop in market liquidity after overnight earnings announcements at all. LMR state that
a
valid
conjecture aboutadecreasein market liquidity can only be madewhen spreadsincrease and depths do not rise orwhen depths decrease andspreads do notdecline,
simultaneously. However, after overnightearnings announcements the quoted spread
and depth are both significantly larger than during the non-announcement period.
liquidity,
whiletheother dimension(depth) showsanincreasein marketliquidity. In
addition,the effectivespread issignificantly smaller after overnight announcements
than during
the non-announcement period. Finally, the analysis provides someevidence that intraday timing affects effective
spreads before earningsannouncements. However, sensitivity tests reveal that this result may be
driven by
firm-specificfactors.
Theessayshows that thecall auction attheopening ofthe market and/or the opportunity forthemarket maker to interpretthe earnings news beforetradingstarts,
reducetheprobability
of
informed tradingandimprovemarketliquidity
afterearningsannouncements. In this waytheessay shows a benefit
of
announcing earnings newsoutside trading hours. However,
firms that
are cross-listed on a non-US exchangeshould be aware that the drop in market
liquidity
mayoccur on the other exchangewhen that
exchange is open at
the announcement. Additionally, thedecision to
announce earningsduring trading or non-tradinghours depends on more factors than
just
the impact on marketliquidity.
The remainder ofthischapterisorganizedasfollows.In section 2.2, I discuss
the relevantliterature and developthe hypotheses. Section2.3 discussesthe research
design,whilesection 2.4 presents theempiricalresults. Section2.5concludes.
2.2
Literature
overview and hypothesis development2.2.1 Bid-ask spread and depth
To maintain
liquidity,
many organized exchangesusemarket makers,individuals whostand
ready to buy or
sell wheneverinvestors wish to sell or buy.
Inreturn for
providing
liquidity,
market makers are granted monopoly rights bythe exchange topost different prices for purchases and sales: They buy at the bid price and sell at a higher ask price. As figure 2.1 shows, the quoted bid-ask spread is the difference
between the quoted bid andask
price. It
is possible that traders negotiate with themarketmakerabout the bid oraskprice.Therefore,market makerssometimes buy at a price thatishigher thanthe quoted bid price or sell ataprice that islower than the
quoted ask price. Theeffective bid-askspread takesthis possibility intoaccount and is
calculated as two times the absolute
value of
the difference between the quotemidpoint (average of the bid andaskprice) and the bid oraskprice forapurchase or
Figure
2.1Bid-ask
spreads PriceQA
IA 7 Effective spread F*2 for a sale Quoted K QM -H spread -*2 E(pctive spread IB -3 for a purchase QB TimeThis figuredemonstrates the quotedandeffectivebid-ask spread.QArepresents the quotedaskprice,
IAthe inside askprice, QMthe quotemidpoint, IBthe inside bid price and QB the quotedbidprice.
Extant market microstructure literature shows that the quotedbid-ask spread
consists
of
three components: order processing costs, inventory holding costs, andadverseselectioncosts.Theorderprocessing costcomponent represents afeecharged
by market makers forstanding ready to match buy and sell orders (Tinic 1972). The
inventory holding cost component compensates dealers for managing the inventory (Stoll 1978, HoandStoll 1981). Finally,the adverse selection component represents a
reward to market makers for
taking on the risk
of
dealingwith
traders who maypossesssuperior information(Copeland andGalai 1983, Glostenand Milgrom 1985). When, for example, an investor knows before an earnings announcement that the
earnings are far lowerthanexpected, (s)he will sell shares to the market maker.
After
the information arrival the bid and askprice drop. Asfigure 2.2 indicates, themarket maker bought the shares at a highbid price (QBo) and has to sell the shares at a low
ask price
(QAi).
Therefore, the market maker earns only part ofthebid-ask spread.Similarly, when an investor knows before the announcement that the earnings are
higherthan expected (s)he will buyshares.
After
the information arrival the bid and ask price go up and the market maker missesthe return on the sharesbecause (s)hethe obligation to trade. Tocompensate themselves forthese missed revenues, market
makers increase the bid-ask spread. Asaresult, marketmakers earn more when they
trade
with
traderswithout private information.These additionalrevenues compensatethem forthemissed spreadsandmissedreturnswhile trading
with
informedinvestors.The higher the probability
of
informed trading is, the higher the adverse selectioncomponent and, thus, the bid-askspread.
Figure
2.2Adverse selection componentPrice
QAo
-QA1 _QMo
-QMt QBOQB, Jus
TimeThis figure illustrates the unrealized spread due to informedtrading. QA represents thequoted ask
price, QMthe quotemidpoint, QBthequoted bidprice and US the unrealized spread due toinformed
trading.
LMR state that thebid-ask spread is onlyonedimension
of
marketliquidity.
The otherdimension isthe depth: the number
of
sharesmarket makers arewilling to
trade at the quoted bid andask prices, respectively. Market makers may declare the
depthstrategically toprotect againstinformed trading. Whenamarketmaker quotes a
largedepth,aninformed investorcantrade many shares at onetimeagainst the quoted
bid or
ask price. However, when the market maker declares a small depth, the informedinvestor canonlytradesmallportions at atime.After
eachtrade, the marketmaker has the opportunity to change the bid and ask prices. Therefore, themarket
for
the fundamental share price. Thus, when the probabilityof
informed tradingincreases, the spreadisexpected to increase and the depthisexpected todecrease.
2.2.2 Increased probability of informed trading around earnings announcements
Days around earnings announcements form a period in which market makers may
experiencean increasedprobability
of
informed trading.LMR
mentionthree reasonswhythe informationasymmetry between market makers and informedinvestors may
increase
just
beforean earnings release, namely: (a) a higher probability of leakage ofvalue relevant information when earnings are
known to
thecompany, (b) the
possibility that the
officially
filed information reaches investors earlier than marketmakers, and (c) the expectation
of
imminent earnings news may stimulate sometraders to search
for
information immediatelyprior to
the announcement. Kim andVerrecchia (1991, 1994) and McNichols and Trueman (1994) provide analytical
evidence on this issue. LMR show thatmarket makers indeed increase spreads and
decrease depths before daytime earnings announcements.
Additionally,
Krinsky andLee (1996) (hereafter
KL)
present evidence thatthe adverse selectioncomponent ofthe spreadissignificantly higherbeforedaytimeearnings announcements thanduring
the non-announcement period. This suggests that market makers are
facing an
increasedprobability
of
informed trading.Market makers may also face an increased probability
of
informed tradingafter earnings announcements. Kim and Verrecchia (1994) and Livne (2000) model
this situation. Their
basic idea is that
some investors gather private informationthrough their superiorcapacitiestointerpret earnings news. Another argument is that earnings news is revealed in pieces and informed trading takes place when this information reaches investors earlierthan market makers. Forexample, the earnings number may hit the news wire first,
followed by
the income statement and balancesheet, while detailed information is revealed later
during the day. LMR and KL
present empirical evidence on this
issue and show that
the spread and adverseselection component are higher during trading hours after daytime earnings
2.2.3 Impact of the intraday timing of earnings announcements on the increased
probability of informed trading
The probability of informed tradingincreasesbefore daytime earnings announcements
because investors are moremotivated tosearch for private information and because
the public announcement may reach investors earlierthan market makers. This last argument does not hold, however, for overnight announcements. In addition, Livne (2001) models the intraday timing
of
earnings announcements. He shows thatinvestors
with
private information trade less agressively before overnight thandaytimeannouncements.Hisargument is thatintraday
timing
determineswhether the(post-announcement) unwinding
of
short-term investors' prior positions takes placebefore, or at the same time as, long-term investors trade on theirsupposedsuperior
assessment of
firm
value. Unwinding at the same time is lessadvantageous to shortterm traders, because market makers
will
interpret their orders as informed tradingand adjust thesharepricequickly. This diminishes short term traders'profits. Overall,
thesearguments suggest that the probability
of
informed tradingincreases lessbeforeovernight releases. Therefore, I propose the following hypothesis: Thepercentage
deviation of the spread from the median spread during the non-announcement period
is larger and the percentage deviation of the depth from the median depth during the
non-announcement period is smaller before daytime earnings announcements than before overnight announcements.
The intraday
timing
of
earningsreleases mayalsoinfluencetheprobability ofinformed trading after earnings announcements. When earnings news is announced during tradinghours investors mayfeel compelled toactquickly onthe information
theyhaveinstead o
f
researchingandanalyzing the data. When the newsisrevealed inpieces, investors
will
continue to react on new information and market makersexperience a continuous threat
of
tradingwith
investor with private information.However, when the earnings are released overnight, investors do not need to react
immediately on the news andcan research the data beforemakingatradingdecision.
In addition, whenthe informationisrevealed in pieces beforeopening ofthe market, investors can also use this additional information in theirdecision process. On the NYSE and
AMEX
investors can submit buy and sell orders before opening of themarket. At theopen, market makers examine thissupply anddemand
for
shares andmay offset any or all of
the imbalance by trading on their own account. In otherthe opening priceconditional on this information. Whenthe submitted ordersreflect the earnings news, the opening price
will
capture the released information and the probabilityis smaller that market makerswill
loose moneyto investorswith
private informationafter openingofthe
market. Even when theorder flow doesnotreflect theearnings news, market makerscanstill setthe opening priceconditional onthe release
whenthey check newswiresbeforetheopening ofthemarket. Two empiricalpapers
investigate whether earnings news is captured in the opening price. Unfortunately,
these papers present conflicting evidence. Francis, Pagach and Stephan (1992)
(hereafter FPS) find
noevidence that
the opening price reflects overnightannouncementinformation. However,Greene andWatts (1996) show thatthe opening
trade on the NYSE impounds most ofthe price response. Therefore,
it
remains an empiricalquestionwhetherthe intradaytiming
of
earnings announcements affects theprobability
of
informed trading andthebid-ask spread and depthafterthesereleases.The second hypothesis runs: The percentage deviation of the spread from the median
spread during the non-announcement period is larger and the percentage deviation of the depthfrom the median depth during the non-announcement period is smaller after
daytime earnings announcements than after overnight announcements.
2.3 Research design
2.3.1 Earnings announcement times
The dataset consists
of
firms with
adisclosurequality rating in'An
Annual Reviewof
Corporate ReportingPractices' prepared by the CorporateInformation Committeeof
the Associationfor
Investment Management and Research (AIMR)for
1993/94,1994/95 and 1995/96.
While not
a direct requirement for this study, this selectioncriterion should have no impact onthe
findings.' In fact, it may be
moredifficult to
detect the items
of
interest withsuchfirms.AIMR
ratedfirms tend tobe larger and tohave higher stock prices(Welker 1995). In the literature, firm sizeisoften used as a
proxy for information
availability in
themarket. Whenmoreinformation isavailableabout firms before earnings announcements, the price reaction and
probability of
informed tradingatannouncementsareexpected tobesmaller.Therefore, the drop in
market
liquidity may
be smaller andit might be
moredifficult
to detect any1
differences between the market
liquidity
reaction to overnight and daytimeannouncements.
TheDow Jones Interactivedatabase is usedtodetermine the date and time of
the earningsannouncements.Forfirms with an
AIMR
rating inthe 1993/94volume, Ilook for quarterlyearnings announcements between July 1,1993 and June 30,1994.
The othertwo years' reports arematched
with
earnings announcements in asimilarway. I take the
timestamp of
thefirst publication of
the quarterly earningsannouncement byBusiness Wire,
Dow
JonesNews Service,DowJonesInternationalNews orPRNewswire. Announcements on tradingdaysbetween 9.30 AM and 4.00
PM EST areconsidered daytime announcementswhile all other announcements are
regardedasovernightannouncements.
2.3.2 Calculation of market liquidity variables
The Trades and Quotes
(TAQ)
database is usedtocalculate thevariablesof
interest,namely the percentage
deviations of
the quoted spread, effective spread, depth and volumebeforeandafterearnings announcements from the related mediansduring thenon-announcement period.
Following LMR, I exclude
allthinly
traded stocks (onaverage less than ten trades a day), and stocks with an average price
below $5 or
above $100 duringthe month
of
January that isclosest to the announcement. I focusonfirms traded at the NYSE or
AMEX,
becausetheNASDAQ hasadifferent tradingsystem.
All
quotes codeddifferently
from opening or normal trading quotes aredeleted. Quotes that aresetbefore 9.30 AM
or
after 4.00 PMand tradesthatoccurredbefore a bid andaskprice were quoted, are also removed.
In accordance to LMR and KL, eachtrading day isdivided into thirteen half-hour trading intervals. Foreach half-hour interval, the time weighted quoted bid-ask
spreadanddepth, the averageeffective bid-askspread, and thevolumeare calculated
for each
firm,
separately. In thesecomputations,theeffectivespread isdefined as twotimes the absolute
value of
the difference between the trade price and the quotemidpoint (average of the bid and ask price).2 The depth equalsthenumber
of
sharesthe market maker is
willing to buy plus
the shares (s)he iswilling to sell,
simultaneously.
Next, the periods before and after earnings announcements are defined. For
firms with
a daytime announcement, the half-hour trading interval containing theearnings announcementisdetermined according to the time stamp of the news wire.
The period before the earnings announcement consists
of6.5
tradinghoursbefore thishalf-hour interval. The
period after the earnings release consists of the half-hourtrading interval containingthe announcement plus thesix tradinghoursthereafter. For
firms with
anovernightannouncement, the period before the earnings announcementconsists of6.5trading hoursbefore the
closing of
the market(full
tradingday),whilethe period afterthe announcement consists of 6.5 trading hours after the opening of
the market.Forearnings announcements between July 1, 1993 and June 30, 1994, the
non-announcement periodconsists ofalltradingdays betweenthese datesexcept two
tradingdaysbefore, the day of and two tradingdaysafterearnings announcements as
well as days with management earnings forecasts or dividend announcements: For
announcementsbetween July 1994 and June 1996, comparable periods apply.4
The percentage
deviation of
the quoted spread before an earningsannouncement from the medianduringthe non-announcement periodis calculated as
follows.First, I average thetime weightedquotedspreadsduringtheperiodbefore the
earnings announcement. Next, I divide the non-announcement period into similar
periods of 13 half-hour trading intervals. Thus, whenthe period before the earnings
announcementranges from 11.00 AM theday before the announcement to 11.00 AM
the day
ofthe
announcement, the non-announcementperiodisdividedinperiods from11.00 AM day 1 to 11.00 AM day 2, 11.00 AM day 2 to 11.00 AM day3etcetera. For
each period, I average the time weighted quoted spreads during the 13 half-hour trading intervals during that period. This approach results foreach announcement in
one average quoted spread before the announcement and approximately 220 average
quoted spreads during the non-announcement
period. I determine for each
announcement separately the
median of
the approximately 220 average quotedspreadsduringthenon-announcement period.
Finally, I divide
thedifferencebetween3 TheDowJonesInteractivedatabase is usedto investigate the Business Wire,DowJones News Service,DowJonesInternational News and PRNewswireformanagement earnings forecasts and
dividendannouncements.
4 The accuracyofthetimestampisimportant. Therelativeprecisionofthesetimestampsisdifficult to
gauge. LMR,whofollowasimilarapproach, show that nosignificantincrease in trading volume occurs until thehalf-hourintervalcontainingdaytime announcements This findingstronglysuggests
the quoted spreadbefore the announcement and the median quoted spread during the
non-announcement period by the median quotedspread andmultiply it with 100. In
these calculations the median is used
instead of the mean of
the average quotedspreads during the periods of 13 half-hour trading intervals during the
non-announcementperiodbecausethedistribution o
f
thesequotedspreads isskewed. Thepercentage
deviations of
the effective spread, depth and volume before and afterearnings announcements are calculated ina comparable way. However, to compute
the percentage deviations ofthe volume I sum the volume during the 13 half-hour
tradingintervals instead
of
takingthe average.The final sample consists of 1000 daytime and 1802 overnight earnings
announcements made by 336 firms. Table 2.1 summarizes the sample selection
process.
Table 2.1 Sample selection
Quantitativedisclosurequality rating AIMRin 1993/94, 1994/95, 1995/96 854
Expectedannouncements per firm per year x 4
Expected announcements 3416
Date or timeofearnings announcement not available (54)
No listing at NYSE orAMEX (320)
Thinlytradedor extremely priced stocks (168)
Dataforcalculations notavailable from TAQ for specificannouncement (72)
Earnings announcements 2802
Daytimeannouncements 1000
Overnightannouncements 1802
2.4 Results
2.4.1 After earnings announcements
Table 2.2 shows the cross-sectional medians
of
percentagedeviations of
the quotedspread, effective spread, depth and volume during the 6.5 tradinghours
after
daytime and overnight earnings announcements from the mediansduring the
non-announcement period, separately. The first
observation is that
the percentagedeviations ofthe quoted spread, effectivespread andvolume aresignificantly larger than zero after daytime earnings announcements. These findings are in line with the
distributions of the percentage deviations are skewed. After
overnight earningsannouncements, the percentage deviations
ofthe
quoted spread,volume andthe depthare significantly larger than zero, while the percentage
deviation of
the effectivespread is smaller than zero. This observation is interesting because the effective
spread (depth) is not expected to be smaller (larger) after earnings announcements.
Thus, after overnight releases noconjecture can be made about a decline in market
liquidity,
because one dimensionof
marketliquidity
(quoted spread) signals adecreased
liquidity,
while the other dimension (depth) signals an increased marketliquidity.
Table
2.2 Percentage deviationsof
quoted spread, effective spread,depth and
volume
after
earnings announcementsQuoted spread El!ectivespread Depth Volume Daytime (N= 1 000) Expected sign + + -Median 3.85 1.14 -2.46 61.00 Significance level 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.01 Overnight (N= 1802) Expected sign + + -Median 3.04 -1.51 5.31 63.91 Significancelevel 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Daytime¢*Overnight Expected sign + + -Difference median 0.81 2.65 -7.77 -2.91 Significancelevel 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.14
This table reports the cross-sectional medians ofthe percentage deviations ofthe quoted spread,
effectivespread, depth and volumeduringthe periodafterthe earnings announcement from the median
during the non-announcement period. The one-tailed significance levels for daytime andovernight
announcementsarebased on the sign test, while theone-tailedsignificance levels forthedifference between the median afterdaytimeandovernightannouncementsarebased on theWilcoxon rank sum test.
With regard to
the hypothesis, the differences betweenmedians of the
percentage deviations ofthe quoted spread, effective spread and depth afterdaytime
and overnight
announcements are 0.81, 2.65 and -7.77, respectively, and all
significant at0.01 one-tailed significancelevels accordance to theWilcoxon rank sum
liquidity
aftertheseannouncements. Thehigherspread andlowerdepth afterdaytimeearnings announcements affect the wealth
of
investors who tradeafter the
announcement. However,thiseffect is not thatstrong that
it
prevents investors fromtrading, because the percentage
deviation of
the trading volume after overnightannouncements is notsignificantlylarger than the percentagedeviation ofthevolume
after daytimeannouncements. Inother words, despite the higher tradingcosts due to
the relativelyhigh spreads andlowdepths, traderspreferto tradeduring the day after
daytimeannouncements instead
of
postponingtheirtrades.2.4.2 Before earnings announcements
Table 2.3 shows results for theperiod before earnings announcements.
Table 2.3 Percentage deviations
of
quoted spread, effective spread,depth and
volume before earnings announcements
Quotedspread Effective spread Depth Volume Daytime (N= 1000) Expected sign + + Median 0.90 0.47 -2.08 -0.30 Significance level 0.02 0.10 0.09 0.47 Overnight (N= 1802) Expected sign + + -Median 0.67 0.28 -3.37 1.79 Significancelevel 0.01 0.23 0.01 0.17 Daytime** Overnight Expected sign + + -Differencemedian 0.23 0.19 1.29 -2.09 Significance level 0.40 0.10 0.42 0.11
This table reports the cross-sectional medians ofthe percentage deviations ofthe quoted spread,
effective spread, depth and volume during the period before the earnings announcement from the
median during the non-announcement period. The one-tailed significance levels for daytime and
overnightannouncementsare based on the sign test,while the one-tailed significancelevels for the difference between the median before daytime and overnight announcements are based on the Wilcoxon rank sum test.
The quoted and effective spread are higher and the depth is lower before
daytimeannouncements compared to the non-announcement period. Before overnight
drop in market
liquidity
before earnings announcements.With
respect to theimpact ofintraday timing on this dropinmarket
liquidity
thetable showsone-tailed significancelevels of
the difference in themedian of 0.40, 0.10 and 0.42 for
the percentagedeviations ofthe quoted spread, effective spread and depth, respectively. Thus, the
analysis presents only
evidence of
the impactof
intradaytiming
of
earningsannouncements on theeffectivespread.
A possible
explanation for the lack
of
significantfindings for
the quotedspread and depth is thattheperiod beforethe earningsannouncement is too long. If,
for instance, the market maker knows that an announcement will take place on
Wednesday the threat
of
informed tradingis higheron Wednesday than on Tuesday.However, I analyze
6.5 trading hours before theannouncement. When the
announcement takes place at 11.10 AMthis period consists of 1.5 trading hours on
Wednesday and5 tradinghours on Tuesday. Therefore,focusing on ashorter period
before the announcement mayimprovethepower
ofthe
tests.Unfortunately, the
investigation of
a shorter period before the earningsannouncementisproblematic for tworeasons.First, when I focus onashorterinterval
the effect
of
possiblemismeasurement of the time
of
earnings announcementsbecomes stronger. When for instance an earnings announcement took place 31
minutes before the time stamp of the news wire and the spread increased strongly
after the announcement, this mismeasurement has a stronger effect on the average
spread duringonetrading hourbefore the announcement than on the average spread
during6.5tradinghoursbefore the announcement.
The secondreason isthe
impact of
the intraday patternof
spreads and depths.LMR showthat during trading dayswithoutearnings announcements the quoted and
effective spread have a U-shape pattern with relatively high spreads
during the half
hour after opening and the half hour before closing ofthemarket. The depth shows an
opposite pattern. When I focus onone trading hourbefore earnings announcements,
for
overnight announcementsthis trading hour is always the lasttrading hourbeforeclosing of
themarket. Spreadsduring this hour duringthe non-announcementperiodare relatively high while depths are
relatively low.
For daytime announcements thetrading hourbefore the announcementdepends on the time oftheannouncement and
also occursduringperiods
with
relatively lowspreads andhighdepths. Therefore, thespread and depth during the non-announcement period
differ for daytime and
before announcements. This effect makes
it
impossible to compare the percentagedeviations of
the spread and depth during a short interval before daytime andovernightearnings announcements.
Table 2.4 Percentage deviations
of
quoted spread, effective spread,depth and
volume before
earnings announcements for firms with
/ow turnoverQuoted spread E1Iective spread Depth Volume
Daytime (N=567) Expected sign + + -Median 0.82 0.98 -2.23 2.53 Significancelevel 0.16 0.05 0.09 0.29 Overnight (N=831) Expected sign + + -Median 1.44 0.90 -5.16 2.15 Significancelevel 0.01 0.08 0.03 0.27 Daytime** Overnight Expected sign + + -Differencemedian -0.62 0.08 2.93 0.38 Significancelevel 0.16 0.11 0.33 0.17
This table reports the cross-sectional medians ofthe percentage deviations ofthe quoted spread,
effective spread, depth and volume during the period before the earnings announcement from the
median during the non-announcement period. The one-tailed significance levels for daytime and
overnightannouncementsarebased on the sign test, whiletheone-tailed significance levels for the difference between the median before daytime and overnight announcements are based on the
Wilcoxon rank sum test.
Anotherpossibleexplanation for the lack
of
significant findings forthe quotedspread and
depth is
the sampleselection. One of
the selectioncriteria is the
availability of
adisclosurequality ratingofthe AIMR.
Asstatedbefore,this criterionmay bias
the sample againstfinding
results during the period before earningsannouncements, because
AIMR
ratedfirms tend to
be larger. To provide someevidence onthe
impact of firm size I redo
the analysis for announcementsof
firmswith
anaveragedaily turnover ontheNYSE/AMEX
duringthemonthof
January, thatis closest to the announcement, that issmaller thanthe mediandaily turnover of the
full
sampleduringthat period.Table2.4 presents theresults for thissampleconsistingbetween thedeviations ofthe quoted spread and depth beforedaytimeand overnight
announcements are notsignificantatconventionallevels.
2.4.3 Sensitivity tests
Prior analysis reveals strong evidence that intraday
timing
affects marketliquidity
after earnings announcements and some evidence that intraday timing impacts market
liquidity
before announcements. In this section I investigate whether these findings are driven by firm-specific factors, cross-listings or differences in the information content ofthe announcements.Firm-specific factors
In the previousanalysis I didnotcontrol
for
firm-specific issues. However, firms thatconsequently announcetheirearningsovernight are only included inthe sample with
overnight announcements, while firms that always release their earnings during tradinghours areonlypresent in the other sample. Therefore, it is possible that some
firm-specific factors are driving the difference between market
liquidity
arounddaytimeandovernightannouncements.Toensure that theresults are not due to firm-specific factors I redothe analysis foramatched sample
of
earnings announcements.This ispossible because for each
firm
several earningsannouncementsareincluded inthe sample. The announcementsarematchedasfollows. For each firm I determine the
number
of
daytime andovernight announcements. When there areless daytime than overnight announcements, the daytime releases are matched with overnightannouncements thatarerandomly drawn fromtheavailable overnightreleases for that
firm.
When there are less overnight announcements, these announcements arematchedwith randomlypickeddaytimeannouncements. The finalsampleconsists of
407 daytime and 407overnight earningsannouncements made by 184 firms. Table
2.5 shows the results for this matched sample
with regard to the periodbefore
earnings announcements. The median percentage
deviation of
the effective spreadbefore daytime announcements
declines from 0.47 to 0.01, while
the medianpercentage deviationbeforeovernightannouncements drops from 0.28 to -0.23. The
one-tailed significance
level of
the difference in the median percentagedeviation of
0.28. This
mayindicate that
the previous finding that intradaytiming of
announcementsaffectseffectivespreads isdrivenbyfirm-specificfactors.
Table 2.5 Percentage deviations
of
quoted spread, effective spread,depth and
volume before earnings announcements
for
matched sampleQuotedspread Effective spread Depth Volume
Daytime (N=407) Expected sign + + -Median 0.90 0.01 -2.23 0.73 Significancelevel 0.21 0.40 0.16 0.40 Overnight (N=407) Expected sign + + -Median 1.16 -0.23 -4.19 -3.86 Significance level 0.08 0.42 0.06 0.08 Daytime¢* Overnight Expected sign + + -Differencemedian -0.26 0.24 1.96 4.59 Significancelevel 0.24 0.28 0.34 0.21
This table reports the cross-sectional medians ofthe percentage deviations ofthe quoted spread,
effective spread, depth and volume duringthe period before the earnings announcement from the
median during the non-announcement period. The one-tailed significance levels for daytime and overnightannouncementsare based on the sign test,whilethe one-tailedsignificance levels for the
difference between the median before daytime and overnight announcements are based on the
Wilcoxon rank sum test.
Firm-specijic factors and cross-listings
In addition to theimpact
of
firm-specificfactors, cross-listingsmay affectthe resultsfor the
period after earnings announcements. When shares are traded on anotherexchange during
or
after the earnings announcement, US market makers mayconditiontheopening price not only ontheorder flowandearnings news, but also on the shareprice on the otherexchange. This additional information item may impact the probability
of
informed trading and may drive the difference between marketliquidity
after daytime and overnight announcements.However, in that case, the
reduction in
the marketliquidity
drop after earningsannouncements on the
NYSE/AMEX
takes place when a marketliquidity drop
may occur on anotherearnings announcements, but may
just
shift the decline inliquidity
to anotherexchange.
Table 2.6 Percentage deviations
of
quoted spread, effective spread,depth and
volume
after
earnings announcementsfor
matched sample offirms
withoutcross-listingsat
London
Stock Exchangeor Tokyo
Stock ExchangeQuoted spread Effectke spread Depth Voiume
Daytime (N=297) Expected sign + + -Median 4.09 1.08 -3.59 74.27 Significance level 0.01 0.18 0.32 0.01 Overnight (N=297) Expected sign + + -Median 2.91 -0.07 5.06 49.66 Significance level 0.01 0.48 0.10 0.01 Daytime¢* Overnight Expected sign + + -Difference median 1.18 1.15 -8.65 24.61 Significance level 0.07 0.08 0.01 0.03
This table reports the cross-sectional medians ofthe percentage deviations ofthe quoted spread,
effectivespread, depthandvolumeduringthe periodafterthe earnings announcement from the median during the non-announcement period. The one-tailed significance levels for daytimeand overnight announcements arebased on the sign test, whilethe one-tailedsignificance levels forthe difference between the median after daytime andovernightannouncementsarebased on theWilcoxon rank sum test.
To test for
this conjecture and the impactof
firm-specific factors I redo the analysis for the period after earnings announcements for the matched sample after excluding firmswith
cross-listings at the London Stock Exchange or Tokyo StockExchange during 1993 to 1996: Table 2.6 revealsthatdifferences in the percentage
deviations in
the quoted spread, effective spread and depth after daytime andovernightannouncementsare
still
significant at 0.07,0.08 and 0.01 one-tailed levels.5 ACCordingto Roberts, WeetmanandGordon (1998)thesetwo exchanges were themajornon-US stock exchangesduring1996.Listing attheLondonStock ExchangeisbasedonTimbrelland Tweedie
(1994,1995 and 1996),while listing attheTokyoStock Exchangeisdetermined withanoverview on
listinganddelistingofforeigncompanies from 1973 up to 1996provided bytheTokyoStock