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Year-to-year Changes over CONUS MAMJ

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Academic year: 2022

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Year-to-year Changes over CONUS MAMJ

Tornado

Observation

Hail

Forecast (SVD1)

Forecast (SVD1+SVD2)

Forecast (SVD1+SVD2+SVD3

)

R=0.09 R=0.22 R=0.19

R=0.26 R=0.19 R=0.18

(2)

Forecast Skill

Anomaly Correlation

Hit Rate (%) Tornado

Tornado

Hail

Hail

95%

significance level

Three categories Above normal: 33%

Near normal: 33%

Below normal: 33%

Year-to-year Changes

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