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Automation and individualization of radiotherapy treatment planning in head and neck cancer

patients

Kierkels, Roel Godefridus Josefina

IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from

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Publication date:

2019

Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database

Citation for published version (APA):

Kierkels, R. G. J. (2019). Automation and individualization of radiotherapy treatment planning in head and

neck cancer patients. Rijksuniversiteit Groningen.

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CHAPTER 4

Multivariable normal tissue complication

probability model-based treatment plan

optimization for grade 2-4 dysphagia

and tube feeding dependence in

head and neck radiotherapy

Kierkels, Roel G.J. Wopken, Kim Visser, Ruurd Korevaar, Erik W. van der Schaaf, Arjen Bijl, Hendrik P. Langendijk, Johannes A. Radiotherapy and Oncology 121 (2016) 374-380

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Background and purpose

The relatively large number of organs-at-risk close to the tumour challenges radiotherapy of the head and neck. Biologically oriented objective functions (OF) could optimally distribute the dose among the organs-at-risk. We aimed to explore OFs based on multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models for grade 2-4 dysphagia (DYS) and tube feeding dependence (TFD).

Materials and methods

One hundred head and neck cancer patients were studied. Additional to the clinical plan, two more plans (an OFDYS and OFTFD-plan) were optimized per patient. The NTCP models included up to four dose-volume parameters and other non-dosimetric factors. A fully automatic plan optimization framework was used to optimize the OFNTCP-based plans.

Results

All OFNTCP-based plans were reviewed and classified as clinically acceptable. On average, the ∆dose and ∆NTCP was small comparing the OFDYS-plan, OFTFD-plan, and clinical plan. For 5% of patients NTCPTFD reduced >5% using OFTFD-based planning compared to the OFDYS-plans.

Conclusions

Plan optimization using NTCPDYS- and NTCPTFD-based objective functions resulted in clinically acceptable plans. For patients with considerable risk factors of TFD, the OFTFD steered the optimizer to dose distributions, which directly led to slightly lower predicted NTCPTFD values as compared to the other studied plans.

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4.1 Introduction

Over the last years, intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) techniques in head and neck cancer have been refined and have significantly improved the dose conformity around complex shaped targets and adjacent organs-at-risk (OARs) [1,2]. Initially, the focus was mainly to constrain the dose to the parotid glands and spinal cord as compared to three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy. Indeed, a number of prospective randomized controlled studies showed that this translated into a reduction of xerostomia [3–5]. Thereafter, several groups demonstrated dose-effect relationships for the swallowing structures [6–11]. The pharyngeal constrictors, glottis and supraglottic larynx, and more recently also the mylohyoid/ geniohyoid complex [9], have been related to radiation-associated dysphagia. It has been shown that dysphagia-optimized IMRT can be performed safely and reduces the prevalence of dysphagia after radiotherapy treatment compared to non-dysphagia-optimized IMRT. The general trend shows an increasing number of OARs to be considered during treatment plan optimization. Finding the treatment plan which optimally balances the dose distribution among the non-target normal tissues (i.e. aiming for the fewest complication risks, without compromising target coverage) is therefore challenging.

To minimize the dose to critical structures, treatment optimization approaches based on biologically oriented indices have been incorporated into routine treatment planning. The most commonly used biologically oriented optimization methods rely on the generalized equivalent uniform dose (gEUD) concept, comprising biological indices and a single dose variable [12,13]. Several studies demonstrated improved OARs dose sparing using gEUD-based objective functions (OFs) compared to conventional dose-volume-gEUD-based OFs [14–20]. Each gEUD-based OF steers the optimizer towards lower dose in one OAR only. However, radiation-induced complications in head and neck radiotherapy may be related to multiple volumes, as indicated by the increasingly promoted phenomenological multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models [21]. Therefore, gEUD-OFs may not directly lead towards the lowest achievable NTCPs.

Recently, the concept of multivariable NTCP-model-based treatment plan optimization has been described and demonstrated using NTCP models with two dose-volume parameters [22]. It is expected that more complex NTCP models, including more dosimetric parameters (the non-dosimetric parameters are fixed during plan optimization) will further improve the dose distribution quality. Recently, such a prediction model was developed for tube feeding dependence (TFD) 6 months after treatment, including four dose-volume parameters [23]. The objective of this study was to assess whether multivariable NTCP-model-based plan optimization for tube feeding dependence leads to clinically acceptable treatment plans

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with improved NTCPTFD estimates. For one hundred patients, the TFD-based optimized plans were benchmarked against the clinical plan and an NTCP-model-based optimized plan for grade 2-4 dysphagia.

4.2 Materials and methods

4.2.1 Patients and prescription

The study population was composed of 100 consecutive patients, which were selected from our prospective data registration program, and treated between September 2010 and March 2013. Acute and late toxicity were scored according to the RTOG/EORTC Radiation Morbidity Scoring Criteria [24]. Patients had carcinomas originating in the mucosal surfaces of the larynx, oropharynx, oral cavity, hypopharynx, and nasopharynx, and received curative intended primary radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy or cetuximab. The patients characteristics are listed in Table 4.S1 (Supplemental data). All patients were treated with a simultaneous integrated boost technique comprising a therapeutic and prophylactic dose to the planning target volumes, respectively indicated by PTVther (total dose was 66 or 70 Gy in 2 Gy per fraction, 5 or 6 fractions per week) and

PTVproph (54.25 Gy in 1.55 Gy per fractions) to the bilateral prophylactic lymph node regions

in the neck. The clinical target volume to PTV margin, accounting for internal and setup uncertainties, was 5 mm for both PTVs.

4.2.2 Multivariable NTCP models

Previously published multivariable NTCP models for grade 2-4 dysphagia and TFD were used for plan optimization (i.e. incorporated in the optimizer algorithm) and evaluation [23,25]. Grade 2-4 dysphagia was defined according to the RTOG/EORTC Late Radiation Morbidity Scoring Criteria assessed at 6 months after completion of treatment. Definitions of grade 2-4 dysphagia and TFD slightly overlapped, since grade 3 dysphagia was formulated as ‘severe fibrosis; able to swallow only liquids; may have pain on swallowing, dilatation required’, and tube feeding dependence was defined as ‘percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy or nasogastric feeding tube, no or limited oral intake possible’ at 6 months after completion of treatment. The logistic prediction model reads:

𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 = (1 + 𝑒𝑒*+)

*-where 𝑆𝑆 = 𝛽𝛽%+ ' 𝛽𝛽(∙ 𝑥𝑥( +

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(,-4

with n prognostic variables x (e.g. dosimetric and clinical factors) and regression coefficients

β. The prognostic variables for grade 2-4 dysphagia were the mean dose to the superior

pharyngeal constrictor muscle (PCM) and the supraglottic larynx. The prediction model for TFD included both patient and treatment related factors, including T-stage, moderate-to-severe weight loss at baseline, and treatment modality, as well as the mean dose in the following structures: superior PCM, inferior PCM, contralateral parotid gland, and cricopharyngeal muscle. The NTCP models are listed in Table 4.S2 (Supplemental data). The NTCP model for grade 2-4 dysphagia was previously developed with an extended bootstrapping technique and forward variable selection. In contrast, the NTCPTFD model was developed using the group wise least-absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis and is characterized by its relatively large number of variables. Both prediction models were developed from a combined cohort of patients treated with 3D-conformal radiotherapy and IMRT. The patients used in this study were independent from those used for NTCP model development. Additionally, for evaluation purposes, predictions of xerostomia (NTCPXER) were derived using the NTCP model described by Houweling et al. [26].

4.2.3 In-silico plan optimization study

The clinical plan was ‘prioritized optimized’ (Pinnacle3 v8.0, Philips Healthcare, Andover,

MA), a treatment planning technique previously described in [11]. First, the dose to the targets were fulfilled considering V95%≥98%, V107% <2% for PTVther and V51.5Gy≥98% for PTVproph. The maximum dose to the spinal cord and brain were limited to 54 and 60 Gy, respectively. Also, the dose to the parotids and unspecified tissue was reduced as much as possible. Secondly, the dose to the swallowing structures was minimized without compromising the dose distribution as achieved in the first step. For the parotids and swallowing structures, a gEUD-based OF was used with tissue specific parameter a=1 (indicating the mean dose). All plans consisted of 7 equispaced coplanar 6MV beams.

In addition to the clinical plan, for each patient two more IMRT plans were made including different NTCP-model-based composite hybrid objective functions (Pinnacle3 Research

version 9.1). The NTCP-based part of the objective function directly strives for minimization of the NTCP by lowering the dose to the OARs, which are included as dosimetric variables in the NTCP model. Due to the nature of the logistic function, OAR priority was based on the NTCP model’s regression coefficients (unit: Gy-1) of the dosimetric variables. The

non-dosimetric features were set and fixed prior to plan optimization. The target requirements and beam configurations of both plans were equal to the clinical plan. The objectives for both OFNTCP-plans were similar, except for the OARs related to grade 2-4 dysphagia and TFD (see paragraph multivariable NTCP models). The first additional plan included an NTCP-based objective using the grade 2-4 dysphagia NTCP model (OFDYS) [25]. The second additional plan contained an NTCP-based objective using the TFD-NTCP model

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(OFTFD) [23]. These constituent NTCP-model-based objectives combined multiple OARs into one objective. For structures not included in the NTCP models the gEUD objective with parameter a=1 was used. Recently, plan optimization using multivariable NTCP models was described in more detail [22].

4.2.4 Multi-criteria plan optimization

Conventional IMRT optimization requires an iteration loop with tuning of patient specific trade-off objectives by the dosimetrist. However, subtle changes to one of the objectives potentially result in profound effects to the quality of the overall dose distribution. Therefore, to objectively compare both optimization strategies (i.e. OFDYS and OFTFD) a multi-criteria optimization approach was applied, which resulted in a set of non-dominated (Pareto optimal) treatment plans with the property that one parameter could not be improved without worsening other parameters [27].

In summary, per optimization run, a library of 200 plans was automatically generated. Each run was executed from a template plan including the patient and treatment related clinical factors of the NTCP-based objectives. The template plan was automatically optimized considering the patient-specific target objectives. For the gEUD-objectives, the required dose thresholds were set such that the individual objectives contributed proportionately to the composite objective function.

Subsequently, the library plans were iteratively optimized in which planning objectives (i.e. gEUD thresholds and weights) were adjusted according to the anticipated mean shift algorithm [27]. This algorithm was adapted such that at each intermediate plan evaluation step (i.e. after each 20 plans within the optimization run) the same multivariable NTCP models were used for plan evaluation as those used within the composite hybrid OF. Per plan, the first 10 iterations consisted of fluence-map optimization, followed by 30 iterations of direct aperture optimization and an adaptive convolve dose computation. From each set of non-dominated plans one preferred plan was selected (by K.W. and H.P.B) for further analysis.

4.2.5 Analysis

All treatment plans were evaluated and compared by a combination of dosimetric variables, conformity index (CI95%), and homogeneity index (HI). The CI95% was defined as the total volume receiving 95 % of the prescribed dose divided by the PTV receiving this dose. The HI was defined as (D2-D98)/D50, where Dx is the absolute dose in x % of the PTV. Differences between various evaluation parameters were compared using the paired-sampled t-test and a significance level of p=0.05. Comparisons were displayed using Bland-Altman plots. The variety of tumour sites in our cohort causes relatively low

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expected NTCPs for a subgroup of patients. To report on subgroups, comparisons by Bland-Altman plots were therefore divided below and above an arbitrary chosen NTCP threshold of 10%.

4.3 Results

In total 40,000 optimizations (100 patients x 2 objectives x 200 library plans) were performed. All 200 selected (100 patients x 2 plans) NTCP-based optimized plans were reviewed and classified as clinically acceptable. All plans fulfilled the target dose prescription levels

(D98%≥V95%, Table 4.1). The automatically created plans showed significantly improved dose

conformity CI95% around the PTVproph: Clinical plan 1.47 (1.42 – 1.53), OFDYS-plan 1.38 (1.33 – 1.43), OFTFD-plan 1.38 (1.34 – 1.44). The mean dose in the parotid glands, cricopharyngeal muscle, esophageal inlet muscle, oral cavity, and the ring structures around PTVproph were significantly lower in the OFNTCP-plans compared to the clinical plans (Table 4.1). On average, the difference between the studied plans was very small and improvements by means of NTCP reductions were only observed in a subgroup of patients.

Figure 4.1. Normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) values for tube feeding dependence (TFD) derived from

plans optimized with objective functions (OF) directly minimizing the NTCP of grade 2-4 dysphagia (DYS) [squares] and the NTCP of tube feeding dependence (TFD) [circles] of one patient plotted against the conformity index (CI) of the prophylactic PTV (PTV54.25Gy).

Each data point indicates one library plan. The non-dominated (Pareto optimal) plans are shown by solid markers. The triangle marker depicts the clinical plan.

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The NTCPTFD values for all library plans for one representative patient are depicted in figure 4.1, and highlighted are the OFDYS-based and OFTFD-based non-dominated plans. The figure clearly illustrates a lower NTCPTFD at comparable target dose conformity for the OFTFD-optimized plan. For comparison, the NTCPTFD value of the clinical plan is also shown. For the same patient, dose-volume histograms (figure 4.2) and a dose distribution (figure 4.3) of a representative sagittal cross-section of the clinical, OFDYS, and OFTFD-based plans are shown, with NTCPTFD values of 29.1, 34.9, and 28.2%, respectively. In the presented case, the superior PCM largely overlapped with the target, therefore, the NTCPTFD values mainly varied due to dose differences between the inferior PCM and the cricopharyngeal muscle. The NTCPTFD of the clinical plan and OFTFD-plan were almost similar, however, at the cost of target dose conformity (figure 4.1).

Figure 4.2. Dose-volume histograms of the clinical plan, OF-DYS plan, and OF-TFD plan of the same patient as in

figure 4.1.

The supraglottic larynx dose was lowest in the OF-DYS plan. The inferior pharyngeal constrictor muscle (PCM) and cricopharyngeal muscle (Crico M.) dose was lowest in the OF-TFD plan.

Figure 4.3. A sagittal cross-section of a patient planning CT scan (same patient as in figure 4.1) with corresponding dose

distributions of the (A) clinical plan, (B) OFDYS-plan, and (C) OFTFD-plan.

The arrow in (B) indicates dose sparing of the supraglottic larynx region, whereas the arrow in (C) indicates dose sparing in the inferior PCM region. The superior PCM considerably overlapped with the PTV. Abbreviations: PTV x Gy = planning target volume prescribed x Gy; PCM = pharyngeal constrictor muscle; Crico M. = cricopharyngeal muscle; OF = objective function; DYS = dysphagia; TFD = tube feeding dependence.

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The Bland-Altman plots (figure 4.4A.I and 4.4A.II) show that, above the 10% threshold (63 patients), NTCPXER is on average about 7.5% (p<0.001) lower for the NTCP-based optimized plans compared to the clinical plans. No significant difference was found between the NTCPDYS values between the clinical plan and OFNTCP-plans (figure 4.4B), indicating high quality clinical plans aiming at sparing the swallowing structures. Above the 10% threshold, the use of OFTFD resulted in an average NTCPTFD reduction of 1.2% (95% probability interval: -7.7 – 10.1, 25 patients, p = 0.02) (figure 4.4C.II) and 2.6% (95% probability interval: -2.6 – 7.8, 26 patients, p < 0.001) (figure 4.4C.III) compared to the clinical plan and OFDYS-plan, respectively.

4.4 Discussion

In recent years, increasing experience has been obtained in inverse treatment planning in head and neck radiotherapy. However, the planned dose to the OARs may vary due to the training, expertise and choices made by the dosimetrists and radiation-oncologists. In this study, we showed that the dose distribution can be automatically steered towards lower NTCPTFD values, albeit for a subgroup of patients, using objective functions based on multivariable NTCP models.

During optimization, priority between the OARs included in the NTCP models was assigned by the OFNTCP. This led to dose distributions with improved NTCP estimates for a subgroup of patients. Overall, no improvements were found when the OAR dose in the clinical plans was low (i.e. <20Gy). This was, however, expected since the NTCPDYS and NTCPTFD models require a relatively large ∆dose to achieve a substantial ∆NTCP. Moreover, NTCPDYS differences between the clinical plans and OFDYS-plans were small, which was expected since the clinical plans were so-called dysphagia-optimized IMRT plans, aiming at sparing the swallowing structures. On the other hand, only the OFTFD-optimized plans directly focused on the TFD-NTCP and showed the lowest NTCPTFD values compared to the other planning techniques.

The use of the automated multi-criteria planning framework (using NTCP-based objectives) resulted in plans with less dose to several OARs, improved target dose conformity and lower dose to the ring structures around PTVproph, compared to the clinical plans. The use of the automated planning tool itself may have contributed to lower dose in OARs which overlap with the targets (e.g. the parotid glands). The effect of auto-planning versus conventional (manual) IMRT planning was excluded by comparing the OFDYS and OFTFD -based plans. Indeed, the OFTFD-plans showed a trend towards lower NTCPTFD estimates as compared to the OFDYS-plans.

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Table 4.1. Plan evaluation parameters of the clinical plans and plans optimized with an NTCP-based objective function.

Clinical plan OF DYS-plan OFTFD-Plan OFDYS-plan – Clinical plan OFTFD-plan – Clinical plan OFDYS – OFTFD-plan

Mean (95% CI) Mean (95% CI) Mean (95% CI) p-value p-value p-value

NTCP values (%)

Xerostomia 20.1 (16.6 – 23.6) 15.2 (11.4 – 19.1) 15.1 (11.2 – 19.0) <0.001 <0.001 NS

Grade II-IV dysphagia 22.1 (18.3 – 25.9) 22.4 (20.1 – 24.8) 23.1 (20.8 – 25.4) NS 0.001 0.021

Tube feeding dep. 6.8 (4.5 – 9.2) 7.1 (4.3 – 10.0) 6.6 (3.7 – 9.4) NS NS 0.006

Dose values (Gy)

D98 (PTVtherapeutic) 66.6 (66.4 – 66.8) 67.2 (67.0 – 67.3) 67.2 (67.0 – 67.3) <0.001 <0.001 NS D98 (PTVprophilactic) 51.9 (51.5 – 52.3) 52.6 (52.2 – 53.0) 52.7 (52.3 – 53.2) <0.001 <0.001 0.025 Contra parotid 21.5 (18.7 – 24.4) 18.6 (16.1 – 21.2) 18.4 (15.9 – 21.1) <0.001 <0.001 NS Ipsi parotid 26.6 (23.1 – 30.0) 22.6 (19.4 – 25.8) 22.2 (19.1 – 25.4) <0.001 <0.001 NS Supraglottic area 55.2 (52.8 – 58.0) 53.8 (51.2 – 56.8) 56.0 (53.7 – 58.7) 0.005 0.007 <0.001 PCM superior 39.3 (34.7 – 44.3) 40.4 (35.8 – 45.5) 40.1 (35.5 – 45.1) <0.001 0.004 0.028 PCM medial 46.3 (42.5 – 50.7) 46.0 (42.6 – 50.5) 47.4 (43.5 – 51.9) NS 0.003 <0.001 PCM inferior 55.4 (53.1 – 58.0) 55.4 (52.9 – 58.3) 56.6 (54.2 – 59.3) NS 0.002 <0.001 Cricoph. muscle 51.2 (49.1 – 53.7) 49.0 (46.5 – 51.8) 50.6 (48.3 – 53.3) <0.001 NS <0.001 EIM 36.4 (33.6 – 39.8) 31.0 (28.1 – 34.2) 33.1 (30.2 – 36.3) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 External 12.2 (11.1 – 13.6) 13.7 (12.6 – 15.0) 13.9 (12.8 – 15.2) <0.001 <0.001 NS Oral Cavity 30.2 (25.5 – 34.1) 28.0 (24.6 – 31.6) 28.0 (24.6 – 31.6) <0.001 <0.001 NS Ring 1cm 43.7 (42.6 – 44.9) 41.8 (40.9 – 42.9) 41.7 (40.7 – 42.8) <0.001 <0.001 NS Ring 6cm 15.2 (14.2 – 16.4) 14.1 (13.2 – 15.2) 14.1 (13.2 – 15.2) <0.001 <0.001 NS Target Evaluation (a.u.) HI (PTVther) 0.09 (0.09 – 0.10) 0.09 (0.08 – 0.09) 0.09 (0.08 – 0.09) NS NS NS HI (PTVproph) 0.35 (0.34 – 0.35) 0.34 (0.33 – 0.34) 0.35 (0.33 – 0.37) 0.003 NS NS CI95% (PTVther) 1.26 (1.21 – 1.31) 1.27 (1.24 – 1.29) 1.28 (1.25 – 1.31) NS NS NS CI95% (PTVproph) 1.47 (1.42 – 1.53) 1.38 (1.33 – 1.43) 1.38 (1.34 – 1.44) <0.001 <0.001 NS

Abbreviations: OF = objective function; PCM = pharyngeal constrictor muscle; EIM = esophageal inlet muscle; PTV = Planning target volume; Ring x cm = ring of x cm around the PTV; NTCP = Normal tissue complication probability; DYS = RTOG grade 2-4 dysphagia; TFD = tube feeding dependence; NS = no statistically significant difference. Note that all values are denoted as average (95% CI) over all patients. The paired-sampled t-test was used to derive the p-values.

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Table 4.1. Plan evaluation parameters of the clinical plans and plans optimized with an NTCP-based objective function.

Clinical plan OF DYS-plan OFTFD-Plan OFDYS-plan – Clinical plan OFTFD-plan – Clinical plan OFDYS – OFTFD-plan

Mean (95% CI) Mean (95% CI) Mean (95% CI) p-value p-value p-value

NTCP values (%)

Xerostomia 20.1 (16.6 – 23.6) 15.2 (11.4 – 19.1) 15.1 (11.2 – 19.0) <0.001 <0.001 NS

Grade II-IV dysphagia 22.1 (18.3 – 25.9) 22.4 (20.1 – 24.8) 23.1 (20.8 – 25.4) NS 0.001 0.021

Tube feeding dep. 6.8 (4.5 – 9.2) 7.1 (4.3 – 10.0) 6.6 (3.7 – 9.4) NS NS 0.006

Dose values (Gy)

D98 (PTVtherapeutic) 66.6 (66.4 – 66.8) 67.2 (67.0 – 67.3) 67.2 (67.0 – 67.3) <0.001 <0.001 NS D98 (PTVprophilactic) 51.9 (51.5 – 52.3) 52.6 (52.2 – 53.0) 52.7 (52.3 – 53.2) <0.001 <0.001 0.025 Contra parotid 21.5 (18.7 – 24.4) 18.6 (16.1 – 21.2) 18.4 (15.9 – 21.1) <0.001 <0.001 NS Ipsi parotid 26.6 (23.1 – 30.0) 22.6 (19.4 – 25.8) 22.2 (19.1 – 25.4) <0.001 <0.001 NS Supraglottic area 55.2 (52.8 – 58.0) 53.8 (51.2 – 56.8) 56.0 (53.7 – 58.7) 0.005 0.007 <0.001 PCM superior 39.3 (34.7 – 44.3) 40.4 (35.8 – 45.5) 40.1 (35.5 – 45.1) <0.001 0.004 0.028 PCM medial 46.3 (42.5 – 50.7) 46.0 (42.6 – 50.5) 47.4 (43.5 – 51.9) NS 0.003 <0.001 PCM inferior 55.4 (53.1 – 58.0) 55.4 (52.9 – 58.3) 56.6 (54.2 – 59.3) NS 0.002 <0.001 Cricoph. muscle 51.2 (49.1 – 53.7) 49.0 (46.5 – 51.8) 50.6 (48.3 – 53.3) <0.001 NS <0.001 EIM 36.4 (33.6 – 39.8) 31.0 (28.1 – 34.2) 33.1 (30.2 – 36.3) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 External 12.2 (11.1 – 13.6) 13.7 (12.6 – 15.0) 13.9 (12.8 – 15.2) <0.001 <0.001 NS Oral Cavity 30.2 (25.5 – 34.1) 28.0 (24.6 – 31.6) 28.0 (24.6 – 31.6) <0.001 <0.001 NS Ring 1cm 43.7 (42.6 – 44.9) 41.8 (40.9 – 42.9) 41.7 (40.7 – 42.8) <0.001 <0.001 NS Ring 6cm 15.2 (14.2 – 16.4) 14.1 (13.2 – 15.2) 14.1 (13.2 – 15.2) <0.001 <0.001 NS Target Evaluation (a.u.) HI (PTVther) 0.09 (0.09 – 0.10) 0.09 (0.08 – 0.09) 0.09 (0.08 – 0.09) NS NS NS HI (PTVproph) 0.35 (0.34 – 0.35) 0.34 (0.33 – 0.34) 0.35 (0.33 – 0.37) 0.003 NS NS CI95% (PTVther) 1.26 (1.21 – 1.31) 1.27 (1.24 – 1.29) 1.28 (1.25 – 1.31) NS NS NS CI95% (PTVproph) 1.47 (1.42 – 1.53) 1.38 (1.33 – 1.43) 1.38 (1.34 – 1.44) <0.001 <0.001 NS

Abbreviations: OF = objective function; PCM = pharyngeal constrictor muscle; EIM = esophageal inlet muscle; PTV = Planning target volume; Ring x cm = ring of x cm around the PTV; NTCP = Normal tissue complication probability; DYS = RTOG grade 2-4 dysphagia; TFD = tube feeding dependence; NS = no statistically significant difference. Note that all values are denoted as average (95% CI) over all patients. The paired-sampled t-test was used to derive the p-values.

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Figure 4.4. Bland-Altman plots of ΔNTCP of xerostomia (XER) [Column A], grade 2-4 dysphagia (DYS) [Column B],

and tube feeding dependence (TFD) 6 months post treatment [Column C].

Row I and II show the ΔNTCP between the clinical plans and the plans optimized with an NTCP-based objective function for dysphagia (OF-DYS) and tube feeding dependence (OF-TFD), respectively. The ΔNTCP between the OF-DYS and OF-TFD are shown in row III. The solid and dashed horizontal lines indicate respectively the mean difference and 95% probability intervals for 0 – 10% and >10% mean NTCP.

In literature, different classes of biologically-oriented optimization functions have been reported. The (generalized) EUD formalism is the most commonly used phenomenological function in (commercially available) treatment planning systems. A number of studies reported reduced OARs dose values using gEUD-based optimizations compared to physical dose-volume based optimizations [14–20]. Moreover, Schell et al. demonstrated treatment plan optimization by means of the linear quadratic model, accounting for tissue and fractionation scheme dependencies [28]. In contrast to the gEUD and the linear quadratic model, the phenomenological multivariable NTCP models in this study introduced non-dosimetric factors such as demographics and other clinical factors in the optimization process. Furthermore, the NTCP curve has a sigmoid dependence of dose to multiple structures. This advantage may be a next step to the development of

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so-called “cluster models”, in which the whole three-dimensional dose distribution is linked to complications [29].

A gEUD-based objective includes one dose-volume parameter. In contrast, the NTCP-based OF combined multiple (for tube feeding dependence up to four) dose parameters into one objective, requiring less objectives in the composite hybrid objective function, simplifying the overall optimization process. In the current study, the NTCP-based OFs were limited to grade 2-4 dysphagia and TFD. Therefore, OARs not included in these NTCP models were penalized using gEUD-based objectives. We acknowledge that this may limit the true exploration of NTCP-based objectives in treatment optimization. However, omitting penalty functions to the OARs not included in the prediction models resulted in clinically unacceptable plans.

Furthermore, both grade 2-4 dysphagia and tube feeding dependence are closely related endpoints. Therefore, the expected ∆dose and ∆NTCP between the OFDYS and OFTFD-plan was small, and therefore, the clinical benefit may be limited to a number of patients only. Future research will test the hypothesis that an NTCP reduction will actually lead to less toxicity.

As pointed out by Choi and Deasy, the optimization process only requires a model to steer the optimizer in the right direction [30]. Therefore, different NTCP models may be used for plan evaluation and optimization. Especially for evaluation, it is recommended to externally validate the model before clinical application. On the other hand, to further improve the optimization process, the use of optimization-specific models is part of future work. Recently, the so-called model-based approach was proposed, in which NTCP models are used to select the best treatment modality per patients (e.g. photon or proton therapy) when the primary indication is a reduction of toxicity [31,32]. Patients will be referred for proton therapy if ΔNTCP exceeds a pre-defined threshold, when comparing photon and proton treatment plans. Since the NTCP-based OFs for IMRT resulted in reduced NTCP estimates for patients with relative high NTCP values, the ΔNTCP between photon and proton therapy would potentially be lower. Therefore, to objectively compare both treatment modalities, there is a necessity to develop an NTCP-based optimization approach for intensity modulated proton therapy as well.

In conclusion, a multivariable NTCP model for tube feeding dependence as objective function in the plan optimizer algorithm results in plans with a slightly lower predicted NTCP value for a subgroup of patients. The OFTFD contains four dosimetric parameters in one planning objective, simplifying the composite hybrid objective function as compared to gEUD-based optimized plans.

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4.5 References

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[2] Tol JP, Doornaert P, Witte BI, Dahele M, Slotman BJ, Verbakel WFAR. A longitudinal evaluation of improvements in radiotherapy treatment plan quality for head and neck cancer patients. Radiother Oncol 2016;119:337-343. [3] Nutting CM, Morden JP, Harrington KJ, et al. Parotid-sparing intensity modulated versus conventional

radiotherapy in head and neck cancer (PARSPORT): a phase 3 multicentre randomised controlled trial. Lancet Oncol 2011;12:127–36.

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[5] Kam MKM, Leung S-F, Zee B, et al. Prospective Randomized Study of Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy on Salivary Gland Function in Early-Stage Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients. J Clin Oncol 2007;25:4873–9. [6] Eisbruch A, Schwartz M, Rasch C, et al. Dysphagia and aspiration after chemoradiotherapy for head-and-neck

cancer: Which anatomic structures are affected and can they be spared by IMRT? Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2004;60:1425–39.

[7] Caglar HB, Tishler RB, Othus M, et al. Dose to Larynx Predicts for Swallowing Complications After Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2008;72:1110–8.

[8] Christianen MEMC, van der Schaaf A, van der Laan HP, et al. Swallowing sparing intensity modulated radiotherapy (SW-IMRT) in head and neck cancer: Clinical validation according to the model-based approach. Radiother Oncol 2016;118:298–303.

[9] Timothy D, Hutcheson K, Mohamed ASR, et al. Beyond mean pharyngeal constrictor dose for beam path toxicity in non-target swallowing muscles: Dose–volume correlates of chronic radiation-associated dysphagia (RAD) after oropharyngeal intensity modulated radiotherapy. Radiother Oncol 2016;118:304–14.

[10] Feng FY, Kim HM, Lyden TH, et al. Intensity-modulated chemoradiotherapy aiming to reduce dysphagia in patients with oropharyngeal cancer: clinical and functional results. J Clin Oncol 2010;28:2732–8.

[11] Van der Laan HP, Christianen M, Bijl HP, Schilstra C, Langendijk JA. The potential benefit of swallowing sparing intensity modulated radiotherapy to reduce swallowing dysfunction: an in silico planning comparative study. Radiother Oncol 2012;103:76–81.

[12] Niemierko A. Reporting and analyzing dose distributions: a concept of equivalent uniform dose. Med Phys 1997;24:103–10.

[13] Allen Li X, Alber M, Deasy JO, et al. The use and QA of biologically related models for treatment planning: short report of the TG-166 of the therapy physics committee of the AAPM. Med Phys 2012;39:1386–409. [14] Wu Q, Djajaputra D, Wu Y, Zhou J, Liu HH, Mohan R. Intensity-modulated radiotherapy optimization with

gEUD-guided dose-volume objectives. Phys Med Biol 2003;48:279–91.

[15] Thieke C, Bortfeld T, Niemierko A, Nill S. From physical dose constraints to equivalent uniform dose constraints in inverse radiotherapy planning. Med Phys 2003;30:2332.

[16] Semenenko VA., Reitz B, Day E, Qi XS, Miften M, Li XA. Evaluation of a commercial biologically based IMRT treatment planning system. Med Phys 2008;35:5851.

[17] Das S. A role for biological optimization within the current treatment planning paradigm. Med Phys 2009;36:4672–82.

[18] Qi XS, Semenenko VA, Li XA. Improved critical structure sparing with biologically based IMRT optimization. Med Phys 2009;36:1790–9.

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[19] Anderson N, Lawford C, Khoo V, Rolfo M, Joon DL, Wada M. Improved normal tissue sparing in head and neck radiotherapy using biological cost function based-IMRT. Technol Cancer Res Treat 2011;10:575–83. [20] Kan MWK, Leung LHT, Yu PKN. The use of biologically related model (Eclipse) for the intensity-modulated

radiation therapy planning of nasopharyngeal carcinomas. PLoS One 2014;9;11:e112229.

[21] Van der Schaaf A, Langendijk JA, Fiorino C, Rancati T. Embracing phenomenological approaches to Normal Tissue Complication Probability modeling: a question of method. Int J Radiat Oncol 2015;91:468–71. [22] Kierkels RGJ, Korevaar EW, Steenbakkers RJHM, et al. Direct use of multivariable normal tissue complication

probability models in treatment plan optimisation for individualised head and neck cancer radiotherapy produces clinically acceptable treatment plans. Radiother Oncol 2014;112:430–6.

[23] Wopken K, Bijl HP, Van Der Schaaf A, et al. Development of a multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model for tube feeding dependence after curative radiotherapy/chemo-radiotherapy in head and neck cancer. Radiother Oncol 2014;113:95–101.

[24] Cox JD, Stetz J, Pajak TF. Toxicity Criteria OfThe Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) and the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC). Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 1995;31:1341–6. [25] Christianen MEMC, Schilstra C, Beetz I, et al. Predictive modelling for swallowing dysfunction after primary

(chemo)radiation: results of a prospective observational study. Radiother Oncol 2012;105:107–14. [26] Houweling AC, Philippens MEP, Dijkema T, et al. A comparison of dose-response models for the parotid gland

in a large group of head-and-neck cancer patients. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2010;76:1259–65.

[27] Janssen T, van Kesteren Z, Franssen G, Damen E, van Vliet C. Pareto fronts in clinical practice for pinnacle. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2013;85:873–80.

[28] Schell S, Wilkens JJ, Oelfke U. Radiobiological effect based treatment plan optimization with the linear quadratic model. Z Med Phys 2010;20:188–96.

[29] Thames HD, Zhang M, Tucker SL, Liu HH, Dong L, Mohan R. Cluster models of dose-volume effects. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2004;59:1491–504.

[30] Choi B, Deasy JO. The generalized equivalent uniform dose function as a basis for intensity-modulated treatment planning. Phys Med Biol 2002;47:3579–89.

[31] Langendijk JA, Lambin P, De Ruysscher D, Widder J, Bos M, Verheij M. Selection of patients for radiotherapy with protons aiming at reduction of side effects: the model-based approach. Radiother Oncol 2013;107:267–73. [32] Widder J, van der Schaaf A, Lambin P, et al. The Quest for Evidence for Proton Therapy: Model-Based Approach

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4.S Supplemental material

Table 4.S1. Patient characteristics

Variable Frequency (%) Sex Male 75 Female 25 Age <40 1 40-49 6 50-59 22 60-69 43 70-79 25 >80 3

Tumour location Oral cavity 1

Oropharynx 32 Nasopharynx 6 Hypopharynx 10 Larynx 51 T-stage T1 16 T2 47 T3 22 T4 15 N-stage N0 52 N1 10 N2b 19 N2c 13 N2 nasopharynx 5 N3 1

Treatment technique Conventional IMRT 29 Accelerated IMRT 33 Chemo-radiation 35 IMRT + Cetuximab 3 Baseline swallowing dysfunction None 98

Mild 2

Baseline tube feeding dependent Yes No

0 100

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Table 4.S2. Prognostic variables x and regression coefficients β of the NTCP models.

NTCP model Variable x β

Physician-rated RTOG grade 2-4 late dysphagia Mean dose superior PCM (Gy) Mean dose supraglottic larynx (Gy) Constant

0.057 0.037 -6.09 Tube feeding dependence T-stage

Moderate weight loss (no = 0, yes = 1) Severe weight loss (no = 0, yes = 1) Accelerated radiotherapy (no = 0, yes = 1) Chemoradiation (no = 0, yes = 1)

Radiotherapy plus cetuximab (no = 0, yes = 1) Mean dose PCM superior (Gy)

Mean dose PCM inferior (Gy) Mean dose contralateral parotid (Gy) Mean dose cricopharyngeal muscle (Gy) Constant 0.430 0.950 1.630 1.200 1.910 0.560 0.071 0.034 0.006 0.023 -11.70

Abbreviations: NTCP = normal tissue complication probability; RTOG = Radiation Therapy Oncology Group; PCM = pharyngeal constrictor muscle. The β unit for dose parameters is [Gy-1].

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