Reporting Risk
“An analysis of the risk paragraphs of listed companies in the Netherlands”
Appendix
1
Table of content
Table of content ... 1
Appendix 1: Deloitte Risk Management Cycle ... 2
Appendix 2: The Deloitte Risk Map ... 2
Appendix 3: Risk Map Example... 2
Appendix 4 List companies Euronext and Netherlands total... 3
Appendix 5 List research population and summary ... 9
Appendix 6: Companies per sub-industry... 10
Appendix 7 Table frequency of risk categories and environments... 11
Appendix 8 Scatter plots... 12
Appendix 9 Spearman’s rho test ... 15
Appendix 10 Regression: dummies ... 19
10.1 Regression SDN#X 1/2/2004 7/1/2005 ... 19
10.2 Regression BETA July 12 2005... 22
10.3 Regression Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005... 25
10.5 Regression Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005... 32
Appendix 11 Correlation risk number of risk categories... 36
Appendix 12 Multiple regression risk total and control total ... 42
12.1 Multiple regression Std. Deviation 1/2/2004 7/1/2005... 42
12.2 Multiple regression Beta ... 43
12.3 Multiple regression average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 ... 44
12.4 Multiple regression average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004 ... 45
12.5 Multiple regression average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005 ... 46
Appendix 13 Measurement of Beta in DataStream ... 47
2
A p p e ndix 1: D e lo itte Risk Ma na geme nt C y cle F u rthe r in forma tion a bou t the De loitte Risk Ma na g em ent C y cl e c an b e fou nd a t De loitte Ente rprise Risk Se rvic es . Onl y av ailable in the non -public version. A p p e ndix 2: Th e Deloi tte Risk Map Onl y av ailable in the non -public version. A ppen d ix 3 : R isk M a p E x am p le
This risk map is generated with the Resolver Ballot® program. The risks are identified by senior management during a risk assessment workshop.Onl y av ailable in the non -public version.
3
Appendix 4 List companies Euronext and Netherlands total
Nr. Organisation Mainsector Country
1 Aalberts Industries Engineering & Machinery NL
2 ABN AMRO Banks NL
3 ABN AMRO Equity Umbrella Fund Investment Companies NL 4 ABN AMRO Fixed Income Umbrella Fund Investment Companies NL 5 ABN AMRO Groen Fonds Investment Companies NL 6 Accell Group Household Goods & Textiles NL
7 Achmea Hypotheekbank Banks NL
8 ACNielsen (Nederland) Speciality & Other Finance NL
9 Acomo Distributors NL
10 AEGON Insurance NL
11 AEGON Global Investment Fund Investment Companies NL
12 AEGON Levensverzekering Life Assurance NL
13 AEGON Spaarkas Insurance NL
14 Ahold Food & Drug Retailers NL
15 Airspray Personal Care & Household Products
NL
16 Ajax Leisure & Entertainment & Hotels NL
17 Akzo Nobel Chemicals NL
18 Alanheri Food Producers & Processors NL
19 Allianz Europe Fund Investment Companies NL
20 Allianz Mix Fund Investment Companies NL
21 Allianz Plus Fund Investment Companies NL
22 Allianz Top Fund Investment Companies NL
23 Alpha Beleggingsfondsen Investment Companies NL
24 AlpInvest Investment Companies NL
25 AM Construction & Building Materials NL
26 AND International Publishers Media & Photography NL 27 Arcadis Construction & Building Materials NL 28 ASM International Information Technology Hardware NL 29 ASM Lithography Information Technology Hardware NL 30 ASN Beleggingsfondsen Investment Companies NL 31 ASN Groenprojectenfonds Investment Companies NL
32 ASN Novib Fonds Investment Companies NL
33 ASR Verzekeringsgroep Insurance NL
34 Athlon Holding Distributors NL
35 AXA Beleggingsfondsen Investment Companies NL 36 Axalto Holding Information Technology Hardware NL
37 Baan Software & Computer Services NL
38 Ballast Nedam Construction & Building Materials NL 39 BAM Groep Construction & Building Materials NL 40 Batenburg Beheer Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL 41 BE Semiconductor Industries Information Technology Hardware NL
42 Begemann Groep Investment Companies NL
43 Beter Bed General Retailers NL
44 Bever Holding Investment Companies NL
45 Binck Speciality & Other Finance NL
4
Nr. Organisation Mainsector Country
46 Blue Fox Enterprises Software & Computer Services NL 47 Blydenstein-Willink Household Goods & Textiles NL 48 Boskalis Westminster Construction & Building Materials NL
49 Brill Media & Photography NL
50 Brunel International Support Services NL
51 Buhrmann Distributors NL
52 Centric KSI Holding Information Technology Hardware NL
53 Columbia Securities Investment Companies NL
54 Corio N.V. Speciality & Other Finance NL
55 Crown Van Gelder Forestry & Paper NL
56 Crucell Pharmaceuticals NL
57 CSM Food Producers & Processors NL
58 Ctac Software & Computer Services NL
59 De Vries Robbé Groep Engineering & Machinery NL 60 Delft Instruments Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL 61 Delta Deelnemingen Fonds Investment Companies NL 62 Delta Lloyd Aandelenfondsen Investment Companies NL 63 Delta Lloyd Dollar Fonds Investment Companies NL 64 Delta Lloyd Donau Fonds Investment Companies NL 65 Delta Lloyd Euro Credit Fund Investment Companies NL 66 Delta Lloyd Euro Fonds Investment Companies NL 67 Delta Lloyd Investment Fund Investment Companies NL 68 Delta Lloyd Jade Fonds Investment Companies NL 69 Delta Lloyd Mix Fonds Investment Companies NL 70 Delta Lloyd Nederland Fonds Investment Companies NL 71 Delta Lloyd Obligatiefondsen Investment Companies NL 72 Delta Lloyd Rente Fonds Investment Companies NL
73 Devote Software & Computer Services NL
74 DIAMONDS Trust Series 1 Investment Companies NL 75 Dico International Household Goods & Textiles NL
76 DIM Vastgoed Investment Companies NL
77 DNC De Nederlanden Compagnie Support Services NL
78 DOCdata Media & Photography NL
79 DPA Holding Support Services NL
80 Draka Holding Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL 81 Dresdner VPV Emerging Markets Fund Investment Companies NL 82 Dresdner VPV Europe Fund Investment Companies NL 83 Dresdner VPV HollandHaven Investment Companies NL 84 Dresdner VPV Income Fund Investment Companies NL
85 DSM Chemicals NL
86 Ducatus Investment Companies NL
87 Dutch Mortgage Portfolio Loans II Investment Companies NL
88 EADS Aerospace & Defence NL
89 Econosto Distributors NL
90 Emba Speciality & Other Finance NL
91 Envipco Support Services NL
92 Equant Telecommunication Services NL
93 ERIKS Group Distributors NL
94 Eurocommercial Properties Investment Companies NL
5
Nr. Organisation Mainsector Country
95 Euronext Speciality & Other Finance NL
96 Euronext Amsterdam Speciality & Other Finance NL 97 European Assets Trust Investment Companies NL
98 EVC International Chemicals NL
99 Exact Software & Computer Services NL
100 Exendis Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL 101 Finles Obligatie Fonds Investment Companies NL
102 Fornix BioSciences Pharmaceuticals NL
103 Fortis Banks NL
104 Fortis Obam Investment Companies NL
105 Frans Maas Transport NL
106 Friesland Bank Aandelen Fonds Investment Companies NL 107 Friesland Bank Eurorente Fonds Investment Companies NL 108 Friesland Bank Mix Fonds Investment Companies NL 109 Friesland Foods Food Producers & Processors NL
110 Fugro Oil & Gas NL
111 Gamma Holding Household Goods & Textiles NL 112 Getronics Software & Computer Services NL 113 Gilissen Quality Growth Fund Investment Companies NL 114 Gouda Vuurvast Construction & Building Materials NL
115 Grolsch Beverages NL
116 Grontmij Support Services NL
117 Groothandelsgebouwen Real Estate NL
118 Hagemeyer Distributors NL
119 Heijmans Construction & Building Materials NL
120 Heineken Beverages NL
121 Heineken Holding Beverages NL
122 HES Beheer Transport NL
123 HITT Software & Computer Services NL
124 Holland Basis Fondsen Investment Companies NL
125 Holland Colours Chemicals NL
126
Holland Euro-Denominated Mortgage- Backed Series (Hermes) I
Investment Companies NL
127
Holland Euro-Denominated Mortgage- Backed Series (Hermes) II
Investment Companies NL
128
Holland Euro-Denominated Mortgage- Backed Series (Hermes) III
Investment Companies NL
129
Holland Euro-Denominated Mortgage- Backed Series (Hermes) IV
Investment Companies NL
130 Holland Europe Fund Investment Companies NL
131 Holland Mix Fondsen Investment Companies NL
132 Holland Pacific Fund Investment Companies NL 133 Hunter Douglas Household Goods & Textiles NL 134 ICT Automatisering Software & Computer Services NL 135 Imtech Construction & Building Materials NL 136 Indocam Himalayan Fund Investment Companies NL
137 ING Bank Dutch Fund Investment Companies NL
138 ING Bank Geldmarkt Fonds Investment Companies NL 139 ING Bank Hoog Dividend Aandelen Fonds Investment Companies NL
6
Nr. Organisation Mainsector Country
140 ING Bank Obligatie Fonds Investment Companies NL
141 ING Groep Insurance NL
142 InnoConcepts Support Services NL
143 Insinger de Beaufort Alchemy Investment Companies NL 144 Insinger de Beaufort Umbrella Fund Investment Companies NL 145 Intereffekt Japanse Aandelen Investment Companies NL 146 Intereffekt Japanse Warrants Investment Companies NL 147 Japan Convertible Fund Investment Companies NL 148 Jetix Europe Leisure & Entertainment & Hotels NL
149 Kardan Investment Companies NL
150 Kas Bank Banks NL
151 Kendrion Engineering & Machinery NL
152 KPN Telecommunication Services NL
153 Laurus Food & Drug Retailers NL
154 Lycos Europe Support Services NL
155 Macintosh Retail Group General Retailers NL
156 Magnus Software & Computer Services NL
157 Management Share Software & Computer Services NL 158 Maxwell Petroleum Speciality & Other Finance NL 159 McGregor Fashion Group Household Goods & Textiles NL 160 Middle Europe Real Estate (MERE) Investment Companies NL
161 Mittal Steel Steel & Other Metals NL
162 Moeara Enim Investment Companies NL
163 NAGRON Nationaal Grondbezit Real Estate NL
164 Nedap Diversified Industrials NL
165 Nedschroef Engineering & Machinery NL
166 Neways Electronics International Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL
167 NIB Capital Banks NL
168 Nieuwe Steen Investments (NSI) Investment Companies NL
169 Numico Food Producers & Processors NL
170 Nutreco Holding Food Producers & Processors NL
171 Nyloplast Engineering & Machinery NL
172 Océ Information Technology Hardware NL
173 OHRA Aandelen Fonds Investment Companies NL
174 OHRA Beleggingsfondsen Investment Companies NL
175 OHRA Care Fonds Investment Companies NL
176 OHRA Communicatie Technologie Fonds Investment Companies NL
177 OHRA Internet Fonds Investment Companies NL
178 OHRA Medical Technology Fonds Investment Companies NL 179 OHRA Milieutechnologie Fonds Investment Companies NL 180 OHRA Multimedia Fonds Investment Companies NL 181 OHRA New Energy Fonds Investment Companies NL 182 OHRA Onroerend Goed Fonds Investment Companies NL 183 OHRA Spaardividendfonds Investment Companies NL
184 OHRA Totaal Fonds Investment Companies NL
185 OPG Groep Distributors NL
186 Optimix Investment Funds Investment Companies NL
187 Optiver Holding Investment Companies NL
188 Orange Deelnemingen Fund Investment Companies NL
7
Nr. Organisation Mainsector Country
189 Orange European Largecap Fund Investment Companies NL 190 Orange European Midcap Fund Investment Companies NL 191 Orange European Property Fund Investment Companies NL 192 Orange European Smallcap Fund Investment Companies NL
193 Orange Fund Investment Companies NL
194 Orange Largecap Fund Investment Companies NL
195 Orange SeNSe Fund Investment Companies NL
196 Orange Wine Fund Investment Companies NL
197 Ordina Software & Computer Services NL
198 P&O Nedlloyd Transport NL
199 Pacific Rim Convertible Fund Investment Companies NL 200 Pan Global Convertible Fund Investment Companies NL
201 Pharming Pharmaceuticals NL
202 Philips Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL
203 Phoenix Fund Investment Companies NL
204 PontMeyer Construction & Building Materials NL 205 Porceleyne Fles, de Household Goods & Textiles NL 206 Postbank Euro Obligatiefonds Investment Companies NL 207 Priority Telecom Telecommunication Services NL 208 Prolion Holding Engineering & Machinery NL
209 Randstad Holding Support Services NL
210 Reed Elsevier Media & Photography NL
211 Reesink Distributors NL
212 Rente Plus Beleggingsfondsen Investment Companies NL
213 Robeco Investment Companies NL
214 Robeco America Investment Companies NL
215 Robeco Balanced Mix Investment Companies NL
216 Robeco Dynamic Mix Investment Companies NL
217 Robeco Europe Investment Companies NL
218 Robeco Growth Mix Investment Companies NL
219 Robeco Hollands Bezit Investment Companies NL 220 Robeco Nonstop Click Euroland Investment Companies NL
221 Robeco Pacific Investment Companies NL
222 Robeco Private Equity Investment Companies NL
223 Robeco Safe Mix Investment Companies NL
224 Robeco Solid Mix Investment Companies NL
225 Robeco YoungDynamic Investment Companies NL
226 Rodamco Asia Investment Companies NL
227 Rodamco Europe Investment Companies NL
228 Rolinco Investment Companies NL
229 Rood Testhouse International Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL
230 RSDB Media & Photography NL
231 RT Company Investment Companies NL
232 Samas-Groep Engineering & Machinery NL
233 SBM Offshore Diversified Industrials NL
234 Schlumberger Oil & Gas NL
235 Schuitema Food & Drug Retailers NL
236 Seagull Software & Computer Services NL
237 Selected Winner Fund Investment Companies NL
8
Nr. Organisation Mainsector Country
238 Shell Oil & Gas NL
239 Simac Software & Computer Services NL
240 Sligro Food Group Food & Drug Retailers NL
241 Smit Internationale Transport NL
242 SNS Bank Banks NL
243 Spyker Cars Automobiles NL
244 Stern Groep Automobiles NL
245 Stork Engineering & Machinery NL
246 T & P Resultante Fund Investment Companies NL
247 Telegraaf Media & Photography NL
248 Ten Cate Diversified Industrials NL
249 TIE Holding Software & Computer Services NL
250 TNT Support Services NL
251 TomTom Information Technology Hardware NL
252 Triodos Meerwaardefonds Investment Companies NL 253 Tulip Computers Information Technology Hardware NL 254 Twentsche Kabel Holding Electronic & Electrical Equipment NL
255 Unilever Food Producers & Processors NL
256 Unit 4 Agresso Software & Computer Services NL
257 United Services Group Support Services NL
258 Univar Chemicals NL
259 Van der Hoop Bankiers Speciality & Other Finance NL 260 Van der Moolen Speciality & Other Finance NL
261 Van Lanschot Banks NL
262 Van Lanschot Bond Opportunity Fund Investment Companies NL 263 Van Lanschot European Equity Fund Investment Companies NL 264 Van Lanschot Global Bond Fund Investment Companies NL 265 Van Lanschot Global Equity Fund Investment Companies NL 266 VastNed Offices/Industrial Investment Companies NL
267 VastNed Retail Investment Companies NL
268 Vedior Support Services NL
269 Versatel Telecommunication Services NL
270 VHS Onroerend Goed Maatschappij Real Estate NL 271 Vilenzo International Household Goods & Textiles NL
272 VNU Media & Photography NL
273 Vopak Transport NL
274 Wegener Media & Photography NL
275 Wereldhave Real Estate NL
276 Wessanen Food Producers & Processors NL
277 Wolters Kluwer Media & Photography NL
278 ZOM Florida Fund Investment Companies NL
9
A p p e ndix 5 Lis t research pop ul atio n an d su mm ar y Onl y av ailable in the no n-public version.
10
A p p e ndix 6: C o mp a n ies per su b-in dus tr y
Softwar e & Compu ter Serv ic e
Inform ati on T ec hnology Hard ware
Te le co mm unic ati on Se rv ic es
Fo od & Dr ug Retailer s
Tra nsp ort
Suppor t Se rv ic es
Medi a & P hotog raphy
Leis ure & En tertai nmen t & Hotel s
Gener al Reta iler s
Dis tri butors
Specia lty & O ther Financ e
Real E sta te
Insu ranc e
Bank s
Phar mac euti cal s
Pers onal C are & Hous ehol d...
Food Produ ce rs & Pr oces so rs
Beve rage s
Hous ehol d Good s &
Te xti les
Automo bile s
Engi neer in g & Mac hiner y
Elec troni c &
Elec tric al Equ ip ment
Div ers ifi ed Indus tria ls
Ae ro sp ace &
Defense
Steel & Oth er Metals
Fore stry & P ap er
Cons tru cti on & Bu ildi ng Ma teria ls
Chemic als
Oil &
Gas
14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Freque ncy
Number of companies per industry
11
A p p e ndix 7 T a bl e freq uenc y of r isk cate gories a nd e n v iro nme n ts
Internal Environment Competitive Environment External Environment Customer Service Human Resource management a... Outbound logistics Operations Inbound logistics Technology Developement Marketing and Sales Procurement Firm Infrastructure Substitutes Competition New entrants Buyers /Cutomer wants Suppliers Political environment Social Environment Physical environment Catastropic loss Sensitivity in shareholders relations Legal / Trade regulation Economic / Financial MarketRisk Category / Environment
7065605550454035302520151050 Number of companiesRisk and Control
Risk, No Control
12
Appendix 8 Scatter plots
10,00 9,00 8,00 7,00 6,00 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00
Percentage of risk paragraph in annual Report
19,00 18,00 17,00 16,00 15,00 14,00 13,00 12,00 11,00 10,00 9,00 8,00 7,00 6,00 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00 -1,00
Std. deviation 1/2/2004 7/1/2005
10,00 9,00 8,00 7,00 6,00 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00
Percentage of risk paragraph in annual Report
2,50
2,00
1,50
1,00
0,50
0,00
Beta
13
10,00 9,00 8,00 7,00 6,00 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00
Percentage of risk paragraph in annual Report
0,500
0,400
0,300
0,200
0,100
0,000
-0,100
Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005
10,00 9,00 8,00 7,00 6,00 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00
Percentage of risk paragraph in annual Report
0,400
0,300
0,200
0,100
0,000
-0,100
-0,200
Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004
14
10,00 9,00
8,00 7,00 6,00
5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00
Percentage of risk paragraph in annual Report
1,000
0,500
0,000
-0,500
-1,000
Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2004- 1/7/2005
15
A p p e ndix 9 S p e a rman’ s rho tes t Spearm a n's rho
Std. Deviation 1/2/2004 7/1/2005 Beta Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004
Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005 Correlation Coefficient 0,193 -0,058 0,172 0,078 0,196 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,030 0,523 0,056 0,385 0,028
Economic / Financial markets N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,163 -0,021 0,060 -0,007 0,107 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,069 0,821 0,509 0,934 0,233
Legal/ trade regulation N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient -0,044 0,123 -0,069 -0,079 -0,013 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,627 0,177 0,447 0,384 0,882
Sensitivity in shareholder relations N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient -0,070 -0,021 -0,077 -0,121 0,009 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,434 0,821 0,395 0,178 0,916
Catastrophic loss N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,144 -0,138 0,115 0,036 0,204 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,107 0,129 0,201 0,691 0,022
Physical environment N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,122 0,045 0,101 0,009 0,091 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,174 0,620 0,262 0,920 0,309 Social environment N 126 123 125 125 126
16
Spearm a n's rho
Std. Deviation 1/2/2004 7/1/2005 Beta Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005 Correlation Coefficient 0,045 0,130 -0,061 -0,077 0,020 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,619 0,152 0,501 0,391 0,826
Political environment N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,054 -0,058 0,048 0,044 0,069 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,552 0,523 0,596 0,625 0,440
Suppliers N126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,021 -0,008 0,007 0,003 0,047 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,819 0,933 0,941 0,978 0,603
Customer wants N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient -0,078 0,048 -0,018 0,009 -0,038 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,382 0,596 0,844 0,925 0,669
New entrants N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient -0,144 0,097 -0,099 -0,076 -0,095 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,108 0,287 0,273 0,402 0,288
Competition N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient -0,091 0,009 -0,029 0,013 -0,062 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,309 0,920 0,745 0,882 0,491
Substitutes N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,152 0,046 0,199 0,099 0,233 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,090 0,610 0,026 0,273 0,009 Firm infrastructure N 126 123 125 125 126
17
Spearm a n's rho
Std. Deviation 1/2/2004 7/1/2005 Beta Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005 Correlation Coefficient 0,190 -0,129 0,105 0,093 0,132 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,033 0,155 0,242 0,301 0,141
Procurement N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,045 -0,122 0,079 0,049 0,103 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,613 0,179 0,381 0,590 0,250
Marketing and Sales N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,053 0,044 0,159 0,119 0,141 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,558 0,626 0,077 0,187 0,116
Technology developments N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,010 0,044 0,036 -0,015 0,079 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,910 0,629 0,694 0,869 0,380
Inbound logistics N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,003 0,069 0,100 0,063 0,148 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,973 0,446 0,269 0,483 0,099
Operations N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient -0,010 -0,079 -0,081 -0,113 -0,045 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,907 0,386 0,367 0,211 0,616
Outbound logistics N 126 123 125 125 126 Correlation Coefficient 0,006 0,077 0,017 0,055 -0,012 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,948 0,398 0,855 0,540 0,895 Human Resource Management and culture N 126 123 125 125 126
18
Spearm a n's rho
Std. Deviation 1/2/2004 7/1/2005 Beta Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005 Correlation Coefficient -0,111 0,138 -0,049 -0,032 -0,041 Sig. (2-tailed) 0,216 0,128 0,585 0,724 0,650
Customer service N 126 123 125 125 126
19
A p p e ndix 10 Re gressio n : du m m ies This appendix correspon ds to para g rap h 6.2.3. 10.1 R e gres sion SD N # X 1/ 2/2 0 0 4 7/ 1/2 0 0 5
Warnings For models with dependent variable SDN#X 1/2/2004 7/1/2005, the following variables are constants or have missing correlations: Utilities, Institutions. They will be deleted from the analysis. Variables Entered/Removed(b) Model Variables Entered Variables Removed Method 1 ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Procurement, CyclicalService, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, New entrants, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Operations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, Marketing and Sales, Competition, Political environment, Customer service, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Social environment, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Financials, Physical environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Customer wants, NonCyclicalService, Legal/ trade regulation, GeneralIndustrials, Economic / Financial markets, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Risk paragraph?, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described?(a). Enter a. Tolerance = ,000 limits reached. b. Dependent Variable: SDN#X 1/2/2004 7/1/2005 Model Summary Model RR Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate 1 0,425 0,181 -0,129 2,06527 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Procurement, CyclicalService, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, New entrants, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Operations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, Marketing and Sales, Competition, Political environment, Customer service, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss,
20
Social environment, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Financials, Physical environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Customer wants, NonCyclicalService, Legal/ trade regulation, GeneralIndustrials, Economic / Financial markets, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Risk paragraph?, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described? ANOVA(b) Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Regression84,752 34 2,493 0,584 0,960 Residual 383,879 90 4,265
1 Total 468,631 124 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Procurement, CyclicalService, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, New entrants, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Operations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, Marketing and Sales, Competition, Political environment, Customer service, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Social environment, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Financials, Physical environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Customer wants, NonCyclicalService, Legal/ trade regulation, GeneralIndustrials, Economic / Financial markets, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Risk paragraph?, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: SDN#X 1/2/2004 7/1/2005 Coefficients(a) Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. (Constant) 4,278 1,070 3,999 0,000 Economic / Financial markets 0,064 0,961 0,016 0,067 0,947 Legal/ trade regulation 0,190 0,580 0,046 0,327 0,744 Sensitivity in shareholder relations -0,186 0,837 -0,029 -0,222 0,825 Catastrophic loss-0,246 0,650 -0,046 -0,379 0,706 Physical environment 0,147 0,736 0,027 0,199 0,843 Social environment 0,054 0,716 0,009 0,076 0,940 Political environment -0,062 0,764 -0,010 -0,082 0,935 Suppliers 0,157 0,206 0,085 0,765 0,446 Customer wants 0,134 0,644 0,029 0,208 0,836 New entrants -0,216 0,928 -0,029 -0,233 0,817 Competition -0,443 0,625 -0,095 -0,709 0,480
1 Substitutes -0,692 0,976 -0,092 -0,709 0,480
21
Firm infrastructure-0,058 0,784 -0,015 -0,074 0,941 Procurement 0,888 0,635 0,165 1,399 0,165 Marketing and Sales 0,000 1,176 0,000 0,000 1,000 Technology developments 0,033 0,560 0,008 0,059 0,953 Inbound logistics -0,258 0,803 -0,036 -0,321 0,749 Operations -0,177 0,708 -0,033 -0,249 0,804 Outbound logistics -0,060 1,047 -0,007 -0,057 0,954 Human Resource Management and culture -0,011 0,609 -0,002 -0,018 0,985 Customer service -0,362 1,458 -0,029 -0,248 0,805 Resources -0,273 1,575 -0,022 -0,173 0,863 GeneralIndustrials -0,760 0,918 -0,124 -0,827 0,410 CyclicalConsumerGoods -1,246 1,070 -0,148 -1,164 0,247 NonCyclicalConsumerGoods -0,785 0,932 -0,128 -0,842 0,402 Financials 0,116 0,894 0,020 0,130 0,897 CyclicalService -0,643 0,787 -0,146 -0,817 0,416 NonCyclicalService -0,148 1,252 -0,018 -0,118 0,906 InformationTechnology-1,071 0,833 -0,190 -1,285 0,202 Adressing Corporate Governance? -2,146 0,957 -0,255 -2,243 0,027 Risk paragraph? -0,158 0,910 -0,035 -0,173 0,863 Individual risks are described?-0,056 1,240 -0,013 -0,045 0,964 ERM or IC Framework mentioned? -0,313 0,716 -0,074 -0,437 0,663 ERM and/or IC Framework described? 0,383 0,670 0,098 0,571 0,569 a. Dependent Variable: SDN#X 1/2/2004 7/1/2005
22
Excluded Variables(b) Collinearity Statistics Model Beta In t Sig. Partial Correlation Tolerance 1 BasicIndustris .(a) . . . 0,000 a. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Procurement, CyclicalService, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, New entrants, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Operations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, Marketing and Sales, Competition, Political environment, Customer service, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Social environment, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Financials, Physical environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Customer wants, NonCyclicalService, Legal/ trade regulation, GeneralIndustrials, Economic / Financial markets, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Risk paragraph?, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: SDN#X 1/2/2004 7/1/2005
10.2 R e gres sion B E T A Jul y 12 200 5
Warnings For models with dependent variable July 12 2005, the following variables are constants or have missing correlations: Utilities, Institutions. They will be deleted from the analysis. Variables Entered/Removed(b) Model Variables Entered Variables Removed Method 1 ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Physical environment, CyclicalService, Outbound logistics, New entrants, Suppliers, Procurement, Catastrophic loss, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Customer service, Resources, Marketing and Sales, GeneralIndustrials, Political environment, Inbound logistics, Substitutes, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Financials, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, Operations, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Competition, Customer wants, Legal/ trade regulation, BasicIndustris, Risk paragraph?, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described?(a). Enter a. Tolerance = ,000 limits reached. b. Dependent Variable: July 12 2005
23
Model Summary Model RR Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate 1 0,692 0,478 0,275 0,40175 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Physical environment, CyclicalService, Outbound logistics, New entrants, Suppliers, Procurement, Catastrophic loss, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Customer service, Resources, Marketing and Sales, GeneralIndustrials, Political environment, Inbound logistics, Substitutes, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Financials, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, Operations, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Competition, Customer wants, Legal/ trade regulation, BasicIndustris, Risk paragraph?, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described? ANOVA(b) Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Regression12,882 34 0,379 2,347 0,001 Residual 14,042 87 0,161
1 Total 26,924 121 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Physical environment, CyclicalService, Outbound logistics, New entrants, Suppliers, Procurement, Catastrophic loss, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Customer service, Resources, Marketing and Sales, GeneralIndustrials, Political environment, Inbound logistics, Substitutes, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Financials, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, Operations, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Competition, Customer wants, Legal/ trade regulation, BasicIndustris, Risk paragraph?, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: July 12 2005 Coefficients(a) Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. (Constant) 1,169 0,197 5,943 0,000 Economic / Financial markets -0,126 0,198 -0,128 -0,636 0,526 1 Legal/ trade regulation 0,099 0,113 0,099 0,872 0,385
24
Sensitivity in shareholder relations 0,262 0,165 0,172 1,594 0,115 Catastrophic loss-0,065 0,129 -0,050 -0,507 0,613 Physical environment -0,295 0,146 -0,228 -2,018 0,047 Social environment 0,314 0,140 0,220 2,245 0,027 Political environment 0,190 0,149 0,129 1,276 0,205 Suppliers -0,049 0,040 -0,110 -1,222 0,225 Customer wants 0,032 0,126 0,029 0,252 0,802 New entrants -0,136 0,181 -0,076 -0,753 0,453 Competition 0,131 0,122 0,117 1,071 0,287 Substitutes -0,234 0,190 -0,130 -1,233 0,221 Firm infrastructure0,076 0,154 0,080 0,496 0,621 Procurement -0,084 0,124 -0,065 -0,682 0,497 Marketing and Sales -0,211 0,229 -0,089 -0,920 0,360 Technology developments 0,005 0,110 0,006 0,049 0,961 Inbound logistics 0,046 0,157 0,027 0,291 0,772 Operations -0,014 0,138 -0,011 -0,101 0,920 Outbound logistics -0,157 0,205 -0,072 -0,769 0,444 Human Resource Management and culture -0,031 0,119 -0,028 -0,260 0,796 Customer service 0,530 0,284 0,175 1,869 0,065 Resources -0,404 0,362 -0,109 -1,114 0,269 BasicIndustris -0,829 0,162 -0,580 -5,110 0,000 GeneralIndustrials -0,409 0,161 -0,277 -2,543 0,013 CyclicalConsumerGoods -0,882 0,213 -0,406 -4,142 0,000 NonCyclicalConsumerGoods -0,817 0,174 -0,537 -4,709 0,000 Financials -0,691 0,169 -0,483 -4,082 0,000 CyclicalService -0,636 0,132 -0,602 -4,817 0,000 NonCyclicalService -0,725 0,228 -0,359 -3,187 0,002 Adressing Corporate Governance? 0,121 0,197 0,056 0,614 0,541 Risk paragraph? 0,279 0,179 0,247 1,561 0,122 Individual risks are described?-0,051 0,248 -0,049 -0,204 0,839
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ERM or IC Framework mentioned? 0,107 0,143 0,103 0,747 0,457 ERM and/or IC Framework described? -0,141 0,131 -0,149 -1,074 0,286 a. Dependent Variable: July 12 2005 Excluded Variables(b) Collinearity Statistics Model Beta In t Sig. Partial Correlation Tolerance 1 InformationTechnology.(a) . . . 0,000 a. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, Physical environment, CyclicalService, Outbound logistics, New entrants, Suppliers, Procurement, Catastrophic loss, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Adressing Corporate Governance?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Customer service, Resources, Marketing and Sales, GeneralIndustrials, Political environment, Inbound logistics, Substitutes, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Financials, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, Operations, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, Competition, Customer wants, Legal/ trade regulation, BasicIndustris, Risk paragraph?, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Firm infrastructure, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: July 12 2005
10.3 R e gres sion A v er age w e ekly mov e ment of shares 2/ 1/2 004- 1/7/ 200 5
Warnings For models with dependent variable Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005, the following variables are constants or have missing correlations: Utilities, Institutions. They will be deleted from the analysis. Variables Entered/Removed(b) Model Variables Entered Variables Removed Method26
1 ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants, Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described?(a)
. Enter a. Tolerance = ,000 limits reached. b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 Model Summary Model RR Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate 1 0,551 0,303 0,037 0,100903 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants, Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described? ANOVA(b) Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Regression0,395 34 0,012 1,140 0,307 Residual 0,906 89 0,010
1 Total 1,301 123 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants, Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?,
27
Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 Coefficients(a) Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. (Constant) 0,013 0,038 0,340 0,735 Economic / Financial markets -0,030 0,049 -0,140 -0,602 0,549 Legal/ trade regulation 0,011 0,030 0,048 0,351 0,726 Sensitivity in shareholder relations -0,011 0,043 -0,032 -0,251 0,802 Catastrophic loss-0,019 0,032 -0,068 -0,583 0,561 Physical environment 0,069 0,039 0,251 1,780 0,078 Social environment -0,017 0,037 -0,054 -0,458 0,648 Political environment -0,031 0,035 -0,105 -0,894 0,374 Suppliers 0,020 0,010 0,204 1,989 0,050 Customer wants -0,033 0,035 -0,136 -0,936 0,352 New entrants 0,004 0,046 0,010 0,086 0,932 Competition 0,012 0,032 0,048 0,367 0,715 Substitutes -0,011 0,052 -0,024 -0,207 0,836 Firm infrastructure-0,017 0,038 -0,082 -0,448 0,655 Procurement 0,058 0,037 0,199 1,558 0,123 Marketing and Sales 0,000 0,057 0,001 0,007 0,995 Technology developments 0,007 0,028 0,032 0,246 0,806 Inbound logistics -0,034 0,038 -0,091 -0,894 0,374 Operations 0,000 0,034 0,000 0,001 0,999 Outbound logistics -0,052 0,052 -0,109 -0,995 0,323 Human Resource Management and culture -0,038 0,029 -0,158 -1,300 0,197
1 Customer service 0,065 0,074 0,097 0,878 0,383
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Resources 0,026 0,073 0,040 0,359 0,720 BasicIndustris 0,031 0,039 0,101 0,802 0,425 GeneralIndustrials -0,018 0,036 -0,060 -0,504 0,615 CyclicalConsumerGoods 0,001 0,047 0,002 0,021 0,983 NonCyclicalConsumerGoods -0,074 0,037 -0,222 -2,011 0,047 Financials 0,004 0,038 0,012 0,102 0,919 NonCyclicalService 0,087 0,056 0,182 1,539 0,127 InformationTechnology-0,003 0,034 -0,012 -0,097 0,923 Adressing Corporate Governance? 0,079 0,037 0,219 2,142 0,035 Risk paragraph? 0,048 0,042 0,202 1,156 0,251 Individual risks are described?-0,023 0,059 -0,106 -0,392 0,696 ERM or IC Framework mentioned? -0,012 0,036 -0,055 -0,326 0,745 ERM and/or IC Framework described? 0,008 0,033 0,040 0,244 0,808 a. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005 Excluded Variables(b) Collinearity Statistics Model Beta In t Sig. Partial Correlation Tolerance 1 CyclicalService .(a) . . . 0,000 a. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants, Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 1/7/2005
29
10.4 Reg ress ion A v erage w eek ly mov e me nt of shares 2/1/2 004- 31/1 2 /20 0 4
Warnings For models with dependent variable Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004, the following variables are constants or have missing correlations: Utilities, Institutions. They will be deleted from the analysis. Variables Entered/Removed(b) Model Variables Entered Variables Removed Method 1 ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants, Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described?(a). Enter a. Tolerance = ,000 limits reached. b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004 Model Summary Model RR Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate 1 0,616 0,380 0,143 0,089739 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants, Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described?
30
ANOVA(b) Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Regression0,439 34 0,013 1,603 0,041 Residual 0,717 89 0,008
1 Total 1,156 123 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants, Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004 Coefficients(a) Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. (Constant) -0,008 0,034 -0,244 0,808 Economic / Financial markets -0,033 0,044 -0,163 -0,746 0,457 Legal/ trade regulation 0,026 0,027 0,126 0,981 0,329 Sensitivity in shareholder relations 0,017 0,038 0,053 0,436 0,664 Catastrophic loss-0,008 0,029 -0,031 -0,277 0,782 Physical environment 0,059 0,034 0,228 1,712 0,090 Social environment -0,007 0,033 -0,022 -0,202 0,840 Political environment -0,031 0,031 -0,109 -0,992 0,324 Suppliers 0,018 0,009 0,195 2,020 0,046 Customer wants -0,031 0,031 -0,139 -1,015 0,313 New entrants 0,016 0,041 0,042 0,384 0,702 Competition 0,022 0,029 0,094 0,751 0,455 Substitutes 0,015 0,047 0,036 0,325 0,746
1 Firm infrastructure-0,059 0,034 -0,302 -1,742 0,085
31
Procurement 0,040 0,033 0,146 1,209 0,230 Marketing and Sales -0,010 0,050 -0,021 -0,189 0,850 Technology developments 0,020 0,025 0,100 0,826 0,411 Inbound logistics -0,039 0,034 -0,109 -1,130 0,261 Operations -0,007 0,030 -0,025 -0,216 0,829 Outbound logistics -0,047 0,046 -0,104 -1,007 0,316 Human Resource Management and culture -0,032 0,026 -0,142 -1,238 0,219 Customer service 0,046 0,066 0,073 0,696 0,488 Resources 0,029 0,065 0,045 0,436 0,664 BasicIndustris 0,017 0,034 0,060 0,506 0,614 GeneralIndustrials -0,003 0,032 -0,009 -0,079 0,937 CyclicalConsumerGoods 0,021 0,041 0,051 0,512 0,610 NonCyclicalConsumerGoods -0,080 0,033 -0,253 -2,426 0,017 Financials 0,010 0,034 0,032 0,292 0,771 NonCyclicalService 0,119 0,050 0,266 2,379 0,019 InformationTechnology-0,020 0,030 -0,076 -0,672 0,503 Adressing Corporate Governance? 0,074 0,033 0,219 2,264 0,026 Risk paragraph? 0,028 0,037 0,123 0,747 0,457 Individual risks are described?0,013 0,052 0,063 0,247 0,805 ERM or IC Framework mentioned? 0,018 0,032 0,087 0,549 0,584 ERM and/or IC Framework described? -0,018 0,030 -0,092 -0,597 0,552 a. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004 Excluded Variables(b) Collinearity Statistics Model Beta In t Sig. Partial Correlation Tolerance 1 CyclicalService .(a) . . . 0,000 a. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, BasicIndustris, Procurement, InformationTechnology, Technology developments, NonCyclicalService, New entrants,
32
Marketing and Sales, Financials, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, GeneralIndustrials, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 2/1/2004- 31/12/2004
10.5 R e gres sion A v er age w e ekly mov e ment of shares 7/1 /20 05- 1/7/ 200 5
Warnings For models with dependent variable Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005, the following variables are constants or have missing correlations: Utilities, Institutions. They will be deleted from the analysis. Variables Entered/Removed(b) Model Variables Entered Variables Removed Method 1 ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, GeneralIndustrials, BasicIndustris, New entrants, NonCyclicalService, Marketing and Sales, Technology developments, Financials, Procurement, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, InformationTechnology, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described?(a). Enter a. Tolerance = ,000 limits reached. b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005 Model Summary
33
Model RR Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate 1 0,413 0,171 -0,142 0,215658 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, GeneralIndustrials, BasicIndustris, New entrants, NonCyclicalService, Marketing and Sales, Technology developments, Financials, Procurement, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, InformationTechnology, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described? ANOVA(b) Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Regression0,862 34 0,025 0,545 0,976 Residual 4,186 90 0,047
1 Total 5,048 124 a. Predictors: (Constant), ERM and/or IC Framework described?, NonCyclicalConsumerGoods, Inbound logistics, Resources, Outbound logistics, Suppliers, Customer service, Sensitivity in shareholder relations, CyclicalConsumerGoods, Substitutes, Catastrophic loss, Adressing Corporate Governance?, GeneralIndustrials, BasicIndustris, New entrants, NonCyclicalService, Marketing and Sales, Technology developments, Financials, Procurement, Social environment, Human Resource Management and culture, Political environment, Physical environment, InformationTechnology, Operations, Competition, Legal/ trade regulation, Risk paragraph?, Customer wants, Firm infrastructure, ERM or IC Framework mentioned?, Economic / Financial markets, Individual risks are described? b. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005 Coefficients(a) Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. (Constant) 0,055 0,081 0,676 0,501 Economic / Financial markets -0,039 0,104 -0,093 -0,374 0,709 Legal/ trade regulation -0,009 0,063 -0,021 -0,143 0,887 Sensitivity in shareholder relations -0,058 0,091 -0,089 -0,644 0,521 Catastrophic loss-0,038 0,068 -0,071 -0,557 0,579
1 Physical environment 0,065 0,078 0,123 0,825 0,411
34
Social environment -0,041 0,079 -0,066 -0,517 0,606 Political environment -0,035 0,074 -0,060 -0,471 0,639 Suppliers 0,024 0,021 0,125 1,126 0,263 Customer wants -0,026 0,074 -0,056 -0,355 0,724 New entrants -0,023 0,098 -0,030 -0,235 0,815 Competition 0,003 0,068 0,005 0,037 0,971 Substitutes -0,076 0,111 -0,087 -0,689 0,492 Firm infrastructure0,068 0,081 0,167 0,838 0,404 Procurement 0,107 0,078 0,186 1,365 0,176 Marketing and Sales 0,010 0,121 0,011 0,087 0,931 Technology developments -0,012 0,058 -0,029 -0,207 0,837 Inbound logistics -0,017 0,082 -0,024 -0,214 0,831 Operations -0,006 0,070 -0,011 -0,083 0,934 Outbound logistics -0,066 0,111 -0,070 -0,593 0,555 Human Resource Management and culture -0,043 0,062 -0,090 -0,689 0,493 Customer service 0,116 0,157 0,088 0,740 0,461 Resources 0,049 0,154 0,037 0,315 0,753 BasicIndustris 0,062 0,082 0,103 0,755 0,452 GeneralIndustrials -0,065 0,076 -0,111 -0,859 0,393 CyclicalConsumerGoods -0,040 0,099 -0,046 -0,403 0,688 NonCyclicalConsumerGoods -0,067 0,079 -0,101 -0,843 0,401 Financials -0,002 0,081 -0,003 -0,024 0,981 NonCyclicalService 0,016 0,121 0,017 0,132 0,896 InformationTechnology0,030 0,073 0,054 0,414 0,680 Adressing Corporate Governance? 0,091 0,079 0,128 1,154 0,251 Risk paragraph? 0,092 0,089 0,195 1,025 0,308 Individual risks are described?-0,096 0,126 -0,223 -0,760 0,449 ERM or IC Framework mentioned? -0,073 0,078 -0,170 -0,933 0,353 ERM and/or IC Framework described? 0,059 0,071 0,145 0,822 0,414 a. Dependent Variable: Average weekly movement of shares 7/1/2005- 1/7/2005