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Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook

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Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.

Climate Prediction Center’s Hispaniola Hazards Outlook August 17 – 23, 2017

Heavy rain observed over central Haiti and western Dominican Republic during the past week.

During the past week, abundant rain was recorded over central Haiti and northwestern Dominican Republic, according to satellite rainfall estimates. Moderate rain was registered over parts of western and southern Dominican Republic.

Elsewhere, little to light rain was observed. Over the past thirty days, positive rainfall anomalies were observed in central Haiti and northwestern Dominican Republic, where rainfall surpluses ranged between 50-200 mm. In contrast, negative thirty-day rainfall anomalies persisted over southwestern Haiti, the southwestern, eastern, and northeastern portions of the Dominican Republic, where rainfall deficits ranged between 50-100 mm. Despite an increase in rainfall during July, which helped eliminate rainfall deficits over some areas of northern Hispaniola, the prolonged dry spells since June persisted across the south. Recent vegetation indices indicated that below-average conditions remained over areas of southwestern Haiti, southwestern, and northeastern Dominican Republic, while average to above-average conditions prevailed elsewhere. For next week, an increase in rainfall is expected over Hispaniola, with widespread moderate to heavy rain across much of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, except the northern parts of the latter, where light rain is expected. If the forecast rain verifies, it should help reduce further moisture deficits over the dry portions of the Island.

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