Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook June 04 - 10, 2020
• High risks for flooding over western part of Guatemala during the coming outlook period.
1) A continuation of heavy rains for the past several weeks have oversaturated the grounds water storage and warning of possible flash flood and landslides over the southern Guatemala and the major part of El Salvador.
Tremendous rains are forecast over the western part art of Guatemala extended to El Salvador.
Questions or comments about this product may be directed to Wassila.Thiaw@noaa.gov or 1-301-683-3424.
Flash flood and mudslides due to Tropical Storm Amanda over 10 departments of El Salvador.
During the past week, torrential rainfall over Central America countries facing the Eastern Pacific Ocean has been recorded, precisely the southern apart of Guatemala, the major part of El Salvador and southern Nicaragua. The tropical storm Amanda has provoked mudslides, flash flood and affected severely livelihood in the Pacific mountainous regions. Light to moderate rainfall has been recorded over the central and northern
Guatemala, Honduras, the northern part of Nicaragua. This continuous heavy rain has maintained a surplus of water over 200mm above the normal range of the rainfall expected for the past thirty days over the southern part of Guatemala and El Salvador.
During this upcoming outlook period, widespread, heavy to torrential rainfall is likely over the western, southern and central part of Guatemala, including the Pacific coastal areas of El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Panama. This elevated risk of continuous flash flood, mudslides and landslides would aggravate tremendously the actual critical saturated ground conditions and could create an insecure living environment including several food losses over the countries facing the eastern part of Pacific Ocean in Central America.
Week 1 Rainfall Total Forecast and CMORPH Climatology (mm) June 01 – 8, 2020
Figure 1: Source NOAA / CPC
