University of Groningen
Effects of energy- and climate policy in Germany
Többen, Johannes
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Publication date: 2017
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Többen, J. (2017). Effects of energy- and climate policy in Germany: A multiregional analysis. University of Groningen, SOM research school.
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STELLINGEN
Behorende bij het proefschrift
Effects of energy and climate policy in Germany
A multiregional analysis
van Johannes Reinhard Többen
1. Relying on non-survey methods for the construction of subnational multi-regional input-output (MRIO) and supply-use (MRSU) tables easily leads to wrong conclusions and misguided policy advise (This thesis).
2. Although computationally more challenging, MRIO table construction should move towards simultaneous rather than stepwise approaches (This thesis).
3. A factory destroyed by a disaster and building a new factory are economically not the same things with opposite sign. Consequently, the assumptions of the standard demand-driven IO model are extremely implausible when the model is applied to evaluate most disaster impact scenarios (This thesis).
4. Developed economies may exhibit a high degree of resilience towards supply shocks. Therefore, large indirect economic impacts of disasters reported in the literature are likely to be an artifact of modeling assumptions instead of a representation of reality (This thesis).
5. Seemingly aspatial sectoral policies may have significant spatial distribution effects due to the high heterogeneity of regional economies, as the promotion of renewable energies in Germany shows (This thesis).
6. Assessing the economic impacts of policies in terms of indicators such as changes in aggregate value added or income is too one-dimensional. In the case of the promotion of renewable energies in Germany, the distribution of costs and benefits across heterogeneous households is by far the more significant effect (This thesis).
7. Dürrenmatt’s (Die Physiker, 1962) warning to society that „Was einmal gedacht wurde, kann nicht mehr zurück genommen werden.“ also applies to MRIO data and models.
