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A SYSTEM FRAMEWORK FOR DESIGN ROBUSTNESS ANALYSIS OF HELICOPTER MID-LIFE UPGRADES Raden Kusumo Arvind K. Sinha

Sir Lawrence Wackett Centre for Aerospace Design Technology Department of Aerospace Engineering

Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology GPO Box 2476V, Melbourne, Victoria, 3001, Australia.

(Tele: +61-3-9925 8090 Fax: +61-3-9925 8050) (e-mail: wackett_centre@rmit.edu.au)

Abstract

The global budget climate has laid restrictions on the design and development of new military aircraft to meet the demands of enhanced mission capabilities. To enhance mission capabilities, mid-life upgrade of in-service aircraft, with state-of-the-art mission systems onboard, is acknowledged as a cost-effective option. To facilitate the mid-life upgrade process, a “Decision Support System” is required to identify the state-of-the-art mission systems that will provide the enhanced mission capabilities. In this paper, a brief outline of An “Integrated Decision Support System” (IDSS) framework developed by a systems approach to identify mission systems is presented initially, followed by a detailed discussion on the development of ‘Design Robustness Analysis’ (DRA) sub-model. The DRA sub-model automates the robustness analysis of aircraft upgrade design against ‘temporal uncertainties factors’.

Introduction

During the service life of military aircraft, mission systems onboard undergo major technological advancements (Ref 1). These advanced mission systems are designed to enahance mission capability of the aircraft (Ref 2 & 3). As the design of a new aircraft with the advanced systems onboard to enhance mission capability is a costly venture, mid-life upgrade of in-service aircraft with these advanced systems is the preferred option (Ref 4). Sinha et al. (Ref 5 - 8) adopted a system approach to develop a ‘Mid-life Upgrade System’ (MLUS) to facilitate the mid-life upgrade process. The MLUS was conceptualised in an ‘input-process-output’ configuration (Ref 9). The approach considered the operational needs and the environmental conditions of the aircraft as the key ‘inputs’. The ‘process’ identified the advanced systems for aircraft upgrade; and the ‘outputs’ were the mission capabilities derived from the system. The identified mission systems were then considered from an upgrade design perspective. The upgrade design was conceptualised as a ‘system of systems methodologies’ (Ref 9) to evaluate the following

design parameters on which the upgrade design decision were dependent: (a) mission capability derived; (b) flight performance drop; (c) system reliability; (d) system maintainability; and (e) upgrade cost.

The generic methodology developed by Sinha et al. (Ref 5 - 8) for upgrade design decision was further explored for automation by Kusumo et al. (Ref 10 - 16) to provide time-based “mission system analysis” and upgrade design decision. A framework of an automated “Integrated Decision Support System” (IDSS) was formulated to address mid-life upgrade of maritime helicopters. The IDSS framework comprised of a series of sub-models, synergistically integrated to facilitate user-system interaction and mission system analysis. The IDSS sub-models were the following: (a) Man Machine Interface; (b) Mission System Identification; (c) Mission Payload Design; (d) Database; (e) Multi-Parameter Analysis; (f) Upgrade Decision Support; and (g) Design Robustness Analysis.

In this paper the overview of IDSS is presented, followed by detailed discussion on the development of ‘Design Robustness Analysis’ (DRA) sub-model. The DRA sub-model is designed to evaluate the robustness of the optimum upgrade design, by considering the severity of temporal uncertainty effects towards its system effectiveness. The results of the analysis provides the base for design acceptability.

Integrated Decision Support System System Methodology

The generic system methodology for mid-life upgrade of aircraft, developed by Sinha et al. (Ref 7) was configured in a conventional input-process-output configuration (Ref 9), as a platform to structure a “Mid-Life Upgrade System” (MLUS). The system configuration for the development of the MLUS structure is presented in Figure 1. The operational needs and the operational environment were studied to identify the mission requirements and also the mission capabilities to be derived from the

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MLUS, as outputs of the system (Table 1). The MLUS structure identified the following system elements: (a) components; (b) attributes; and (c) relationships. The MLUS structure is presented in Figure 2. The MLUS comprises of three components – Armed; Attack; and Utility. The attributes assigned

to the components were based on the mission requirements of MLUS. The relationships identified were inter and intra – components and components; components and attributes; and attributes and attributes.

Table 1. Mid-life Upgrade System: Input, Attributes and Outputs Operational needs

(Inputs) Mission requirements (Attributes) Mission capabilities (Outputs) Fire power Tactical flying Communicating Offensive Operator activity Offensive warfare sub-mission capabilities Fire power Reconnaissance & Surveillance Aerial assault & extraction

Tactical flying Communicating Defensive Operator activity Defensive Warfare sub-mission capabilities Search Aerial replenishment Transportation Aid civil authorities

Evacuation Tactical flying Communicating Logistics Operator activity Utility support sub-mission capabilities Maritime Mission capability

The mission systems for capability enhancement of the aircraft through upgrade, were identified by a systematic development of the “System Hierarchy” (SH). The partial SH of the MLUS formulated by Sinha et al. (Ref 7 & 8), for maritime missions is presented in Figure 3. The appropriate mission

systems for upgrade were identified at the last level of SH – Level IV.

Figure 1. Mid-life Upgrade System Configuration

Maritime mission capabilities

(Outputs)

Operational needs

(Inputs)

Operational environment

(Inputs)

Mission requirements

(Functional attributes)

Mission requirements

(Functional attributes)

Mid-life upgrade system

(Transformation process)

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The identified mission systems for upgrade were then considered from a design perspective to address the various design parameters for an optimum upgrade design. The design parameters considered were the following: (a) mission capability;

(b) flight performance; (c) reliability; (d) maintainability; and (e) cost. The systems methodology summarising the design process as a ‘system of systems methodologies’ is presented in Figure 4.

Figure 2. Mid-life Upgrade System Structure

O U T P U T S M a ritim e m is s ion c a pa bility A ll te rra in S itu a tio n T h re a t In te rfe re n c e R E L A T IO N S H IP S IN T E R A N D IN T R A C o m po n e nt & C o m po ne nt

C om p on en t & A ttrib ute A ttribu te & A ttribu te IN P U T S O ffen s iv e D e fe ns iv e L og is tic s A ll w e a th e r A ll tim e C O M P O N E N T S A tta c k A T T R IB U T E S F ire po w e r C om m u nica ting T ac tic al flying O pe rato r a ctiv ity

C O M P O N E N T S U tility A T T R IB U T E S S ea rc h A e ria l rep le n is h m e nt A id c iv il a uth o rities E v a c ua tion

T ran sp orta tio n C om m u n ica tio n T a c tica l fly in g O pe ra to r a ctivity C O M P O N E N T S A rm e d A T T R IB U T E S F ire p ow e r R ec e e an d s u rv eillan c e A eria l a s s au lt an d ex tra c tion

C o m m u nic atin g T a ctic a l flying O pe rato r a c tivity

C o n fin e m e n t

E N V IR O N M E N T

Figure 3. Partial System Hierarchy of Mid-life Upgrade System

IV D & A: Detection and Avoidance V III II

Mid-Life Upgrade system

Mission system

Environment system

Offensive warfare

Defensive warfare

Logistic support

Compensator

Neutraliser

Armament Fire control Survivability Observation Navigation Communication Obstacle D & A Despatch Crew

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Automation Methodology

To automate the system methodology developed by Sinha et al. (Ref 5 - 8), an ‘Integrated Decision Support System’ (IDSS) was formulated by Kusumo et al. (Ref 10 - 16). The IDSS consisted of three base-line sub-models with the following designated functions:

Man Machine Interface (MMI): To provide

user-system interaction;

Analysis, Synthesis and Decision Support System (ASDSS): To identify state-of-the-art

mission systems from defined operational and environmental needs and to evaluate system effectiveness of the upgraded helicopter for decision support; and

Database (DB): To store and manage

operational, mission systems and helicopter data.

The ASDSS base-line sub-model functions were defined to identify the sub-models required for automation of analysis to support decision. The sub-models of ASDSS and their slated functions were as follows:

Mission System Identification (MSI): To

translate operational and environmental needs to

mission requirements, and identify state-of-the-art mission systems for upgrade;

Mission Payload Design (MPD): To prioritise

the mission systems based on their relative functional dependence and degree of contribution towards mission accomplishment. To provide upgrade options by composition of alternative ‘sets of mission systems’ (mission payload);

Multi-Parameter Analysis (MPA): To evaluate

the degree to which the system design parameters (mission capability, flight performance, reliability, maintainability and cost) are met by the alternative mission payloads;

Upgrade Decision Support (UDS): To evaluate

the system effectiveness of the upgrade options by considering the results of the MPA and to identify the optimal upgrade option, for design decision; and

Design Robustness Analysis (DRA): To test

the robustness of the design decision against temporal uncertainties and to validate the design. The IDSS framework for automation of the system methodology for mid-life upgrade is presented in Figure 5. The framework represents the sub-models integrated accordingly to the stipulated functions and the inputs/output requirements.

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Design Robustness Analysis

The alternative designs for mid-life upgrade were studied and analysed by Kusumo et al. (Ref 10 - 16) and analysed for their system effectiveness. The results of the system effectiveness analysis resulted in the identification of optimum upgrade design. Before the optimum design can be processed for decision, the robustness of the design against ‘temporal uncertainty factors’ (TUF) needs to be studied. TUFs are factors of design, operation and environment that fluctuate with time and have adverse effects on the upgrade design. A severe implication on the system effectiveness will ultimately effect the design optimisation process. To address TUF issues, the ‘Design Robustness Analysis’ (DRA) sub-model of IDSS needs to be developed. The DRA sub-model evaluates the robustness of the optimum upgrade design, by considering the severity of TUFs on system effectiveness. Having analysed the risks associated with potential degradation of system effectiveness, the DRA sub-model analyses the acceptability of the optimum upgrade design for decision support.

To facilitate automation, the DRA sub-model first procures inputs consisting of identified optimum design from the DDS sub-model; and information on TUF that is stored in Database sub-model. The TUF information consists of a list of identified factors and

their severity of effects that are quantitatively assessed based on experts and domain knowledge. To transform the inputs into outputs, the DRA sub-model initially analyses the relationships between TUF and the design parameters used in system effectiveness analysis. Based on the relationships, the severity of effects towards system design effectiveness, which are introduced by the TUF is analysed. The results of the severity analysis allows the DRA sub-model to prioritise the TUF and identify the most susceptible design parameter. Subsequently, the DRA sub-model analyses the risks of potential degradation in system effectiveness of the optimum upgrade design. The process of the DRA sub-model is to result in the determination of optimum design acceptability and the transfer of this information to MMI sub-model.

Having identified the inputs, process and outputs, the system structure of the DRA sub-model can be developed to identify the system elements. To facilitate the function in the DRA sub-model, the system elements and their functions are as follows:

Analyser: To identify the causal relationship

between TUF and slated design parameters; implications on system effectiveness; risk of potential degradation in system effectiveness; and acceptability of upgrade design; and

Figure 5. Framework of an Integrated Decision Support System for Automation of Systems Methodology for Mid-life Upgrade U ser D atab ase Input / com m and / output M an M ach in e In terface S u b -M o d el (M M I) O perational needs & E nvironm ental needs M is sio n S y ste m s Id en tification S u b -M o d el (M S I) S tandard m ission system s

& Ideal m ission system s M issio n P ay lo a d D es ig n S u b -M o d e l (M P D ) A lternative upgrade designs

M u lti-P aram etric A n alysis S u b -M o d e l (M P A ) D esig n D ecisio n S u p p o rt S u b -M o d el (D D S ) A lternative upgrade design effectiveness D es ig n R o b u stn e ss A n alysis S u b -M o d el (D R A ) O ptim um U pgrade D esign R obust U pgrade D esign S ystem s data S ystem s data

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Identifier: To identify the most influential TUF

and the most susceptible design parameters. The visual representation of system structure of DRA sub-model is presented in Figure 6.

The system structure of the DRA sub-model is developed based on the system elements and their functional characteristics (Figure 6). The structure provides the avenue to formulate the system framework of the DRA sub-model, to develop algorithms for automation of the design robustness analysis. The DRA system framework comprises of four components to study the effects of TUFs on upgarde design. The DRA components and their functions are as follows:

Cause and effect analysis: To identify

temporal uncertainy factors, and their potential effects on aircraft upgrade design;

Severity effect analysis: To evaluate the

degree of potential degradation in upgrade design due to temporal uncertainty factors;

Risk analysis: To evaluate the potential

design risk introduced by the degradation; and

Acceptability analysis: To evaluate the

acceptability level of the upgrad design, considering the potential degradation.

The system framework of DRA sub-model is presented in Figure 7.

Results and Discussion

A comprehensive framework has been formulated for the development of DRA sub-model. The function of the DRA sub-model for robustness analysis are the following: (a) Cause and effect; (b) Severity effect; (c) Risk; and (d) Acceptability. The DRA sub-model framework is on a generic format, hence, the Figure 6. System Structure of DRA Sub-Model

OU TPUTS Upgrade design acceptability Environm ent All terrain Situation T hreat Interference

REL AT ION SHIPS INT ER AND INT R A C omponent & Component

Component & Attribute Attribute & Attribute IN PUT S Optimu m upgrade design Temporal uncertainty factors All weather All time CO M PO N EN T S Identifier ATTR IB U TES M ost susceptible design parameter M ost influential temporal uncertainty factors COM PO NE NT S A nalyser ATTR IB U TES Severity effects D egradation risk Design robustness Confinement

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application can be customised. The components of DRA sub-model framework need to be further developed for automation and synergistic integration, to provide the avenue for a user-friendly IDSS.

Conclusion

System approach provides the avenue for the development of DRA model. The DRA sub-model facilitates the automation to analyse the robustness of upgrade design for decision support. The robustness analysis is holistic and covers the effects of all TUFs on the design. The results of the analysis provides the base to determine the acceptability of upgrade design. The automation

framework of DRA sub-model is generic and can be customised for application.

References

1. Bostock, I. (2001) “Australia Plans Mid-Life Upgrade for Seahawk Fleet,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, Volume 35, Issue 6, pp 14.

2. Hobson, S. (2001a) “Canadian CF_18s Begin Upgrade,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, Volume 35, Issue 17, pp 6.

3. Hobson, S. (2001b) “Canada Defines Contractor’s Helicopter Role,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, Volume 35, Issue 23, pp 5.

4. Mulholland, D. (2000) “USAF puts upgrades Figure 7. Functional Flow Block Diagram of DRA Sub-Model

S e ve rity effec ts a na lysis Database R isk a na lysis A cc ep tab ility a na lysis D e sig n p a ra m e te rs su sce p tib ility & e ffec ts

E ffec tive n e ss d e g ra d a tion A c ce p ta b le u p g ra d e d e sig n D e sig n p a ra m ete rs ve cto r o f M M I S ub -M o d e l S yste m re la tio n sh ip s C au se a nd E ffec t a na lysis O p tim u m u p g ra d e d esig n D D S S ub -M o d el T e m p o ra l u n c erta in ty

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before platforms,” Jane’s Defence Weekly, Volume 33, Issue 26, pp 8.

5. Sinha, A.K., Kam, B.H., Wood, L.A. & Caterson, J. (1996a) ‘Toward a Compromise Solution for Helicopter Multi-Mission Modification Decisions,” 52nd Annual Forum and Technology Display of American Helicopter Society, 4-6 June, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.

6. Sinha, A.K., Kam, B.H., Wood, L.A., Caterson, J. & Flood, R.L. (1996b) “A System prespective of Multi-Mission Helicopter Design,” 2nd Australian Systems Conference, 29 September-02 October, Melbourne, Victoria.

7. Sinha, A.K., Bil, C. & Scott, M.L. (2000a) “Design of Payloads for Mid-life Upgrade of Maritime Helicopters: Stage I, II, III and IV,” 3rd Australian Pacific Vertiflite Conference on Helicopter Technology, 12-14 July, Canberra, A.C.T.

8. Sinha, A.K., Bil, C. & Scott, M.L. (2000b) “Design of Payloads for Mid-life Upgrade of Maritime Helicopters: Stage V and VI,” International Conference on Systems Thinking in Management, 8-10 November, Melbourne, Victoria.

9. Flood, R. L. & Jackson, M. C. (1991) “Creative Problem Solving - Total Systems Intervention”, John Wiley & Sons, England, U.K.

10. Kusumo, R., Sinha, A.K. & Scott, M.L. (2001a) “Framework for the Development of an Integrated Decision Support Systems for Mid-Life Upgrade of Helicopters,” 9th Australian International Aerospace Congress, 5-8 March, Canberra, A.C.T.

11. Kusumo, R., Sinha, A.K., Scott, M.L. & Schrage, D.P. (2001b) “Mission Systems Identification Sub-Model of an Integrated Decision Support Systems for Mid-Life Upgrade of Helicopters”, AHS International 57th Annual Forum and Technology Display, 9-11 May, Washington, D.C. 12. Kusumo, R., Sinha, A.K. & Scott, M.L. (2001c) “A System Approach to the Conceptual Design of an Upgrade Mission Payload for Maritime Helicopters”, 11th Annual International Symposium of The International Council on Systems Engineering, 1-5 July, Melbourne, Victoria.

13. Kusumo, R., Sinha, A.K. & Scott, M.L. (2001d) “A System Approach to Automate Decision Support in Aircraft Upgrade for System Effectiveness”,

Systems in Management 7th Annual ANZSYS

Conference, 27-28 November, Perth, W.A.

14. Kusumo, R., Sinha, A.K., Scott, M.L. & Irani, Z. (2002a) “A System Approach to Identify Optimum Payload for Aircraft Upgrade”, 2nd International Conference on System Thinking

and Management, 03-05 April, Salford, U.K.

15. Kusumo, R., Sinha, A.K., Bourmistrova, A., Bil, C. & Schrage, D.P. (2002b) “Multi-Parameter

Based Automated Analysis for Mid-Life Upgrade of Helicopters”, AHS International 58th Annual Forum and Technology Display, 11-13 June, Montreal, Canada.

16.

Kusumo, R. & Sinha, A.K. (2002c), ‘Common Development Tools for an Integrated Decision Support System for Mid-Life Upgrade Analysis,’ 23rd International Congress of the Aeronautical Sciences, 8-13 September, Toronto, Canada.

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