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Canagliflozin and Cardiovascular and Renal Events in Type 2 Diabetes

Neal, Bruce; Perkovic, Vlado; Mahaffey, Kenneth W.; de Zeeuw, Dick; Fulcher, Greg; Erondu,

Ngozi; Shaw, Wayne; Law, Gordon; Desai, Mehul; Matthews, David R.

Published in:

New England Journal of Medicine DOI:

10.1056/NEJMoa1611925

IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from it. Please check the document version below.

Document Version

Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record

Publication date: 2017

Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database

Citation for published version (APA):

Neal, B., Perkovic, V., Mahaffey, K. W., de Zeeuw, D., Fulcher, G., Erondu, N., Shaw, W., Law, G., Desai, M., Matthews, D. R., & CANVAS Program Collaborative Grp (2017). Canagliflozin and Cardiovascular and Renal Events in Type 2 Diabetes. New England Journal of Medicine, 377(7), 644-657.

https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1611925

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From the George Institute for Global Health, Faculty of Medicine, UNSW Syd-ney (B.N., V.P.), the Charles Perkins Cen-tre (B.N.), and the Royal North Shore Hospital (V.P., G.F.), University of Syd-ney, and the Faculty of Medicine, Univer-sity of New South Wales (B.N.) — all in Sydney; Imperial College London, Lon-don (B.N.), and the Oxford Centre for Di-abetes, Endocrinology, and Metabolism and Harris Manchester College, Univer-sity of Oxford, Oxford (D.R.M.) — both in the United Kingdom; the Stanford Cen-ter for Clinical Research, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA (K.W.M.); the University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands (D.Z.); and Janssen Research and Development, Raritan, NJ (N.E., W.S., G.L., M.D.). Address reprint requests to Dr. Neal at the George Institute for Glob-al HeGlob-alth, UNSW Sydney, Level 5, 1 King St., Newtown, NSW 2042, Australia, or at bneal@ georgeinstitute . org . au.

*A complete list of investigators in the Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment Study (CANVAS) Program is provided in the Supplementary Appendix, available at NEJM.org.

This article was published on June 12, 2017, at NEJM.org.

N Engl J Med 2017;377:644-57. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1611925 Copyright © 2017 Massachusetts Medical Society.

BACKGROUND

Canagliflozin is a sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor that reduces glycemia as well as blood pressure, body weight, and albuminuria in people with diabetes. We report the effects of treatment with canagliflozin on cardiovascular, renal, and safety outcomes.

METHODS

The CANVAS Program integrated data from two trials involving a total of 10,142 participants with type 2 diabetes and high cardiovascular risk. Participants in each trial were randomly assigned to receive canagliflozin or placebo and were followed for a mean of 188.2 weeks. The primary outcome was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke.

RESULTS

The mean age of the participants was 63.3 years, 35.8% were women, the mean duration of diabetes was 13.5 years, and 65.6% had a history of cardiovascular disease. The rate of the primary outcome was lower with canagliflozin than with placebo (occurring in 26.9 vs. 31.5 participants per 1000 patient-years; hazard ra-tio, 0.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 0.97; P<0.001 for noninferiority; P = 0.02 for superiority). Although on the basis of the prespecified hypothesis test-ing sequence the renal outcomes are not viewed as statistically significant, the results showed a possible benefit of canagliflozin with respect to the progression of albuminuria (hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.67 to 0.79) and the composite out-come of a sustained 40% reduction in the estimated glomerular filtration rate, the need for renal-replacement therapy, or death from renal causes (hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.47 to 0.77). Adverse reactions were consistent with the previously re-ported risks associated with canagliflozin except for an increased risk of amputa-tion (6.3 vs. 3.4 participants per 1000 patient-years; hazard ratio, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.41 to 2.75); amputations were primarily at the level of the toe or metatarsal.

CONCLUSIONS

In two trials involving patients with type 2 diabetes and an elevated risk of car-diovascular disease, patients treated with canagliflozin had a lower risk of cardio-vascular events than those who received placebo but a greater risk of amputation, primarily at the level of the toe or metatarsal. (Funded by Janssen Research and Development; CANVAS and CANVAS-R ClinicalTrials.gov numbers, NCT01032629 and NCT01989754, respectively.)

ABS TR ACT

Canagliflozin and Cardiovascular and Renal

Events in Type 2 Diabetes

Bruce Neal, M.B., Ch.B., Ph.D., Vlado Perkovic, M.B., B.S., Ph.D., Kenneth W. Mahaffey, M.D., Dick de Zeeuw, M.D., Ph.D., Greg Fulcher, M.D.,

Ngozi Erondu, M.D., Ph.D., Wayne Shaw, D.S.L., Gordon Law, Ph.D., Mehul Desai, M.D., and David R. Matthews, D.Phil., B.M., B.Ch.,

for the CANVAS Program Collaborative Group*

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T

ype 2 diabetes mellitus is associat-ed with a substantial risk of cardiovascu-lar and renal disease.1,2 The use of

inhibi-tors of sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) results in favorable effects on biomarkers, includ-ing glycemia, blood pressure, weight,3 intrarenal

hemodynamics, and albuminuria,4 and may also

reduce the risk of serious cardiovascular compli-cations, kidney disease, and death.5-7 The CANVAS

Program, comprising two sister trials, was de-signed to assess the cardiovascular safety and efficacy of canagliflozin and to evaluate the bal-ance between any potential benefits of the drug and the risks associated with it, such as genito-urinary infection, diabetic ketoacidosis, and frac-ture. The Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment Study (CANVAS)8 was initiated in December 2009,

before the approval of canagliflozin by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), with the initial goal of showing cardiovascular safety. The first approval of the compound by the FDA occurred in March 2013, with interim data from CANVAS. Owing to the inclusion of unmasked interim car-diovascular outcome data in the regulatory filing documents, a planned expansion of the sample size to enable a test of cardiovascular protection was not undertaken. Instead, CANVAS–Renal (CANVAS-R)9 was designed as a second

CANVAS-like, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial to be analyzed jointly with CANVAS, to meet a post-approval cardiovascular safety com-mitment to regulatory agencies. CANVAS-R, which commenced in 2014, was also designed to assess effects on albuminuria. The integrated analysis of CANVAS and CANVAS-R as the CANVAS Program10 was undertaken to maximize

statistical power to detect plausible effects of canagliflozin on cardiovascular, kidney, and safe-ty outcomes as suggested from evolving evidence about SGLT2 inhibitors.6,7

Methods

Program Design and Oversight

A total of 667 centers in 30 countries were in-volved in the two trials. The trials were scheduled for joint close-out and analysis when at least 688 cardiovascular events had been observed and the last participant who had undergone randomiza-tion had approximately 78 weeks of follow-up; this occurred in February 2017. The protocols for the two trials8,9 were approved by the ethics

committee at each site and are available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org. All the par-ticipants provided written informed consent. The trials were sponsored by Janssen Research and Development and were conducted as a collabora-tion between the sponsor, an academic steering committee, and an academic research organiza-tion, George Clinical. Members of the commit-tees are listed in the Supplementary Appendix, available at NEJM.org. Analyses were carried out independently by the sponsor and George Clini-cal. The first draft of the manuscript was written by the first author, with all coauthors participat-ing in subsequent revisions. MedErgy provided medical writing support, funded by the sponsor. The authors, who had full access to the data and made the final decisions about the content of the manuscript, vouch for the accuracy and com-pleteness of the data and analyses and for the fidelity of the trial to the protocol. The decision to submit the manuscript for publication was made jointly by all the authors.

Participants

The main criteria for inclusion were identical in the two trials (Table S1 in the Supplementary Appendix). Participants were men and women with type 2 diabetes (glycated hemoglobin level, ≥7.0% and ≤10.5%) and were either 30 years of age or older with a history of symptomatic ath-erosclerotic cardiovascular disease or 50 years of age or older with two or more of the following risk factors for cardiovascular disease: duration of diabetes of at least 10 years, systolic blood pressure higher than 140 mm Hg while they were receiving one or more antihypertensive agents, current smoking, microalbuminuria or macroal-buminuria, or high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cho-lesterol level of less than 1 mmol per liter (38.7 mg per deciliter). Participants were required to have an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at entry of more than 30 ml per minute per 1.73 m2

of body-surface area and to meet a range of other criteria.

Randomization, Treatment, and Follow-up

All potential participants completed a 2-week, single-blind, placebo run-in period. Randomiza-tion was performed centrally through an interac-tive Web-based response system with the use of a computer-generated randomization schedule with randomly permuted blocks that was prepared

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by the trial sponsor. Participants in CANVAS were randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive cana-gliflozin at a dose of 300 mg, canacana-gliflozin at a dose of 100 mg, or matching placebo, and partici-pants in CANVAS-R were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive canagliflozin, administered at an initial dose of 100 mg daily with an op-tional increase to 300 mg starting from week 13, or matching placebo. Participants and all trial staff were unaware of the individual treatment assignments until completion of the trial. Use of other background therapy for glycemic manage-ment and other control of risk factors were guided by best practice instituted in line with local guide-lines.

After randomization, face-to-face follow-up was scheduled in three visits during the first year and at 6-month intervals thereafter, with telephone follow-up between face-to-face assessments. Every follow-up included inquiry about primary and sec-ondary outcome events and serious adverse events. The urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio was mea-sured every 26 weeks in CANVAS-R and at week 12 and then annually in CANVAS. Measurement of serum creatinine with eGFR was performed at least every 26 weeks in both trials. Participants who prematurely discontinued the trial regimen continued scheduled follow-up whenever possible; extensive efforts were made to obtain full outcome data for all participants during the final follow-up window that spanned November 2016 to Febru-ary 2017.

Outcomes

The primary outcome was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. Secondary outcomes planned for sequential conditional hypothesis testing were death from any cause, death from cardiovascular causes, progression of albumin-uria, and the composite of death from cardiovas-cular causes and hospitalization for heart failure (Fig. S1 in the Supplementary Appendix). Pro-gression of albuminuria was defined as more than a 30% increase in albuminuria and a change from either normoalbuminuria to uria or macroalbuminuria or from microalbumin-uria to macroalbuminmicroalbumin-uria. If sequential testing was not significant for all the outcomes speci-fied, the remaining outcomes were scheduled for assessment as exploratory variables in the inte-grated data set.

Exploratory cardiovascular outcomes prespec-ified for evaluation were nonfatal myocardial in-farction, nonfatal stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure,10 and the key prespecified

explor-atory renal outcomes were regression of albumin-uria (using criteria comparable to those defined for category progression) and the renal compos-ite comprising a 40% reduction in eGFR sustained for at least two consecutive measures, the need for renal-replacement therapy (dialysis or transplan-tation), or death from renal causes (defined as death with a proximate renal cause). Evaluation of total hospitalizations was also prespecified.

All major cardiovascular events, renal out-comes, and deaths, plus selected safety outout-comes, were adjudicated by end-point adjudication com-mittees. The members of the committees and the definitions that were used for the clinical events are listed in the Supplementary Appendix. Inter-mediate markers of cardiovascular risk and re-quirement for antihyperglycemic agents were as-sessed to help understand the observed effects on cardiovascular and renal outcomes. Analyses of safety included adverse events coded with the use of the latest version of the Medical Dictionary

for Regulatory Activities (MedDRA). For bone

frac-ture, the primary prespecified analysis was for low-trauma fracture events, but secondary analysis of all fractures was also performed. Amputations were assessed overall, but the numbers of cases above and below the ankle were also reported.

Statistical Analysis

The primary hypothesis test was a test of nonin-feriority, with the use of a margin of 1.3 for the hazard ratio for the primary outcome with cana-gliflozin as compared with placebo in the full, integrated data set (i.e., all available follow-up data from all participants who underwent ran-domization) and with the intention-to-treat ap-proach. We calculated that with 688 cardiovascu-lar safety events recorded across the trials, there would be at least 90% power, at an alpha level of 0.05, to exclude an upper margin of the 95% confidence interval for the hazard ratio of 1.3. Cardiovascular safety was to be shown if the up-per boundary of the 95% confidence interval of the hazard ratio with canagliflozin as compared with placebo was less than 1.3, and superiority was to be shown if the upper boundary was less than 1.0. Hypothesis testing was scheduled to proceed sequentially, conditional on the primary

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safety hypothesis and each subsequent test for superiority being met in the full, integrated data set; in a truncated data set; or in the CANVAS-R data set (Fig. S1 in the Supplementary Appendix). In addition to the formal hypothesis testing, a supplementary set of exploratory analyses of car-diovascular outcomes, renal outcomes, death, and hospitalizations was prespecified for the full, inte-grated data set with all available follow-up of all participants who underwent randomization.10

Hazard ratios, 95% confidence intervals, and P values were estimated with Cox regression models,11 with stratification according to trial and

history of cardiovascular disease, for all cana-gliflozin groups combined versus placebo. P values for efficacy were reported only when the hypoth-esis was proved. Supplementary analysis with imputation for missing data by multiple imputa-tion was performed for the primary outcome. Hypothesis testing of the other outcomes in the sequence was not performed beyond the first non-significant result. For all subsequent outcomes, which were exploratory, reporting was restricted to the hazard ratio estimates and the nominal 95% confidence intervals. Annualized incidence rates were calculated per 1000 patient-years of follow-up.

The analyses of albuminuria were based on participants with progression or regression on at least one occasion, with a sensitivity analysis per-formed for those with evidence of sustained pro-gression or repro-gression. Unless otherwise specified, on-treatment analysis (with data from patients who had a safety outcome while they were re-ceiving canagliflozin or placebo or within 30 days after discontinuation of the drug or pla-cebo) was the primary approach used for the safety assessments. The exception was for frac-ture, amputation, cancer, and diabetic ketoaci-dosis outcomes, for which analyses included participants who received at least one dose of drug or placebo and had an event at any time during follow-up. Effects of canagliflozin on continuous outcomes were assessed with the use of mixed models12 that included all

ob-served longitudinal data and assumed that missing data were missing at random. For all outcome analyses, we tested the homogeneity of treatment effects across the two contribut-ing trials. Analyses were performed with SAS software, version 9.2, and SAS Enterprise Guide, version 7.11.

R esults

Participants

The two trials involved a total of 10,142 partici-pants, 4330 in CANVAS and 5812 in CANVAS-R. A total of 9734 participants (96.0%) completed the trial (i.e., were alive and were assessed for safety and efficacy outcomes during the final fol-low-up window or died before the final follow-up). Vital status was confirmed for 10,100 of the 10,142 participants (99.6%). The mean follow-up was 188.2 weeks, and the median follow-up 126.1 weeks; the length of follow-up was similar in the canagliflozin and placebo groups but was longer in CANVAS (295.9 weeks) than in CANVAS-R (108.0 weeks). A total of 29.2% of the participants assigned to canagliflozin and 29.9% of those as-signed to placebo discontinued the asas-signed regi-men prematurely. (Additional information on the participants can be found in Figs. S2 and S3 and Tables S2 and S3 in the Supplementary Appendix.)

The mean age of the participants was 63.3 years, 35.8% were women, the mean duration of diabetes was 13.5 years, the mean eGFR was 76.5 ml per minute per 1.73 m2, and the median

urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio was 12.3 (as measured in milligrams of albumin and grams of creatinine) (Table 1). Among the participants, 22.6% had microalbuminuria, 7.6% had macro-albuminuria, and 65.6% had a history of cardio-vascular disease at baseline. A total of 71.4% of CANVAS-R participants in the canagliflozin group had the dose of canagliflozin increased to 300 mg during the trial. Patients received other appropriate therapies for the management of glycemia and cardiovascular risks (Table 1, and Table S4 in the Supplementary Appendix). Baseline characteris-tics were balanced in the canagliflozin and pla-cebo groups (Table 1) and were similar across CANVAS and CANVAS-R (Table S5 in the Supple-mentary Appendix).

Intermediate Markers of Cardiovascular Risk

The mean difference in glycated hemoglobin level between the canagliflozin group and the placebo group was –0.58% (95% confidence interval [CI], –0.61 to –0.56), the mean difference in body weight was –1.60 kg (95% CI, –1.70 to –1.51), the mean difference in systolic blood pressure was –3.93 mm Hg (95% CI, –4.30 to –3.56), and the mean difference in diastolic blood pressure was –1.39 mm Hg (95% CI, –1.61 to –1.17) (P<0.001

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Characteristic Canagliflozin (N = 5795) (N = 4347)Placebo (N = 10,142)†Total

Age — yr 63.2±8.3 63.4±8.2 63.3±8.3

Female sex — no. (%) 2036 (35.1) 1597 (36.7) 3633 (35.8)

Race — no. (%)‡

White 4508 (77.8) 3436 (79.0) 7944 (78.3)

Asian 777 (13.4) 507 (11.7) 1284 (12.7)

Black 176 (3.0) 160 (3.7) 336 (3.3)

Other 334 (5.8) 244 (5.6) 578 (5.7)

Current smoker — no. (%) 1020 (17.6) 786 (18.1) 1806 (17.8)

History of hypertension — no. (%) 5188 (89.5) 3937 (90.6) 9125 (90.0)

History of heart failure — no. (%) 803 (13.9) 658 (15.1) 1461 (14.4)

Duration of diabetes — yr 13.5±7.7 13.7±7.8 13.5±7.8

History of microvascular disease — no. (%)

Retinopathy 1203 (20.8) 926 (21.3) 2129 (21.0)

Nephropathy 994 (17.2) 780 (17.9) 1774 (17.5)

Neuropathy 1787 (30.8) 1323 (30.4) 3110 (30.7)

History of atherosclerotic vascular disease — no. (%)§

Coronary 3234 (55.8) 2487 (57.2) 5721 (56.4)

Cerebrovascular 1113 (19.2) 845 (19.4) 1958 (19.3)

Peripheral 1176 (20.3) 937 (21.6) 2113 (20.8)

Any 4127 (71.2) 3197 (73.5) 7324 (72.2)

History of cardiovascular disease — no. (%)¶ 3756 (64.8) 2900 (66.7) 6656 (65.6)

History of amputation — no. (%) 136 (2.3) 102 (2.3) 238 (2.3)

Body-mass index‖ 31.9±5.9 32.0±6.0 32.0±5.9 Blood pressure — mm Hg Systolic 136.4±15.8 136.9±15.8 136.6±15.8 Diastolic 77.6±9.6 77.8±9.7 77.7±9.7 Glycated hemoglobin — % 8.2±0.9 8.2±0.9 8.2±0.9 Cholesterol — mmol/liter Total 4.4±1.1 4.4±1.2 4.4±1.2 HDL 1.2±0.3 1.2±0.3 1.2±0.3 LDL 2.3±0.9 2.3±0.9 2.3±0.9 Ratio of LDL to HDL 2.0±0.9 2.0±0.9 2.0±0.9 Triglycerides — mmol/liter 2.0±1.3 2.0±1.5 2.0±1.4 eGFR — ml/min/1.73 m²** 76.7±20.3 76.2±20.8 76.5±20.5 Albumin measurements††

Median albumin-to-creatinine ratio (interquartile range) 12.4 (6.71–40.9) 12.1 (6.57–43.9) 12.3 (6.65–42.1)

Normoalbuminuria — no./total no. (%) 4012/5740 (69.9) 2995/4293 (69.8) 7007/10,033 (69.8)

Microalbuminuria — no./total no. (%) 1322/5740 (23.0) 944/4293 (22.0) 2266/10,033 (22.6)

Macroalbuminuria — no./total no. (%) 406/5740 (7.1) 354/4293 (8.2) 760/10,033 (7.6)

* Plus–minus values are means ±SD. The CANVAS Program comprised two trials: the Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment Study (CANVAS) and CANVAS–Renal (CANVAS-R).

† One participant underwent randomization at two different sites; only the first randomization is included in the inten-tion-to-treat analysis set.

‡ Race was determined by investigator inquiry of the participant. Other includes American Indian or Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, multiple races, other race, and unknown.

§ Some participants had more than one type of atherosclerotic disease.

¶ A history of cardiovascular disease was defined as a history of symptomatic atherosclerotic vascular disease (coro-nary, cerebrovascular, or peripheral).

‖ The body-mass index is the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters.

** Values for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were calculated with data from 5794 participants in the cana-gliflozin group, 4346 in the placebo group, and 10,140 in the total population.

†† The albumin-to-creatinine ratio was measured in milligrams of albumin and grams of creatinine. Table 1. Baseline Characteristics in the Integrated CANVAS Program.*

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for all comparisons) (Fig. 1). The use of other antihyperglycemic agents during follow-up was 9.3% lower (95% CI, –11.0 to –7.6) in the cana-gliflozin group than in the placebo group. The level of HDL cholesterol was higher in the cana-gliflozin group than in the placebo group (by 2.05 mg per deciliter; 95% CI, 1.77 to 2.33 [0.05 mmol per liter; 95% CI, 0.05 to 0.06]), as was the level of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol (by 4.68 mg per deciliter; 95% CI, 3.64 to 5.73 [0.12 mmol per liter; 95% CI, 0.09 to 0.15]); the ratio of LDL cholesterol to HDL cholesterol was unchanged (Fig. S4 in the Supplementary Ap-pendix).

Cardiovascular Outcomes, Death, and Hospitalizations

Significantly fewer participants in the canagliflozin group than in the placebo group had a primary outcome event (the composite of death from car-diovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke): 26.9 vs. 31.5 participants with an event per 1000 patient-years (hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.97; P<0.001 for noninfe-riority; P = 0.02 for superiority) (Figs. 2 and 3). The effects on the primary outcome were nearly the same when imputation for missing events was performed (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.97). There were broadly consistent effects across a wide range of prespecified subgroups (Fig. 4), except for subgroups defined according to base-line use of diuretics (P<0.001 for homogeneity). Superiority was not shown for the first second-ary outcome in the testing sequence (death from any cause; P = 0.24), and hypothesis testing was discontinued. Therefore, estimates for the fatal secondary outcomes, including death from any cause (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.74 to 1.01) and death from cardiovascular causes (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.72 to 1.06), are not consid-ered to be significant (Figs. 2, 3, and 5). Effect estimates for exploratory cardiovascular outcomes are shown in Figures 2, 3, and 5. There was no evidence of differences in effects between the CANVAS and CANVAS-R trials for the primary, fatal, or exploratory cardiovascular outcomes (Table S6 in the Supplementary Appendix).

Renal Outcomes

Progression of albuminuria occurred less frequent-ly among participants assigned to canagliflozin than among those assigned to placebo (89.4 vs. 128.7 participants with an event per 1000

patient-years), corresponding to a hazard ratio of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0.79) (Figs. 3 and 5); the effects were greater in CANVAS-R (hazard ratio, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.57 to 0.73) than in CANVAS (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.90) (P = 0.02 for homogeneity) (Table S7 in the Supplementary Ap-pendix). Regression of albuminuria also occurred more frequently among those assigned to cana-gliflozin than among those assigned to placebo (293.4 vs. 187.5 participants with regression per 1000 patient-years; hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.51 to 1.91). The composite outcome of sustained 40% reduction in eGFR, the need for renal-replace-ment therapy, or death from renal causes occurred less frequently among participants in the cana-gliflozin group than among those in the placebo group (5.5 vs. 9.0 participants with the outcome per 1000 patient-years, corresponding to a haz-ard ratio of 0.60; 95% CI, 0.47 to 0.77) (Figs. 3 and 5); no significant difference in this outcome was seen between CANVAS and CANVAS-R (Ta-ble S7 in the Supplementary Appendix).

Safety Outcomes

Serious adverse events were less common among participants assigned to canagliflozin than among those assigned to placebo (104.3 vs. 120.0 par-ticipants with an event per 1000 patient-years; hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.87 to 1.00). Adverse events leading to discontinuation did not differ significantly between groups (35.5 vs. 32.8 par-ticipants with an event per 1000 patient-years; hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.99 to 1.28) (Ta-ble 2). There was a higher risk of amputation of toes, feet, or legs with canagliflozin than with placebo (6.3 vs. 3.4 participants with amputation per 1000 patient-years, corresponding to a haz-ard ratio of 1.97; 95% CI, 1.41 to 2.75), with 71% of the affected participants having their highest amputation at the level of the toe or metatarsal (Fig. S5 in the Supplementary Appendix). The high-est absolute risk of amputation occurred among patients who had a history of amputation or pe-ripheral vascular disease, but the relative risk of amputation with canagliflozin as compared with placebo was similar across these subgroups (Table S8 in the Supplementary Appendix).

Previously reported risks of adverse events of interest attributable to infections of male or female genitalia, volume depletion, and diuresis were ob-served. We detected no higher risks of hypogly-cemia, hyperkalemia, acute kidney injury, pancre-atitis, malignancies, or venous thromboembolism

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Fi gur e 1. E ff ec ts of C an ag lif lo zi n on G ly ca te d H em og lo bi n Le ve l, B od y W ei gh t, an d Sys to lic an d D ia st ol ic B lo od Pr es sur e in th e In te gr at ed C A N VA S Pr og ra m . A t ot al o f 1 0, 14 2 p ar ti cip an ts w er e in cl ud ed in t he C A N VA S P ro gr am , w hi ch co m pr is ed t w o t ri al s: t he C an ag lif lo zin C ar di ov as cu la r A ss es sm en t St ud y ( C A N VA S) a nd C A N VA S –R e-na l ( C ANV A S -R ).

Adjusted Mean Glycated Hemoglobin (%)

8.4 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 0.0

C

Systolic Blood Pressure

A

Glycated Hemoglobin

No. of Patients Placebo Canagliflozin 4231 5644 3987 5329 3854 5211 3539 4864 2891 4228 1561 2778 1014 2206 878 1965 899 2042 783 1797 805 1889 726 1690 Adjusted Mean Body Weight (kg)

92 91 90 89 88 87 86 85 0 Base- line 12/13 12/13 26 52 78 104 338

Weeks since Randomization

130 156 182 208 234 260 286 312 Base- line 12/13 26 52 78 104 338

Weeks since Randomization

130 156 182 208 234 260 286 312 695 1661 245 556 B Body Weight D

Diastolic Blood Pressure

No. of Patients Placebo Canagliflozin 4245 5651 4024 5344 3931 5277 3692 5044 2977 4331 1623 2877 1036 2247 935 2041 920 2086 834 1902 826 1928 761 1775 714 1669 252 567

Adjusted Mean Systolic Blood Pressure

(mm Hg)

138 137 136 135 134 133 132 131 130 129 128 127 0

No. of Patients Placebo Canagliflozin 4247 5652 4032 5355 3945 5293 3707 5049 2979 4338 1629 2883 1038 2255 939 2049 922 2092 836 1908 828 1936 763 1782 Adjusted Mean Diastolic Blood Pressure

(mm Hg)

79 78 77 76 75 74 73 72 0

Weeks since Randomization

Base- line 26 52 78 104 338

Weeks since Randomization

130 156 182 208 234 260 286 312 Base- line 12/13 26 52 78 104 338

Weeks since Randomization

130 156 182 208 234 260 286 312

Weeks since Randomization

713 1675 252 567 No. of Patients Placebo Canagliflozin 4247 5652 4032 5355 3945 5293 3707 5049 2979 4338 1629 2883 1038 2255 939 2049 922 2092 836 1908 828 1936 763 1782 713 1675 252 567 Placebo

Canagliflozin Placebo Canagliflozin

Placebo

Canagliflozin

Placebo

(9)

Patients with an Event (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

A

Death from Cardiovascular Causes, Nonfatal Myocardial Infarction, or Nonfatal Stroke

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 4347 5795 4239 5672 789 1661 1095 2311 1120 2363 1156 2419 1187 2460 1217 2513 1240 2555 1626 2984 2942 4343 4061 5447 4153 5566 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Hazard ratio, 0.86 (95% CI, 0.7

5– 0.97) P< 0.001 for noninferiority P= 0.02 for superiority 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 216 448 Placebo Canagliflozin

Patients with an Event (%)

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

B

Death from Cardiovascular Causes

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 4347 5795 4316 5768 924 1904 1280 2615 1292 2651 1310 2687 1328 2710 1344 2736 1356 2761 1759 3182 3119 4576 4236 5679 4279 5723 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Hazard ratio, 0.87 (95% CI, 0.7

2– 1.06) 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 258 532 Placebo Canagliflozin

Patients with an Event (%)

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

C

Nonfatal Stroke

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 4347 5795 4270 5702 829 1751 1155 2415 1177 2464 1208 2511 1232 2543 1255 2588 1274 2621 1667 3043 3004 4414 4123 5530 4197 5615 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 232 481 Patients with an Event (%)

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

D

Nonfatal Myocardial Infarction

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 4347 5795 4256 5711 812 1728 1126 2382 1146 2425 1179 2476 1207 2516 1233 2565 1255 2602 1647 3029 2986 4405 4109 5513 4187 5625 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 223 468 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Hazard ratio, 0.90 (95% CI, 0.7

1– 1.15) 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 Placebo Canagliflozin 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Hazard ratio, 0.85 (95% CI, 0.6

9– 1.05) 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 Placebo Canagliflozin Fi gur e 2. C ar di ov as cu la r O ut co m es in t he I nt eg ra te d C A N VAS P ro gr am . Th e p rim ar y o ut co m e w as a co m po si te o f d ea th f ro m c ar di ov as cu la r c au se s, n on fa ta l m yo ca rd ia l in fa rc ti on , o r n on fa ta l s tr oke . T he h az ar d r at io s a nd 9 5% co nf id en ce in te rv al s f or th e p rim ar y o ut co m e a nd t he co m po ne nt s o f t he o ut co m e w er e e st im at ed w it h t he u se o f Co x r eg re ss io n m od el s w it h s tr at if ic at io n a cco rd in g t o t ri al a nd h is to ry o f c ar di ov as cu la r di se as e f or a ll c an ag lif lo zin g ro up s co m bin ed v er su s p la ce bo . A na ly se s a re b as ed u po n t he f ul l, in te gr at ed d at a s et co m pr is in g a ll p ar ti cip an ts w ho u nd er w en t r an do m iz at io n. T he in se t in e ac h p an el s ho w s t he s am e d at a o n a n e nl ar ge d y a xi s.

(10)

with canagliflozin than with placebo. The rate of all fractures was higher with canagliflozin than with placebo (15.4 vs. 11.9 participants with frac-ture per 1000 patient-years; hazard ratio, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.52), and there was a similar trend with respect to low-trauma fracture events (11.6 vs. 9.2 participants with fracture per 1000 patient-years; hazard ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.99 to 1.52). There was evidence of heterogeneity in the bone-fracture findings between CANVAS and CANVAS-R with respect to both low-trauma frac-ture and all fracfrac-ture (both P≤0.005), with risks

higher in the canagliflozin group than in the placebo group in CANVAS but not in CANVAS-R (Table S9 in the Supplementary Appendix). Only a small number of events of diabetic ketoacidosis were observed with canagliflozin and placebo (0.6 vs. 0.3 participants with an event per 1000 patient-years; hazard ratio, 2.33; 95% CI, 0.76 to 7.17).

Discussion

Patients with type 2 diabetes and established car-diovascular disease or at high risk for

cardiovas-Figure 3. Effects of Canagliflozin on Cardiovascular, Renal, Hospitalization, and Death Events in the Integrated CANVAS Program.

Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated with the use of Cox regression models, with stratifica-tion according to trial and history of cardiovascular disease for all canagliflozin groups combined versus placebo. For the primary outcome (the composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke), P<0.001 for noninferiority and P = 0.02 for superiority. Progression of albuminuria was evaluated with data from the 9015 participants with normoalbuminuria or microalbuminuria at baseline. The composite renal outcome was a 40% reduction in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), the need for renal-replacement therapy, or death from renal causes. The 40% reduction in eGFR was required to be sustained, which was defined as being present on at least two consecutive measurements more than 30 days apart, and adjudicated by an expert committee. The need for renal-replacement therapy owing to end-stage kidney disease was defined as a need for di-alysis for at least 30 days or transplantation and was required to be adjudicated by an expert committee. Death from renal causes was defined as death for which the proximate cause was renal as defined by the end-point adjudication committee. There were three deaths from renal causes, all in the placebo group.

1.0 2.0

Placebo Better Canagliflozin Better

Death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke

Death from cardiovascular causes Nonfatal myocardial infarction Nonfatal stroke

Fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction Fatal or nonfatal stroke

Hospitalization for any cause Hospitalization for heart failure Death from cardiovascular causes

or hospitalization for heart failure Death from any cause

Progression of albuminuria

40% reduction in eGFR, renal-replacement therapy, or renal death

Canagliflozin

(N=5795) (N=4347)Placebo Hazard Ratio (95% CI) Outcome 0.60 (0.47–0.77) 0.67 (0.52–0.87) 0.73 (0.67–0.79) 0.78 (0.67–0.91) 0.87 (0.74–1.01) 0.94 (0.88–1.00) 0.90 (0.71–1.15) 0.87 (0.69–1.09) 0.89 (0.73–1.09) 0.85 (0.69–1.05) 0.86 (0.75–0.97) 0.5 0.87 (0.72–1.06) 26.9 11.6 9.7 7.1 11.2 7.9 118.7 5.5 16.3 17.3 89.4 5.5 31.5 12.8 11.6 8.4 12.6 9.6 131.1 8.7 20.8 19.5 128.7 9.0 no. of participants per 1000 patient-yr

Figure 4 (facing page). Effects of Canagliflozin on the Primary Cardiovascular Outcome in Subgroups.

A total of 10,142 participants were included in the analysis. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated with the use of Cox regression models. P values for homogeneity were obtained by fitting interaction terms. The body-mass index (BMI) is the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters. The analysis according to the history of heart failure was not prespecified. RAAS denotes renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system.

(11)

Placebo Better Canagliflozin Better All patients Study CANVAS CANVAS-R Age <65 yr ≥65 yr Sex Male Female Race White Black Asian Other Region North America

Central America and South America Europe

Rest of the world BMI

<30 ≥30

Blood pressure control

Systolic blood pressure ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure ≥90 mm Hg Systolic blood pressure <140 mm Hg

and diastolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg Duration of diabetes ≥10 yr <10 yr Glycated hemoglobin <8% ≥8% eGFR 30 to <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 60 to <90 ml/min/1.73 m2 ≥90 ml/min/1.73 m2

History of cardiovascular disease Yes

No

History of peripheral vascular disease Yes

No

History of heart failure Yes No History of amputation Yes No Insulin use Yes No Statin use Yes No Antithrombotic use Yes No

RAAS inhibitor use Yes No Beta-blocker use Yes No Diuretic use Yes No P Value Subgroup 0.60 0.26 0.80 0.40 0.89 0.29 0.64 0.33 0.29 0.20 0.18 0.47 0.51 0.36 0.96 0.45 0.86 0.38 0.01 <0.001 Canagliflozin Placebo 26.9 26.9 27.1 22.0 33.8 29.8 21.7 29.1 18.6 18.8 25.3 26.7 26.7 28.1 26.0 25.6 27.8 28.1 26.1 27.0 26.6 24.7 28.8 36.4 26.8 20.8 34.1 15.8 33.9 25.4 42.2 24.8 44.4 26.5 32.0 21.9 26.3 28.7 30.3 18.5 27.6 24.4 29.5 24.2 27.6 26.4 31.5 30.4 33.0 23.6 42.3 35.1 25.0 34.2 37.0 18.4 24.5 30.3 33.8 35.0 28.2 27.8 34.0 34.0 29.5 33.2 27.7 26.9 35.3 49.3 29.0 23.6 41.3 15.5 43.2 28.8 51.4 28.3 74.3 30.8 37.4 25.6 31.6 31.1 34.8 22.4 31.4 31.8 39.0 23.2 41.0 24.0 no. of participants per 1000 patient-yr

1.00 2.00 4.00

Hazard Ratio (95% CI)

0.86 (0.75–0.97) 0.88 (0.75–1.03) 0.82 (0.66–1.01) 0.91 (0.76–1.10) 0.80 (0.67–0.95) 0.86 (0.74–1.00) 0.84 (0.66–1.06) 0.84 (0.73–0.96) 0.45 (0.19–1.03) 1.08 (0.72–1.64) 1.01 (0.57–1.80) 0.84 (0.65–1.09) 0.84 (0.53–1.33) 0.80 (0.65–0.99) 0.94 (0.75–1.18) 0.97 (0.79–1.20) 0.79 (0.67–0.93) 0.84 (0.70–1.01) 0.88 (0.74–1.04) 0.81 (0.70–0.95) 0.96 (0.76–1.22) 0.94 (0.77–1.15) 0.80 (0.68–0.94) 0.70 (0.55–0.90) 0.95 (0.80–1.13) 0.84 (0.62–1.12) 0.82 (0.72–0.95) 0.98 (0.74–1.30) 0.75 (0.58–0.97) 0.89 (0.77–1.03) 0.80 (0.61–1.05) 0.87 (0.76–1.01) 0.56 (0.28–1.13) 0.86 (0.76–0.98) 0.85 (0.72–1.00) 0.87 (0.71–1.06) 0.84 (0.72–0.97) 0.91 (0.71–1.16) 0.87 (0.75–1.00) 0.82 (0.61–1.09) 0.88 (0.76–1.01) 0.77 (0.58–1.03) 0.75 (0.64–0.88) 1.04 (0.85–1.28) 0.66 (0.56–0.79) 1.11 (0.93–1.34) 0.25 0.50

(12)

Patients with an Event (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

A

Hospitalization for Heart Failure

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 4347 5795 4267 5732 829 1782 1158 2451 1180 2498 1210 2540 1236 2572 1256 2610 1274 2643 1667 3059 3011 4437 4123 5564 4198 5653 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Hazard ratio, 0.67 (95% CI, 0.5

2–

0.87)

Hazard ratio, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.6

7– 0.79) 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 233 490 Placebo Canagliflozin

Patients with an Event (%)

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

B

Death from Any Cause

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 4347 5795 4316 5768 924 1904 1280 2615 1292 2651 1310 2687 1328 2710 1344 2736 1356 2761 1759 3182 3119 4576 4236 5679 4279 5723 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Hazard ratio, 0.87 (95% CI, 0.74–1.01)

104 130 156 182 208 260 286 258 532 Placebo Canagliflozin

Patients with an Event (%)

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

C

Progression of Albuminuria

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 3819 5196 3473 4791 303 775 485 1213 548 1354 565 1408 626 1528 652 1593 724 1730 877 1951 1690 2968 2700 4027 3096 4475 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 67 185 Placebo Canagliflozin

Patients with an Event (%)

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Weeks since Randomization

D

Composite of 40% Reduction in eGFR, Requirement for Renal-Replacement Therapy,

or Death from Renal Causes

No. at Risk Placebo Canagliflozin 4347 5795 4287 5737 819 1781 1148 2450 1173 2495 1202 2542 1229 2576 1253 2623 1274 2654 1674 3071 3029 4454 4151 5578 4227 5664 104 130 156 182 208 260 286 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 26 52 78 234 312 338

Hazard ratio, 0.60 (95% CI, 0.47–0.77)

104 130 156 182 208 260 286 229 493 Placebo Canagliflozin Fi gur e 5. R at es o f H os pi ta liz at io n f or H ea rt F ai lu re , D ea th f ro m A ny C au se , a nd R en al O ut co m es in t he I nt eg ra te d C A N VAS P ro gr am . Th e h az ar d r at io s a nd 9 5% co nf id en ce in te rv al s w er e e st im at ed w it h t he u se o f Co x r eg re ss io n m od el s w it h s tr at if ic at io n a cco rd in g t o t ri al a nd h is to ry o f c ar di ov as cu la r d is ea se f or al l c an ag lif lo zin g ro up s co m bin ed v er su s p la ce bo . A na ly se s a re b as ed u po n t he f ul l, in te gr at ed d at a s et co m pr is in g a ll p ar ti cip an ts w ho u nd er w en t r an do m iz at io n. T he in se ts in Pa ne ls A , B , a nd D s ho w t he s am e d at a o n e nl ar ge d y a xe s.

(13)

Event Canagliflozin Placebo P Value†

event rate per 1000 patient-yr

All serious adverse events 104.3 120.0 0.04

Adverse events leading to discontinuation 35.5 32.8 0.07

Serious and nonserious adverse events of interest recorded in the CANVAS Program

Acute pancreatitis (adjudicated) 0.5 0.4 0.63

Cancer

Renal cell 0.6 0.2 0.17

Bladder 1.0 1.1 0.74

Breast 3.1 2.6 0.65

Photosensitivity 1.0 0.3 0.07

Diabetic ketoacidosis (adjudicated) 0.6 0.3 0.14

Amputation 6.3 3.4 <0.001

Fracture (adjudicated)‡

All 15.4 11.9 0.02

Low-trauma 11.6 9.2 0.06

Venous thromboembolic events 1.7 1.7 0.63

Infection of male genitalia§ 34.9 10.8 <0.001

Serious and nonserious adverse events of interest collected in CANVAS alone¶

Osmotic diuresis 34.5 13.3 <0.001

Volume depletion 26.0 18.5 0.009

Hypoglycemia 50.0 46.4 0.20

Acute kidney injury 3.0 4.1 0.33

Hyperkalemia 6.9 4.4 0.10

Urinary tract infection 40.0 37.0 0.38

Mycotic genital infection in women 68.8 17.5 <0.001

Severe hypersensitivity or cutaneous reaction 8.5 6.1 0.17

Hepatic injury 7.4 9.1 0.35

Renal-related (including acute kidney injury) 19.7 17.4 0.32

* Analyses were performed on data from the on-treatment data set (patients who had a safety outcome while they were receiving canagliflozin or placebo or within 30 days after discontinuation of the drug or placebo), except for fracture, amputation, cancer, and diabetic ketoacidosis outcomes, which included all events at any time point in all patients who underwent randomization and received at least one dose of canagliflozin or placebo.

† P values were estimated from Cox regression models.

‡ Low-trauma fracture was the prespecified primary fracture outcome, and all fracture was a secondary outcome. § Infection of male genitalia included balanitis, phimosis, and events leading to circumcision.

¶ For these adverse events, the annualized incidence rates are reported with data from CANVAS alone through January 7, 2014, because after this time, only serious adverse events or adverse events leading to discontinuation were collected. In CANVAS-R, only serious adverse events or adverse events leading to discontinuation were collected. Owing to the differences between the two trials in methods of collection of the data, an integrated analysis of these adverse events is not possible.

(14)

cular events who were treated with canagliflozin had significantly lower rates of the primary car-diovascular outcome than patients assigned to placebo. All three components of the primary outcome — death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke — showed point estimates of effect that suggested benefit, although the individual effects did not reach significance. The results also showed that patients treated with canagliflozin had a lower risk of hospitalization for heart failure, progression of albuminuria, and substantive loss of kidney function than patients who received placebo, although on the basis of the prespecified hypothesis testing sequence these findings are not considered statistically significant.

Several established effects of SGLT2 inhibi-tors on intermediate outcomes may contribute to cardiovascular and renal protection. Although pleiotropic effects have been inferred, improved glycemic control, lowering of blood pressure, de-crease in intraglomerular pressure, reduction in albuminuria, and amelioration of volume over-load are all plausible protective mechanisms.4,13-23

The effects on cardiovascular and renal out-comes observed within this program of two inte-grated trials are similar to those observed previously with this drug class.5,6 The favorable

direction of effect with respect to stroke ob-served in this trial program differs from a previ-ously reported possible adverse effect on stroke risk.5,6 Apparent differences in the effect sizes for

other secondary and exploratory outcomes may be attributable to chance, since precision in the effect estimates of each is limited. Although it is also possible that variation in effect sizes could reflect features of trial design or actual differences between the agents, additional data will be re-quired to clarify the differing results.

The possible benefit of canagliflozin use with respect to renal outcomes is supported by the magnitude of the effects observed, the consistency of the observation across renal outcomes, and the consistency of the findings with other recently reported data.12 Prespecification, confirmation,

and adjudication of the renal outcomes in this trial program add support to the possibility that SGLT2 inhibition may have an important kidney-protective effect in type 2 diabetes. Since most renal events were based on changes in eGFR, more data are required to confirm the effects on kidney failure. Definitive evidence about the effects of

canagliflozin on clinical kidney outcomes are likely to be provided by the ongoing Canagliflozin and Renal Endpoints in Diabetes with Established Nephropathy Clinical Evaluation trial (CREDENCE; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02065791).

The adverse effects observed in this program of two integrated trials are generally consistent with the known safety profile of canagliflozin and other SGLT2 inhibitors.5 The increased rate

of amputation is a new finding for which the mechanism is unknown, and care is warranted in the use of canagliflozin in patients at risk for amputation. An increase in bone fractures has been described previously with canagliflozin,24

but the excess in bone fracture seen in CANVAS was not observed in CANVAS-R. There is no clear explanation for the difference in fracture risk be-tween the two trials, which included directly com-parable patient groups and assessed the same intervention.

The trial program has certain strengths. It benefits from the large size of the combined tri-als, the long duration of the tritri-als, the random-ized design, the breadth of included participants, and the high standard to which the conduct of the trials was held. The inclusion of participants with and those without established cardiovascu-lar disease extends the population for which data are available.

The trial program has certain limitations, the major one being the moderate number of events for many important outcomes — in particular, the paucity of events of end-stage kidney disease. The relatively small proportion of participants with established kidney disease also limits general-ization to that population. The large number of analyses and relatively few events increases the risk of false positive findings, though the broad internal and external consistency of the data strengthens the conclusions. Discontinuation of randomized therapy and greater use of other glu-cose-lowering agents in the placebo group dur-ing the trial program is the likely explanation for the convergence of glycated hemoglobin levels over time and may have resulted in underestima-tion of any benefits and risks associated with canagliflozin.

In summary, the trial program showed that among patients with type 2 diabetes who had an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, patients treated with canagliflozin had a significantly lower risk of death from cardiovascular causes,

(15)

nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke than those who received placebo but a greater risk of amputation.

Supported by Janssen Research and Development.

Disclosure forms provided by the authors are available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org.

We thank all investigators, trial teams, and patients for par-ticipating in these trials and the following people for their con-tributions to the statistical monitoring and analyses and the

protocol development, safety monitoring, and operational im-plementation over the duration of the two trials: Lyndal Hones, Lucy Perry, Sharon Dunkley, Tao Sun, Hsiaowei Deng, George Capuano, Qiang Li, Severine Bompoint, Laurent Billot, Mary Lee, Joan Lind, Roger Simpson, Mary Kavalam, Terry Barrett, Ed Connell, Michele Wells, Jacqueline Yee, Dainius Balis, Frank Ver-cruysse, Elisa Fabbrini, Richard Oh, Nicole Meyers, Gary Meininger, and Norm Rosenthal. Medical writing support was provided by Kimberly Dittmar, Ph.D., of MedErgy, and was fund-ed by Janssen Global Services.

References

1. Liyanage T, Ninomiya T, Jha V, et al. Worldwide access to treatment for end-stage kidney disease: a systematic review. Lancet 2015; 385: 1975-82.

2. Whiting DR, Guariguata L, Weil C, Shaw J. IDF diabetes atlas: global esti-mates of the prevalence of diabetes for 2011 and 2030. Diabetes Res Clin Pract 2011; 94: 311-21.

3. Vasilakou D, Karagiannis T, Atha-nasiadou E, et al. Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors for type 2 diabe-tes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Ann Intern Med 2013; 159: 262-74.

4. Cherney DZ, Perkins BA, Soleyman-lou N, et al. Renal hemodynamic effect of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibi-tion in patients with type 1 diabetes mel-litus. Circulation 2014; 129: 587-97.

5. Wu JH, Foote C, Blomster J, et al. Ef-fects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors on cardiovascular events, death, and major safety outcomes in adults with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Diabetes Endocri-nol 2016; 4: 411-9.

6. Zinman B, Wanner C, Lachin JM, et al. Empagliflozin, cardiovascular outcomes, and mortality in type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2015; 373: 2117-28.

7. Wanner C, Inzucchi SE, Lachin JM, et al. Empagliflozin and progression of kid-ney disease in type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 323-34.

8. Neal B, Perkovic V, de Zeeuw D, et al. Rationale, design, and baseline character-istics of the Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment Study (CANVAS) — a ran-domized placebo-controlled trial. Am Heart J 2013; 166(2): 217-223.e11.

9. Neal B, Perkovic V, Matthews DR, et al. Rationale, design and baseline characteristics of the CANagliflozin cardioVascular Assessment Study-Renal (CANVAS-R): a randomized, placebo-controlled trial. Diabetes Obes Metab 2017; 19: 387-93.

10. Neal B, Perkovic V, Mahaffey KW, et al. Optimizing the analysis strategy for the CANVAS Program: a prespecified plan for the integrated analyses of the CAN-VAS and CANCAN-VAS-R trials. Diabetes Obes Metab 2017 February 28 (Epub ahead of print).

11. Cox DR. Regression models and life tables (with discussion). J R Stat Soc [Ser B] 1972; 34: 187-220.

12. Verbeke G, Molenberghs G. Linear mixed models for longitudinal data. New York: Springer, 2000.

13. Rabelink TJ, de Zeeuw D. The glycoc-alyx — linking albuminuria with renal and cardiovascular disease. Nat Rev Nephrol 2015; 11: 667-76.

14. Ballermann BJ, Brenner BM. Atrial natriuretic peptide and the kidney. Am J Kidney Dis 1987; 10: Suppl 1: 7-12.

15. Emdin CA, Rahimi K, Neal B, Callen-der T, Perkovic V, Patel A. Blood pressure lowering in type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA 2015; 313: 603-15.

16. Lv J, Ehteshami P, Sarnak MJ, et al. Effects of intensive blood pressure lower-ing on the progression of chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. CMAJ 2013; 185: 949-57.

17. Ortola FV, Ballermann BJ, Anderson S, Mendez RE, Brenner BM. Elevated plas-ma atrial natriuretic peptide levels in

dia-betic rats: potential mediator of hyperfil-tration. J Clin Invest 1987; 80: 670-4.

18. Perkovic V, Heerspink HL, Chalmers J, et al. Intensive glucose control improves kidney outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. Kidney Int 2013; 83: 517-23.

19. Stratton IM, Adler AI, Neil HA, et al. Association of glycaemia with macrovas-cular and microvasmacrovas-cular complications of type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 35): prospective observational study. BMJ 2000; 321: 405-12.

20. Vallianou NG, Geladari E, Kazazis CE. SGLT-2 inhibitors: their pleiotropic properties. Diabetes Metab Syndr 2016 December 9 (Epub ahead of print).

21. Wong MG, Perkovic V, Chalmers J, et al. Long-term benefits of intensive glu-cose control for preventing end-stage kid-ney disease: ADVANCE-ON. Diabetes Care 2016; 39: 694-700.

22. Xie X, Atkins E, Lv J, et al. Effects of intensive blood pressure lowering on car-diovascular and renal outcomes: updated systematic review and meta-analysis. Lan-cet 2016; 387: 435-43.

23. Zoungas S, Arima H, Gerstein HC, et al. Effects of intensive glucose control on microvascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of indi-vidual participant data from randomised controlled trials. Lancet Diabetes Endo-crinol 2017; 5: 431-7.

24. Watts NB, Bilezikian JP, Usiskin K, et al. Effects of canagliflozin on fracture risk in patients with type 2 diabetes mel-litus. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2016; 101: 157-66.

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